UMR polled 482 Aucklanders on who they thought would be a better Mayor for the new Auckland Council.
42% said Len Brown and 31% John Banks
Auckland Mayor Poll
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Monthly Archives: December 2009
Roy Morgan December 2009
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 858 (3.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 30 November to 13 December 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 54.0% (+0.5%)
- Labour 27.5% (-3.0%)
- Green 9.5% (+2.5%)
- ACT 1.5% (nc)
- Maori 1.5% (-2.0%)
- United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
- Progressive 0.0% (nc)
- NZ First 4.0% (+1.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 68
- Labour 35
- Green 12
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 68 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 71/124 – 8 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 35 + Progressive 1 + Greens 12 = 48/124 – 15 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 62.5% (-3.5%)
- Wrong 25.0% (+3.0%)
- Can’t Say 12.5% (+0.5%)
TV3 Poll December 2009
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 893 have a party preference, (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 02 December to 08 December 2009
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
- National 55.2% (-4.7%)
- Labour 30.8% (+3.6%)
- Green 7.8% (+0.9%)
- ACT 1.8% (+0.1%)
- Maori 1.7% (-0.7%)
- United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
- Progressive 0.1% (-0.2%)
- NZ First 1.5% (+0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 68
- Labour 38
- Green 10
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 125
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 68 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 71/125 – 8 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Progressive 1 + Greens 10 = 49/124 -14 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 49.9% (-5.9%)
- Clark 6.1% (-2.1%)
- Goff 8.0% (+3.3%)
- Peters 2.1% (-0.9%
Leadership Approval
- Key – 72.9% (-9.4%) doing well vs 12.3% (+5.1%) doing poorly – net positive is 60.6% (-14.5%)
- Goff – 32.2% (-2.0%) doing well vs 40.6% (+2.7%) doing poorly – net positive is -8.4% (-4.7%)
Leadership Characteristics – Positive
- capable leader – Key by 41% (+1%)
- good in a crisis – Key by 29% (nc)
- sound judgement – Key by 23% (-5%)
- in touch with Maori – Key by 14% (+8%)
Leadership Characteristics – Negative
- more style than substance – Key by 12% (+4%)
- talk down to people – Goff by 8% (+1%)
- narrow minded – Goff by 7% (-3%)
- inflexible – Goff by 2% (-7%)
Roy Morgan late November 2009
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 849 (3.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 16 November to 29 November 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 53.5% (+2.0%)
- Labour 30.5% (-2.5%)
- Green 7.0% (+0.5%)
- ACT 1.5% (-1.0%)
- Maori 3.5% (+1.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (-1.0%)
- Progressive 0.0% (nc)
- NZ First 2.5% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 67
- Labour 38
- Green 9
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 67 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 70/123 – 8 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Progressive 1 + Greens 9 = 48/123 – 14 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 66.0% (+1.5%)
- Wrong 22.0% (-0.5%)
- Can’t Say 12.0% (-1.0%)
UMR on MMP
UMR did a poll of 750 New Zealanders from 22 to 27 October 2009.
Favoured alternatives to MMP:
- FPP 29%
- STV 20%
- SM 9%
- Not Know enough 32%
- Unsure 9%
Retain MMP:
- Retain 48%
- Change 40%
- Unsure 11%
Hold $20 million referendum:
- Yes 32%
- No 60%
- Unsure 8%
Success of MMP (net ratings)
- More Maori MPs +31%
- More co-operation +27%
- Prlt more representative +24%
- More women MPs +22%
- Legislation consulted more +9%
- Stable Govt +7%
- Make MPs listen +1%
- Harder for parties to break word -2%
- Foster national unity -5%
- Sound economic policies -5%
One News Colmar Brunton Poll November 2009
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 999 adults, of whom 822 are decided
Dates: 21 November to 25 November 2009
Client: One News
Report: TVNZ
Party Support
- National 53.0% (-1.0%)
- Labour 31.0% (-2.0%)
- Green 7.0% (+2.7%)
- ACT 2.2% (-1.0%)
- Maori 3.4% (+0.7%)
- United Future 0.6% (+0.4%)
- Progressive 0.3% (-0.1%)
- NZ First 1.0% (-0.7%)
Projected Seats
- National 66
- Labour 38
- Green 8
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 66 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 70/122 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 47/122 -15 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Economic Outlook
- 68% economy over next 12 months will be better (-2.0%)
- 16% same (nc)
- 16% worse (+3.0%)
Preferred PM
- John Key 54% (+4.0%)
- Phil Goff 5% (-4%)
- Helen Clark 3% (-1%)
MMP
- Retain 54% (+7% over June 2008)
- Not Retain 36% (-7%)
- Don’t Know 10% (nc)
Preferred Electoral System
- MMP 39%
- FPP 33%
- STV 12%
- SM 2%
- Don’t Know 14%
Hone Harawira
- 77% say his comments were racist
- 16% say they were not
- 6% don’t know
- 23% say he should remain an MP
- 69% say he should go
- 9% don’t know
Roy Morgan mid November 2009
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 876 (3.3% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 02 November to 15 November 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 51.5% (-4.0%)
- Labour 33.0% (+4.0%)
- Green 6.5% (-1.0%)
- ACT 2.5% (+1.5%)
- Maori 2.0% (-1.5%)
- United Future 1.0% (+0.5%)
- Progressive 0.0% (-0.5%)
- NZ First 2.5% (+1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 64
- Labour 41
- Green 8
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 64 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 68/123 – 6 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 41 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 50/123 – 12 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 64.5% (-2.0%)
- Wrong 22.5% (+2.0%)
- Can’t Say 13.0% (nc)
Roy Morgan early November 2009
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 951 (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 19 October to 01 November 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 55.5% (+2.5%)
- Labour 29.0% (-1.0%)
- Green 7.5% (nc)
- ACT 1.0% (-1.5%)
- Maori 3.5% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- Progressive 0.5% (nc)
- NZ First 1.5% (-1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 68
- Labour 36
- Green 9
- ACT 1
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 68 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 70/121 – 9 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Progressive 1 + Greens 9 = 46/121 – 15 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 66.5% (-1.0%)
- Wrong 20.5% (-1.0%)
- Can’t Say 13.0% (+2.0%)
curiablog 