Archive for March, 2013

List MPs

UMR polled in January 2013:

The poll included a question asking New Zealanders how strongly they agreed or disagreed with the notion that ‘List MPs are not as accountable to voters as electorate MPs’.

  • 61% of New Zealanders agreed with this statement, compared with 15% who disagreed.  24% were neutral or undecided.
  • Of those who claimed to know a lot or a fair amount about how the system worked, 72% agreed that list MPs were not as accountable.
  • Even a majority (60%) of those who were generally supportive of MMP thought that list MPs were not as accountable.

 

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Nuclear powered ships

UMR polled in January 2013:

  • 38% now believe nuclear powered ships are safe, while 48% feel that they are not and 14% are unsure.
  • The gender difference is even larger than it was 20 years ago.  59% of men now believe that nuclear powered vessels are safe, compared with only 18% of women.

 

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Cats

UMR polled on Cats in February 2013:

  • 62% believe that all cats should be neutered or spayed.
  • 57% think that cats should be banned from areas near wildlife reserves, forests and national parks
  • 53% believe that all cats should be registered and microchipped
  • 42% consider that all cats should wear bells
  • Just 12% believe that cat owners should not replace their cats when they die
  • Only 7% think that cats should be kept indoors at all times of the day.

 

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The Hobbit

UMR polled in February 2013 on The Hobbit subsidies:

42% believe that the subsidy has been good value for money, while 38% feel it has not been good value for money.

70% of New Zealanders thought that companies should have to pay back subsidies, while 19% did not and 11% were unsure.

 

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Christchurch Schools

UMR have done a poll Christchurch schools:

  • 15% of New Zealanders said that the closures were inevitable and that the Government handled the situation well.
  • 63% felt that the closures were inevitable but that the Government could have handled the situation better
  • 22% believe that the schools should not be closed or merged at all.

 

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NZ Herald DigiPoll March 2013

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: Unknown

Poll Size: 750 respondents

Dates: 11 to 17 March 2013

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 48.5% (+0.6%)
  • Labour 36.3% (+4.4%)
  • Green 9.0% (-1.7%)
  • NZ First 2.5% (-3.0%)
  • Maori 1.1% (-0.4%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.3%)
  • ACT 0.1% (-0.1%)
  • Mana 0.5% (+0.2%)
  • Conservative 1.3% (-0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 61
  • Labour 46
  • Green 11
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 61 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 63/124 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 46 + Greens 11 + NZ First 0 + Mana 1 = 58/124 -5 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 63.0% (-2.6%)
  • Shearer 18.5% (+5.6%)
  • Peters 4.0%

Country Direction

  • Right 49.0% (+0.9%)
  • Wrong 43.0% (+0.3%)
Asset Sales
  • 52% opposed to sale of MRP, 32% in favour
  • 30% plan to buy shares in MRP

Term of Parliament

  • 51% 3 years
  • 48% 4 years

Marriage

  • Should remain between a man and a woman 48% (+8%)
  • Allow same-sex couples to marry 52% (-4%)

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Roy Morgan poll early March 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 977 of whom 928 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.0%

Dates: 25 February 2013 to 10 March 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 43.5% (-4.0%)
  • Labour 32.5% (+2.0%)
  • Green 13.5% (+1.0%)
  • NZ First 5.0% (+2.0%)
  • Maori 2.0% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • Mana 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • Conservative 2.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 54
  • Labour 40
  • Green 17
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 54 + United Future 1 = 55/122 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 40 + Greens 17 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 64/120 – two more than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 51.5% (-2.5%)
  • Wrong 37.5% (+5.0%)
  • Can’t Say 11.0% (-2.5%)

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