Posts Tagged Preferred PM

One News Colmar Brunton poll February 2015

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 840 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 10%

Dates: 14 February to 18 February 2015

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 49.0% (+3.9%)
  • Labour 31.0% (+5.8%
  • Green 10.0% (-2.5%)
  • ACT 0.3% (-0.3%)
  • Maori 1.5% (-0.1%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • Mana 0.4% (-1.4%)
  • NZ First 6.0% (-2.1%)
  • Conservative 1.5% (-2.9%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 39
  • Green 12
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 12 = 51/122 – 11 fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – Maori 2 + NZ First 7 = 9/122

On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 41% (-2.0%)
  • Andrew Little 12% (nc from Cunliffe)
  • Winston Peters 7% (+2.0%)

Islamic State

  • 48% support sending New Zealand troops to help train Iraqi security forces to fight ISIS
  • 42% opposed

Alcohol Sponsorship and Advertising

  • 47% support a ban on alcohol sponsorship and advertising
  • 45% opposed

Leave a Comment

3 News Reid Research Poll Jan 2015

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Dates: 20 to 28 January 2015

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 49.8% (+4.3%)
  • Labour 29.1% (+3.5%)
  • Green 9.3% (-5.1%)
  • ACT 0.4% (+0.3%)
  • Maori 1.3%  (+0.2%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.1%)
  • Mana/Internet 0.6% (-1.4%)
  • NZ First 6.9% (-0.2%)
  • Conservative 2.7% (-2.2%)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 36
  • Green 12
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 8
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/122 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 12 = 48/122 – 14 fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 8 + Maori 2 = 10/122

On this poll National could govern alone.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 44.0% (-0.1%)
  • Andrew Little 9.8% (-2.5% from Cunliffe)

Andrew Little as Leader

  • Better match for Key than predecessors 55%
  • The same 12%
  • Worse 18%
  • Don’t Know 18%

Leader Ratings

  • John Key – performing well 63%, performing badly 24%, net approval = +39%
  • Andrew Little – performing well 45%, performing badly 17%, net approval = +28%

Whale Oil

  • Key should stop texting Whale Oil 68%
  • Key should continue texting 18%

Comments (1)

NZ Herald DigiPoll 17 September 2014

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 5.6%

Poll Size: 775 respondents, of whom 732 had a party preference

Dates: 11 September to 17 September 2014

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 48.2% (-0.4%)
  • Labour 25.9% (+1.3%)
  • Green 11.0% (-0.5%)
  • NZ First 8.4% (+0.3%)
  • Maori 1.1% (+0.4%)
  • United Future 0.2% (+0.2%)
  • ACT 0.5% (+0.2%)
  • Mana/Internet 1.0% (-1.3%)
  • Conservative 3.3% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 32
  • Green 14
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana/Internet 1
  • NZ First 11
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/123 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 32 + Greens 14 + Mana/Internet 1 = 47/123 – 15 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 11 + Maori 3 = 14/123

On this poll, National would form the Government.

Preferred PM

  • Key 64.3% (+2.7%)
  • Cunliffe 16.2% (-1.7%)
  • Peters 9.1% (+1.3%)
  • Norman 3.4% (+0.1%)

 

Leave a Comment

Fairfax Ipsos poll 17 September 2014

Polling Company: Ipsos

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1001 respondents

Undecideds:

Dates: 02 September to 17 September 2014

Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

  • National 47.7% (-5.1%)
  • Labour 26.1% (+3.7%)
  • Green 12.0% (-1.0%)
  • NZ First 6.6% (+2.2%)
  • Maori 0.9% (-0.1%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.3% (-0.4%)
  • Mana 0.9% (-0.5%)
  • Conservative 4.5% (+0.9%)

Projected Seats

  • National 61
  • Labour 34
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 8
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 61 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 63/124 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 34 + Greens 15 + Mana 2 = 51/124 – 12 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – Maori 3 + NZ First 8 = 11/124

On this poll a centre-right government would be formed.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 53.6% (-3.9%)
  • David Cunliffe 20.0% (+2.5%)

