Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: assumed 14 to 19 April 2012
Client: 3 News
Report: 3 News
Party Support
- National 49.8% (+2.3%)
- Labour 29.4% (nc)
- Green 14.1% (+0.8%)
- ACT 0.2% (nc)
- Maori 1.6% (+0.3%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 0.9% (-0.4%)
- NZ First 2.3% (-2.7%)
- Conservative 1.1% (-0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 62
- Labour 37
- Green 18
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/123 – two more than minimum 62 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Greens 18 + Mana 1 = 56/122 -six less than minimum 62 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 44.2% (-1.6%)
- Shearer 10.4% (+0.3%)
Leadership Approval
- Key – 59.9% (-0.6%) doing well vs 24.0% (-2.0%) doing poorly – net rating is +35.9% (-2.6%)
- Shearer – 32.5% (-2.6%) doing well vs 26.2% (+9.0%) doing poorly – net positive is +6.3% (-11.6%)
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