March 31, 2014 at 9:53 am · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged 3 News, David Cunliffe, Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, Reid Research, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)
Undecideds:
Dates: approx 18 to 26 March 2014
Client: 3 News
Report: 3 News
Party Support
- National 45.9% (+1.4%)
- Labour 31.2% (-2.3%)
- Green 11.2% (-1.2%)
- ACT 1.1% (+1.1%)
- Maori 1.5% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
- Mana 1.1% (+0.8%)
- NZ First 4.9% (-0.8%)
- Conservative 1.9% (-0.2%)
Projected Seats
- National 60
- Labour 41
- Green 15
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 41 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 57/122 – five fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/122
On this poll, there would be a centre-right Government.
Preferred PM
- Key 42.6% (+3.6%)
- Cunliffe 9.0% (-1.8%)
- Peters
- Norman
David Cunliffe
- were his actions with his secret trust worthy of a PM – No 65%, yes 28%
Leader Ratings
- John Key – 65% (+7%) say performing well, 26% (-3%) poorly = +39% (+10%) net approval
- David Cunliffe - 30% (-9%) say performing well, 46% (+16%) poorly = -10% (+25%) net approval
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March 30, 2014 at 9:44 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, NZ Political Party Polls, One News, Preferred PM, TVNZ
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,003 respondents, of whom 767 had a voting preference
Undecideds: 18%
Dates: 22 to 26 March 2014
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 47.0% (-4.0%)
- Labour 31.0% (-3.0%)
- Green 11.0% (+3.0%)
- ACT 0.3% (-0.1%)
- Maori 0.7% (-0.2%)
- United Future 0.1% (-0.2%)
- Mana 0.0% (nc)
- NZ First 7.0% (+3.9%)
- Conservative 2.3% (+1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 58
- Labour 39
- Green 14
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 8
- Conservative 0
- Total 125
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/125 – three fewer than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 39 + Greens 14 + Mana 1= 54/125 – nine fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 3 + NZ First 8 = 11/125
On this poll the Maori Party could allow a centre-right Government to be formed or both the Maori Party and NZ First could support a centre-left Government.
Preferred PM
- John Key 42% (-1.0%)
- David Cunliffe 8% (-2.0%)
- Winston Peters 4% (nc)
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March 30, 2014 at 9:27 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged baby bonus, Countdown, Digipoll, flag, income inequality, Kim Dotcom, Len Brown, NZ Herald, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, Shane Jones, welfare
Polling Company: DigiPoll
Poll Method: Random Phone
Undecideds: 11.4%
Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 665 had a party preference
Dates: 06 to 16 March 2014
Client: NZ Herald
Report: NZ Herald
Party Support
- National 50.8% (+4.0%)
- Labour 29.5% (-5.9%)
- Green 13.1% (+2.3%)
- NZ First 3.6% (-0.3%)
- Maori 0.2% (-1.1%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.8% (+0.8%)
- Mana 0.1% (-0.8%)
- Conservative 1.3% (+0.6%)
Projected Seats
- National 65
- Labour 37
- Green 17
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- ACT 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 125
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 65 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 67/125 – four more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Greens 17 + Mana 1 = 55/123 -eight fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/123
On this poll, National would form the Government.
Preferred PM
- Key 66.5% (+4.6%)
- Cunliffe 11.1% (-5.4%)
- Peters 6.5% (-0.8%)
- Norman 4.5% (+1.1%)
Baby Bonus of $60 a week
Kim Dotcom
- Should be extradited if court rules eligible 47%
- Should not be extradited 42%
NZ Flag
- Support new flag 41%
- Keep current flag 53%
Countdown
- 51% believe Shane Jones allegations
- 20% believe Countdown
Len Brown
- Would vote for Brown in 2016 – 23%
- Would not vote for Brown – 58%
- Brown can still be an effective advocate – 52%
- Brown should have resigned 50% (+12%)
- Brown should not have resigned 38% (-13%)
Income Inequality
- 44% say gap between rich and poor has got a lot bigger
- 30% say a little bigger
- 22% say gap the same
- 3% say gap has closed
- 33% say they are better off under National
- 30% the same
- 30% worse off
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March 30, 2014 at 8:56 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 873 of whom 838 have a party preference
Undecideds: 4.0%
Dates: 03 March to 16 March 2014
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 45.5% (-3.0%)
- Labour 31.5% (+1.0%)
- Green 14.0% (+3.5%)
- NZ First 3.5% (-1.0%)
- Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- ACT 0.5% (-0.5%)
- Mana 0.0% (-0.5%)
- Conservative 1.5% (-1.0%)
- Internet 0.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 57
- Labour 40
- Green 18
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/121 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 40 + Greens 18 + Mana 1 = 59/121 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/121
On this poll the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.
Country Direction
- Right 61.0% (-4.0%)
- Wrong 25.5% (+2.0)
- Can’t Say 13.5% (+2.0%)
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March 7, 2014 at 3:03 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 977 of whom 943 have a party preference
Undecideds: 3.5%
Dates: 17 February to 02 March 2014
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 48.5% (+0.5%)
- Labour 30.5% (+0.5%)
- Green 10.5% (-1.5%)
- NZ First 4.5% (-1.0%)
- Maori 1.5% (+1.0%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- ACT 1.0% (nc)
- Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
- Conservative 2.5% (+1.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 62
- Labour 39
- Green 14
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/121 – three more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 39 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 54/121 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/121
On this poll a centre-right Government would be formed.
Country Direction
- Right 65.0% (+1.5%)
- Wrong 23.5% (nc)
- Can’t Say 11.5% (-1.5%)
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March 1, 2014 at 11:33 am · Filed under NZ Issues Polls ·Tagged flag
Research NZ found:
- 22% agree NZ should adopt a new national flag, 37% disagree
- 41% of those who back a change, support the black flag with silver fern design, with 57% opposed
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March 1, 2014 at 11:29 am · Filed under NZ Issues Polls ·Tagged evolution, religion, schools, UMR
UMR found:
- 27% agree New Zealand schools should include classes on Christianity taught from a Christian perspective, with 47% disagreeing
- 74% agree New Zealand schools should teach about the differences between religions but not about which religion is right with 12% disagreeing
- 68% agree Evolution should be taught as the view of how life developed which is generally accepted by scientists with 14% disagreeing
- 38% agree Evolution, creationism and intelligent design should be taught as equally valid explanations for how life developed with 38% disagreeing
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