Posts Tagged Colmar Brunton

Q+A poll on Iraq

One News reports:

A special ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll shows most people believe the main reason the Government is sending troops to Iraq to support the fight against ISIS is to remain in a good relationship with our allies, the United States and Britain.

  • 49% of those surveyed said the main reason New Zealand troops are heading to Iraq to help train Iraqi security forces is to maintain good relationships with the US and UK.

  • 30% believed the troops are going there because it is the right thing to do.

  • 9% said it is for some other reason.

  • 11% don’t know.

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One News Colmar Brunton poll April 2015

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 859 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 9%

Dates: 11 April to 15 April 2015

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 49.0% (nc)
  • Labour 31.0% (nc)
  • Green 9% (-1.0%)
  • ACT 0.5% (+0.2%)
  • Maori 0.8% (-0.8%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • Mana 1.1% (+0.7%)
  • NZ First 7.0% (+1.0%)
  • Conservative 1.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 38
  • Green 11
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 9
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/121 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Greens 11 = 49/121 – 12 fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – Maori 1 + NZ First 9 = 10/121

On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 42% (+1.0%)
  • Andrew Little 11% (-1%)
  • Winston Peters 10% (+3.0%)

Economic Direction

  • Better 48% (-5%)
  • Worse 28% (+4%)
  • Same 24% (+1%)

Cannabis

  • Remain illegal in all cases 25% (+4% from 2013)
  • Illegal but an be prescribed for pain relief by doctors 36% (-11%)
  • Should be decriminalised 32% (+11%)
  • Should be legalised 7% (-2%)

Zero hour contracts

  • Should be illegal 77%
  • Not illegal 19%

David Bain

  • Should be paid compensation 69%
  • No compensation 19%

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One News Colmar Brunton Northland Poll

Poll results are at Colmar Brunton.

  • Winston Peters 53%, Mark Osbrone 36%, WIllow-Jean Prime 9%
  • 69% of Labour supporters voting Peters and 15% of National supporters
  • 71% say National has made spending pledges only because they are worried Peters may win, 19% disagree
  • Only 4% say National’s spending pledges made it more likely they will vote National and 20% less likely
  • Party Vote – National 49%, Labour 20%, NZF 20%, Greens 8%

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One News Colmar Brunton poll February 2015

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 840 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 10%

Dates: 14 February to 18 February 2015

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 49.0% (+3.9%)
  • Labour 31.0% (+5.8%
  • Green 10.0% (-2.5%)
  • ACT 0.3% (-0.3%)
  • Maori 1.5% (-0.1%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • Mana 0.4% (-1.4%)
  • NZ First 6.0% (-2.1%)
  • Conservative 1.5% (-2.9%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 39
  • Green 12
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 12 = 51/122 – 11 fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – Maori 2 + NZ First 7 = 9/122

On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 41% (-2.0%)
  • Andrew Little 12% (nc from Cunliffe)
  • Winston Peters 7% (+2.0%)

Islamic State

  • 48% support sending New Zealand troops to help train Iraqi security forces to fight ISIS
  • 42% opposed

Alcohol Sponsorship and Advertising

  • 47% support a ban on alcohol sponsorship and advertising
  • 45% opposed

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One News Colmar Brunton 17 September 2014

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 838 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 10%

Dates: 12 September to 17 September 2014

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 45.1% (-0.9%)
  • Labour 25.2% (+0.2%
  • Green 12.5% (-1.5%)
  • ACT 0.6% (-0.6%)
  • Maori 1.6% (+0.8%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.2%)
  • Mana/Internet 1.8% (+0.4%)
  • NZ First 8.1% (+1.1%)
  • Conservative 4.4% (+0.4%)

Projected Seats

  • National 57
  • Labour 32
  • Green 16
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana/Internet 2
  • NZ First 10
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/122 – three fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 32 + Greens 16 + Mana/Internet 2 = 50/122 – 12 fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – Maori 3 + NZ First 10 = 13/122

On this poll the centre parties would hold the balance of power and National could form a centre-right Government with either the Maori Party or NZ First Party while Labour could only form a centre-left Government with both centre parties.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 43% (-3.0%)
  • David Cunliffe 12% (-2.0%)
  • Winston Peters 5% (-1.0%)

 

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One News Colmar Brunton Poll 10 September 2014

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,001 respondents, of whom 865 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 12%

Dates: 06 September to 10 September 2014

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 46.0% (-4.0%)
  • Labour 25.0% (-1.0%
  • Green 14.0% (+3.0%)
  • ACT 1.2% (+1.1%)
  • Maori 0.8% (+0.6%)
  • United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
  • Mana/Internet 1.4% (-1.0%)
  • NZ First 7.0% (nc)
  • Conservative 4.0% (+1.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 58
  • Labour 31
  • Green 18
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana/Internet 3
  • NZ First 9
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/123 – two fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 31 + Greens 18 + Mana/Internet 2 = 51/123 – 11 fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – Maori 3 + NZ First 9 = 12/123

On this poll the centre parties would hold the balance of power and National could form a centre-right Government with either the Maori Party or NZ First Party while Labour could only form a centre-left Government with both centre parties.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 46% (-2.0%)
  • David Cunliffe 14% (nc)
  • Winston Peters 6% (+2.0%)

 

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One News Colmar Brunton poll early September 2014

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,001 respondents, of whom 882 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 7%

Dates: 30 August to 03 September 2014

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 50.0% (+2.0%)
  • Labour 26.0% (-2.0%
  • Green 11.0% (-1.0%)
  • ACT 0.1% (-0.3%)
  • Maori 0.2% (-0.4%)
  • United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
  • Mana/Internet 2.4% (+0.8%)
  • NZ First 7.0% (+1.0%)
  • Conservative 2.9% (-0.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 63
  • Labour 32
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana/Internet 3
  • NZ First 8
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 125

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 63 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 65/125 – two more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 32 + Greens 14 + Mana/Internet 3 = 49/125 – 14 fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – Maori 3 + NZ First 8 = 11/125

On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 48% (+1.0%)
  • David Cunliffe 14% (+2%)
  • Winston Peters 4% (-1.0%)

Next National Party Leader

  • Bill English 28%
  • Steven Joyce 16%
  • Paula Bennett 7%
  • Judith Collins 2%
  • Michael Woodhouse 2%

Economic Outlook

  • Better 56% (nc)
  • Worse 17% (-2%)
  • Same 27% (+2%)

Preferred Housing Policies

  • National 44%
  • Labour 21%
  • Greens 31%

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