Archive for November, 2012

One News Colmar Brunton Poll October 2012

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,009 of whom 856 had a party vote preference

Undecideds: 11%

Dates: 27 October to 31 October 2012

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 45.0% (nc)
  • Labour 32.0% (-2.0%)
  • Green 12.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.6% (-0.3%)
  • Maori 2.2% (-0.7%)
  • United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
  • Mana 1.0% (+0.4%)
  • NZ First 4.9% (+3.1%)
  • Conservative 1.0% (-1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 58
  • Labour 41
  • Green 16
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/121 – 1 less than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 16 + Mana 1= 58/121 -3 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 42% (-2%)
  • David Shearer 11% (-1%)
  • Winston Peters 6% (+2%)
  • Russel Norman 3% (+1%)

Economic Outlook

  • Better 44% (+3%)
  • Worse 34% (-2%)
  • Same 22% (-1%)

Partial Asset Sales

  • Support 30% (+2%)
  • Oppose 64% (-1%)
  • Unsure 6% (-1%)

Republic

  • Become a republic 19% (-6%)
  • Stay with Queen as Head of State 74% (+7%)
  • Unsure 7% (-2%)

Trust in Government to protect personal details

  • Yes 37%
  • No 60%
  • Unsure 4%

Most effective opposition leader

  • David Shearer 25%
  • Winston Peters 24%
  • Russel Norman 18%
  • Hone Harawira 6%
  • Metiria Turei 5%
Advertisements

Leave a Comment