 

Leave a Comment

One News Colmar Brunton 17 September 2014

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 838 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 10%

Dates: 12 September to 17 September 2014

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 45.1% (-0.9%)
  • Labour 25.2% (+0.2%
  • Green 12.5% (-1.5%)
  • ACT 0.6% (-0.6%)
  • Maori 1.6% (+0.8%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.2%)
  • Mana/Internet 1.8% (+0.4%)
  • NZ First 8.1% (+1.1%)
  • Conservative 4.4% (+0.4%)

Projected Seats

  • National 57
  • Labour 32
  • Green 16
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana/Internet 2
  • NZ First 10
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 57 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 59/122 – three fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 32 + Greens 16 + Mana/Internet 2 = 50/122 – 12 fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – Maori 3 + NZ First 10 = 13/122

On this poll the centre parties would hold the balance of power and National could form a centre-right Government with either the Maori Party or NZ First Party while Labour could only form a centre-left Government with both centre parties.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 43% (-3.0%)
  • David Cunliffe 12% (-2.0%)
  • Winston Peters 5% (-1.0%)

 

Leave a Comment

Fairfax Ipsos poll 11 September 2014

Polling Company: Ipsos

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1000 respondents of whom 873 have a party preference

Undecideds:

Dates: 04 September to 11 September 2014

Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

  • National 52.8% (-1.4%)
  • Labour 22.4% (-1.9%)
  • Green 13.0% (+0.1%)
  • NZ First 4.4% (+0.8%)
  • Maori 1.0% (+0.7%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.1%)
  • ACT 0.7% (+0.5%)
  • Mana 1.4% (+0.1%)
  • Conservative 3.6% (+1.2%)

Projected Seats

  • National 70
  • Labour 29
  • Green 17
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 2
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 70 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 72/123 – 10 more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 29 + Greens 17 + Mana 2 = 48/123 – 14 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/123

On this poll a centre-right government would be formed.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 57.5% (-0.1%)
  • David Cunliffe 17.5% (nc)

Housing Policies

  • 49% prefer National’s home start grants
  • 38% prefer Labour’s Kiwibuild

Next National Leader

  • Bill English 33%
  • Steven Joyce 22%
  • Paula Bennett 11%
  • Simon Bridges 9%

Affordability of Spending Promises

  • National +42% (62% affordable, 20% unaffordable)
  • Labour -5%
  • NZ First -3%
  • Greens -26%
  • Conservatives -9%
  • Internet Mana -32%

Auckland Transport

  • City Rail Link 40% most important
  • 2nd harbour crossing 32%
  • Dominion Road upgrade 15%
  • Puhoi to Wellsford 12%

Auckland Growth

  • 55% support new suburbs
  • 38% build high rises

 

Comments (1)

NZ Herald DigiPoll 11 September 2014

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds:

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 682 had a party preference

Dates: 04 September to 10 September 2014

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 48.6% (-1.5%)
  • Labour 24.6% (+0.8%)
  • Green 11.5% (+0.1)
  • NZ First 8.1% (+2.1%)
  • Maori 0.7% (+0.3%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.3%)
  • ACT 0.3% (-0.1%)
  • Mana/Internet 2.3% (-1.2%)
  • Conservative 3.8% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 61
  • Labour 31
  • Green 14
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana/Internet 3
  • NZ First 10
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 61 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 63/124 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 31 + Greens 14 + Mana/Internet 3 = 48/124 – 15 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 10 + Maori 3 = 13/124

On this poll, National would form the Government.

Preferred PM

  • Key 61.6% (-7.3%)
  • Cunliffe 17.9% (+3.9%)
  • Peters 7.8% (+1.4%)
  • Norman 3.3% (+1.0%)

Labour Leadership

  • 45% say  Cunliffe should stay on regardless of result
  • 32% say he should resign and not contest leadership
  • 14% say he should resign and contest leadership

Dirty Politics

  • 81% say the book will not change the way they vote
  • 15% say it will

Leave a Comment

Older Posts »
Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 12,676 other followers