Archive for June, 2013

NZ Herald poll June 2013

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 11.9%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 661 had a party preference

Dates: 12 to 23 June 2013

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 48.8% (+0.3%)
  • Labour 30.9% (-5.5%)
  • Green 10.5% (+1.5%)
  • NZ First 5.1% (+2.6%)
  • Maori 1.8% (+0.7%)
  • United Future 0.3% (+0.3%)
  • ACT 0.2% (+0.1%)
  • Mana 0.5% (nc)
  • Conservative 1.5% (+0.2%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 38
  • Green 13
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/123 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Greens 13 + Mana 1 = 52/123 -10 less than minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 6 + Maori 3 = 9/123

Preferred PM

  • Key 65.2% (+2.2%)
  • Shearer 12.4% (-6.1%)
  • Peters 6.4% (+2.4%)
  • Norman 3.6%

Labour Leadership successors if Shearer goes

  • David Cunliffe 31.8%
  • Grant Robertson 16.7%
  • Andrew Little 13.5%
  • Other 11.0%
  • Unsure 27.0%

Inquiry into GCSB

  • Agree 52.1%
  • Disagree 36.9%
  • Don’t Know 11.0%

Peter Dunne

  • 22% believe he did not leak GCSB report
  • 59% do not believe his denial

Sky City deal

  • 34% approve
  • 62% disapprove

Fluoride

  • 48% support fluoride being added to drinking water
  • 25% opposed
  • 24% up to local council

Fiordland transport projects

  • 46.2% back a tunnel and/or monorail track
  • 46.2% oppose

National leadership when Key goes

  • Bill English 29.7%
  • Steven Joyce 25.4%
  • Judith Collin 13.0%

Student Loans

  • 57% agree with arresting loan defaulters at the border
  • 40% disagree

Sir Douglas Graham

  • 55% say he should lose knighthood
  • 33% disagree

Working for Families Tax Credits

  • 51% support extending to parents on welfare
  • 41% opposed

Housing developments

  • 43% back Govt having power to override councils’ planning and consent processes
  • 51% opposed
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Roy Morgan poll early June 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 909 of whom 854 have a party preference

Undecideds: 6.0%

Dates: 03 June 2013 to 16 June 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 44.0% (+3.0%)
  • Labour 33.0% (-2.0%)
  • Green 11.5% (-0.5%)
  • NZ First 6.0% (+1.5%)
  • Maori 2.0% (nc)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • Mana 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Conservative 2.0% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 54
  • Labour 41
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 54 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 56/122 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 56/122 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 7 + Maori 3 = 10/122

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

  • Right 54.0% (-1.5%)
  • Wrong 33.5% (+1.0%)
  • Can’t Say 12.5% (+0.5%)

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NCEA poll

The Herald reports:

In a survey by the New Zealand Council for Educational Research, 54 per cent of parents said they supported the framework.

“It’s the first time parental support has risen above 50 per cent in the survey series and it was higher among parents with a child in the senior school,” said Rosemary Hipkins, who wrote the survey report.

The survey last year of 177 principals, 1,266 teachers and 1,477 parents also found that 95 per cent of principals and 69 per cent of teachers supported the system.

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