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Roy Morgan poll May 2015
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 866 of whom 823 have a party preference
Undecideds: 5.0%
Dates: 04 May to 17 May 2015
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 54.0% (+8.5%)
- Labour 25.5% (-2.0%)
- Green 10.5% (-3.0%)
- NZ First 6.0% (-2.5%)
- Maori 1.0% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 1.0% (nc)
- Mana/Internet 0.0% (nc)
- Conservative 1.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 67
- Labour 31
- Green 13
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 7
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 67 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 69/121 – eight more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 31 + Greens 13 = 44/121 – 17 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 7 + Maori 1 = 8/121
On this poll National could govern alone.
Country Direction
- Right 63.0% (+1.0%)
- Wrong 26.5% (-0.5%)
- Can’t Say 10.5% (-0.5%)
Euthanasia Poll April 2015
Research NZ surveyed 501 people:
- 74% support doctors being allowed to end a patient’s life if they request it and have a painful incurable disease
- 20% opposed to doctors being allowed to end a patient’s life if they request it and have a painful incurable disease
- 51% support a close relative being allowed to end a patient’s life if they request it and have a painful incurable disease
- 41% opposed to a close relative being allowed to end a patient’s life if they request it and have a painful incurable disease
Head of State Poll April 2015
New Zealand Republic announced:
Our annual poll was conducted between April 6 and April 21 and shows 47% of Kiwis want our next Head of State to be a New Zealander. This is a rise of 3% since June 2014.
This is great news for our campaign with the poll showing a corresponding decrease in support for the British Monarch to 46%. This is the highest ever result in our annual poll and the first time we have measured higher support than the Monarchy. Undecided voters remained at 7%.
The poll of 1000 people was carried out on landlines by Curia Market Research.
The detailed results were:
What is your preference for New Zealand’s next Head of State out of the following three options?
* The next British Monarch becomes King of New Zealand? 46%
* New Zealand has a New Zealander as Head of State elected by a two thirds majority in Parliament 11%
* New Zealand has a New Zealander as Head of State who is elected by the popular vote 36%
NZ Herald DigiPoll April 2015
Polling Company: DigiPoll
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 750 of whom 662 have a party preference
Undecideds: 11.8%
Dates: 17 April to 26 April 2015
Client: NZ Herald
Report: NZ Herald
Party Support
- National 51.0% (+0.6%)
- Labour 28.7% (-0.2%)
- Green 10.8% (+1.3%)
- NZ First 6.1% (+0.5%)
- Maori 0.8% (-0.7%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.8% (+0.4%)
- Mana/Internet 0.0% (nc)
- Conservative 1.1% (-1.7%)
Projected Seats
- National 63
- Labour 35
- Green 13
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 7
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 63 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 65/121 – four more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 35 + Greens 13 = 48/121 – 13 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 7 + Maori 1 = 8/121
On this poll National could govern alone.
Preferred PM
- John Key 64.6% (-0.4%)
- Andrew Little 13.9% (+0.3%)
- Winston Peters 12.0% (+6.1%)
Ports of Auckland
- 46% of Aucklanders support the Port extensions, 50% are opposed
- 45% of non Aucklanders support the Port extensions, 45% are opposed
NZ Flag
- Time for a new flag yes 25%
- Time for a new flag no 70%
Surplus
- 37% say not achieving surplus by 2014/15 does not matter
- 29% says not achieving surplus seriously dents National’s credibility
- 29% says not achieving surplus matters but not much if only delayed a year
Auckland Mayoralty (asked of all NZers, not just Aucklanders)
- Phil Goff 27%
- John Campbell 21%
- Len Brown 8%
- John Banks 7%
- Maurice Williamson 5%
- Penny Hulse 5%
- Cameron Brewer 3%
- Don’t Know 25%
Iraq
- 57% agree with decision to deploy troops
- 34% disagree
Intelligence Agencies
- 33% say they always work within the law
- 30% say did not have confidence in them in the past but now more confident they act properly
Q+A poll on Iraq
One News reports:
A special ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll shows most people believe the main reason the Government is sending troops to Iraq to support the fight against ISIS is to remain in a good relationship with our allies, the United States and Britain.
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49% of those surveyed said the main reason New Zealand troops are heading to Iraq to help train Iraqi security forces is to maintain good relationships with the US and UK.
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30% believed the troops are going there because it is the right thing to do.
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9% said it is for some other reason.
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11% don’t know.
Roy Morgan poll April 2015
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 888 of whom 852 have a party preference
Undecideds: 4.0%
Dates: 06 April to 19 April 2015
Client: Self Published
Report: Scoop
Party Support
- National 45.5% (-1.0%)
- Labour 27.5% (-3.5%)
- Green 13.5% (+2.5%)
- NZ First 8.5% (+2.5%)
- Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 1.0% (nc)
- Mana/Internet 0.0% (nc)
- Conservative 1.0% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 56
- Labour 34
- Green 17
- ACT 1
- Maori 2
- United Future 1
- NZ First 10
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 56 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 58/121 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 34 + Greens 17 = 51/121 – ten fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 10 + Maori 2 = 13/121
On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Country Direction
- Right 62.0% (-2.5%)
- Wrong 27.0% (+3.0%)
- Can’t Say 11.0% (-0.5%)
One News Colmar Brunton poll April 2015
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 859 had a voting preference
Undecideds: 9%
Dates: 11 April to 15 April 2015
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 49.0% (nc)
- Labour 31.0% (nc)
- Green 9% (-1.0%)
- ACT 0.5% (+0.2%)
- Maori 0.8% (-0.8%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 1.1% (+0.7%)
- NZ First 7.0% (+1.0%)
- Conservative 1.5% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 60
- Labour 38
- Green 11
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 9
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/121 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Greens 11 = 49/121 – 12 fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 1 + NZ First 9 = 10/121
On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.
Preferred PM
- John Key 42% (+1.0%)
- Andrew Little 11% (-1%)
- Winston Peters 10% (+3.0%)
Economic Direction
- Better 48% (-5%)
- Worse 28% (+4%)
- Same 24% (+1%)
Cannabis
- Remain illegal in all cases 25% (+4% from 2013)
- Illegal but an be prescribed for pain relief by doctors 36% (-11%)
- Should be decriminalised 32% (+11%)
- Should be legalised 7% (-2%)
Zero hour contracts
- Should be illegal 77%
- Not illegal 19%
David Bain
- Should be paid compensation 69%
- No compensation 19%
One News Colmar Brunton Northland Poll
Poll results are at Colmar Brunton.
- Winston Peters 53%, Mark Osbrone 36%, WIllow-Jean Prime 9%
- 69% of Labour supporters voting Peters and 15% of National supporters
- 71% say National has made spending pledges only because they are worried Peters may win, 19% disagree
- Only 4% say National’s spending pledges made it more likely they will vote National and 20% less likely
- Party Vote – National 49%, Labour 20%, NZF 20%, Greens 8%
3 News Northland poll
3 News reports:
The latest 3 News-Reid Research poll shows Mr Peters is ahead in the race for the electorate. He’s way ahead on 54 percent, with National candidate Mark Osborne polling only 34 percent. …
Bridges is another big issue, with National promising up to $69 million for bridges in the region.
Asked if it’s a bribe, 74 percent of voters said yes, 22 percent said no and the rest – 4 percent – said they didn’t know.
“People can see through it – they know it’s just a bribe,” says Mr Peters.
Still, a majority – 58 percent – said they want the bridges, while quite a lot – 39 percent – said they didn’t. The rest didn’t know.
Asked if they trust Winston Peters, 43 percent said yes, while a majority 48 percent said no. The rest didn’t know.
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