Posts Tagged local body elections

Hamilton Mayor poll

The Waikato Times reports:

The new poll puts Ms Hardaker’s support at 20 per cent, then Ewan Wilson with 10 per cent and Dave Macpherson at 6 per cent, but critically stages undecided voters – 49 per cent of those polled – as mayor-makers.


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Auckland Mayoral poll

Radio Live report:

The latest UMR research poll indicates a strong majority for Len Brown in the upcoming Mayoral election – the current Mayor sitting on a cool 47 percent of the total vote, 66 percent of the decided vote.

New challenger John Palino is in second place, with 14 percent of the total vote and 20 percent of the decided vote. MANA Party secretary John Minto is third, with five and seven percent respectively.


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Wellington Mayoralty poll

NewstalkZB reports:

A Newstalk ZB Media Research poll released today shows at this stage it’s a fight between incumbent mayor Celia Wade-Brown and councillor John Morrison for the Wellington mayoralty.

Wade-Brown has 31.67% of popular support to continue as mayor, while Morrison is close behind with 25.22%.  Jack Yan came in a distant third with 4.15%. 

A significant 28.38% of the electorate remains undecided.


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Christchurch Mayoralty poll

The Press reports:

A Press Research First poll has revealed that nearly a third of Christchurch voters are undecided and another third of the electorate could also be up for grabs.

The poll was taken before Christchurch Mayor Bob Parker announced he was not going to stand for another term.

It found that Parker was attracting only 20 per cent of the vote, Labour MP Lianne Dalziel was winning 48 per cent, while 32 per cent of people were undecided.

The poll also shows that 40 per cent of people who said they would vote for Dalziel were doing so because they wanted a change or were unhappy with Parker.

About 41 per cent of the mayoral choices were tactical in some way, meaning they were voting against the other candidate rather than for their choice.

Of those that had chosen a candidate, 70 per cent favoured Dalziel and 30 per cent supported Parker.

Another story states:

Christchurch people have given their city councillors the worst rating ever seen by a polling company, but do not want the Government to take over, a new survey says.

The Press Research First poll has found widespread disillusionment with councillors and the mayor over their leadership since 2010. The main complaint was dysfunction and lack of unity.

The poll asked Christchurch residents to rate the performance of council leadership on a scale from zero to 10, with zero being very poor. About 60 per cent of people gave council leadership a score lower than five. …

The poll also found that Christchurch people do not want the Government to take over council leadership as it did with Environment Canterbury in 2010.

About 51 per cent of those polled said they disagreed with Government intervention. Twenty-eight per cent agreed with a Government takeover.

And a further story on CERA:

People were asked to rate Cera on a scale of zero to 10, with zero being very poor. About 20 per cent of respondents gave Cera a five out of 10; 26 per cent said Cera were doing a good job, 13 per cent complained of a lack of progress; and 9 per cent said they could be doing a better job.

Lack of progress was the main reason for a poor rating.

Research First also calculated a ratings score based on the ratio of low ratings to high. The score ranges from +100 to -100. Cera scored -51 on the scale, compared to -79 for councillors and the mayor, which was the worst ever seen by the polling company.


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TV3 Poll early October 2010

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 863 have a party preference, (3.5% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 27 September to 06 October 2010

Client: TV3


Party Support

  • National 53.8% (-0.7%)
  • Labour 32.6% (+2.0%)
  • Green 7.6% (-0.9%)
  • ACT 0.9% (-1.3%)
  • Maori 2.4%  (+0.9%)
  • United Future 0.3% (+0.1%)
  • Progressive 0.1% (+0.1%)
  • NZ First 1.2% (-0.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 67
  • Labour 40
  • Green 9
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT  and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 67 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 69/123 – 7 more than minimum 63 needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 40 + Greens 9 = 49/124 -13 less than minimum 63 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 50.6% (+1.9%)
  • Clark 3.7% (+1.4%)
  • Goff 8.8% (+1.4%)
  • Peters 3.4% (-0.3%)

Leadership Approval

  • Key – 75.9% (+6.0%) doing well vs 11.9% (-4.0%) doing poorly – net positive is 64.0% (+10.0%%)
  • Goff  – 34.2% (+3.3%) doing well vs 41.9% (-2.0%) doing poorly – net positive is -7.7% (+5.3%)

Leadership Characteristics – Positive

  • honest – Key by 18% (-2%)
  • down to earth – Key by 13% (+1%)
  • understands econ problems – Key by 26% (+3%)
  • has personality – Key by 46% (nc)
  • in touch with Maori – Key by 3% (-2%)

Leadership Characteristics – Negative

  • inexperienced – Key by 3% (-10%)
  • out of touch – Key by 0% (-4%)

Auckland Mayoralty (500 sample)

  • 56% Brown
  • 34% Banks
Rodney Hide
  • 23% say he should stay as ACT leader
  • 35% say he should step down
  • 36% say he should resign from Parliament

Act Leadership

  • 30% want Heather Roy (of those who did not say Hide should stay)
  • 17% Roger Douglas
  • 11% John Boscawen
  • 42% None


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Auckland Mayoralty Poll

The Herald reports a Digipoll of 750 Aucklanders:

  • Len Brown 28.9% (-0.7%)
  • John Banks 27.8% 9-0.9%)
  • Andrew Williams 1.0% (-3.9%)
  • Colin Craig 1.9% (-1.6%)
  • Undecided 35.2%
  • In a crisis such as an earthquake 27.9% would opt for Banks and 19.2% for Brown
  • If Chch Mayor Bob Parker stood, 36.2% said they would vote for him

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Christchurch Mayoralty Poll

A Press poll of 500 voters by Opinions Research found:

  • 43% had decided their Mayoral vote
  • Of those 50% supported Anderton and 31% Parker
  • 41% of voters were concerned by Anderton’s plans to hold two jobs, while 56% had no or little concern

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2010 local body elections

Research NZ did a poll of 474 adults from 4 to 12 August. The proportion who said an issue would a lot of influence of now they vote were:

  • Safety 57%
  • Rates 55%
  • What candidate stands for 53%
  • liquor licensing 37%
  • public transport 36%
  • traffic congestion 34%
  • traffic enforcement 29%
  • sports and cultural funding 25%

74% said they were very likely to vote,

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Auckland Council poll

The Herald reports a Herald Digipoll:

A Herald-DigiPoll survey found 36.3 per cent of Aucklanders believe C&R, which has controlled the Auckland City Council for many years, should control the new Auckland Council. A total of 39.9 per cent of respondents said C&R should not control it and 23.7 per cent did not know or refused to answer.

The poll found 54.8 per cent had heard of C&R and 43.7 per cent had not.

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Christchurch Mayoralty Poll

UMR did an online poll of 350 Christchurch residents from 27 May to 7 June 2010.

  • 46% prefer Anderton as Mayor, 21% Bob Parker and 22% undecided
  • In a head to head, Anderton 61%, Parker 30%
  • Bob Parker has a net approval rating of -14% and Jim Anderton is +42%
  • 64% say Christchurch is heading in the right direction and 28% wrong direction

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