Euthanasia Poll April 2015

Research NZ surveyed 501 people:

• 74% support doctors being allowed to end a patient’s life if they request it and have a painful incurable disease
• 20% opposed to doctors being allowed to end a patient’s life if they request it and have a painful incurable disease
• 51% support a close relative being allowed to end a patient’s life if they request it and have a painful incurable disease
• 41% opposed to a close relative being allowed to end a patient’s life if they request it and have a painful incurable disease

Head of State Poll April 2015

New Zealand Republic announced:

Our annual poll was conducted between April 6 and April 21 and shows 47% of Kiwis want our next Head of State to be a New Zealander. This is a rise of 3% since June 2014.

This is great news for our campaign with the poll showing a corresponding decrease in support for the British Monarch to 46%. This is the highest ever result in our annual poll and the first time we have measured higher support than the Monarchy. Undecided voters remained at 7%.

The poll of 1000 people was carried out on landlines by Curia Market Research.

The detailed results were:

What is your preference for New Zealand’s next Head of State out of the following three options?

 * The next British Monarch becomes King of New Zealand? 46%

* New Zealand has a New Zealander as Head of State elected by a two thirds majority in Parliament   11%

* New Zealand has a New Zealander as Head of State who is elected by the popular vote 36%

Q+A poll on Iraq

One News reports:

A special ONE News Colmar Brunton Poll shows most people believe the main reason the Government is sending troops to Iraq to support the fight against ISIS is to remain in a good relationship with our allies, the United States and Britain.

• 49% of those surveyed said the main reason New Zealand troops are heading to Iraq to help train Iraqi security forces is to maintain good relationships with the US and UK.

• 30% believed the troops are going there because it is the right thing to do.

• 9% said it is for some other reason.

• 11% don’t know.

One News Colmar Brunton poll April 2015

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 859 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 9%

Dates: 11 April to 15 April 2015

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

• National 49.0% (nc)
• Labour 31.0% (nc)
• Green 9% (-1.0%)
• ACT 0.5% (+0.2%)
• Maori 0.8% (-0.8%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• Mana 1.1% (+0.7%)
• NZ First 7.0% (+1.0%)
• Conservative 1.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 60
• Labour 38
• Green 11
• ACT 1
• Maori 1
• United Future 1
• NZ First 9
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/121 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 38 + Greens 11 = 49/121 – 12 fewer than minimum needed to govern
• C – Maori 1 + NZ First 9 = 10/121

On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

• John Key 42% (+1.0%)
• Andrew Little 11% (-1%)
• Winston Peters 10% (+3.0%)

Economic Direction

• Better 48% (-5%)
• Worse 28% (+4%)
• Same 24% (+1%)

Cannabis

• Remain illegal in all cases 25% (+4% from 2013)
• Illegal but an be prescribed for pain relief by doctors 36% (-11%)
• Should be decriminalised 32% (+11%)
• Should be legalised 7% (-2%)

Zero hour contracts

• Should be illegal 77%
• Not illegal 19%

David Bain

• Should be paid compensation 69%
• No compensation 19%

Te Tai Hauāuru poll August 2014

Reid Research have done a 500 person poll of Te Tai Hauāuru for Maori TV. Key results are:

Party Vote

• Labour 36% (-6% from election)
• Maori Party 23% (+2%)
• National 12% (+4%)
• Greens 11% (nc)
• Internet Mana 11% (+3%)
• NZ First 7% (-1%)

Electorate Vote

• Maori Party 32% (-16%)
• Labour 29% (-1%)
• Greens 11% (nc)
• Mana 10% (+1%)

Most important issues (rated 6/10 or higher)

• Family violence 96%
• Education 95%
• Child poverty 95%
• Cost of living 93%
• Te Reo Maori 93%
• Maori unemployment 90%
• Housing 87%
• Maori Leadership 81%
• Mining 62%

If Maori Party balance of power

• Prefer Labour 63%
• Prefer National 24%

If National wins, Should Maori Party work with them?

• Yes 67%
• No 27%

Fairfax Ipsos poll June 2014

Polling Company: Ipsos

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1017 respondents of whom 777 have a party preference

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates: 14 to 17 June 2014

Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

• National 56.6% (+8.9%)
• Labour 23.2% (-6.3%)
• Green 11.9% (-0.9%)
• NZ First 3.2% (-0.5%)
• Maori 0.7% (-1.2%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 0.7% (-0.2%)
• Mana 1.2% (+0.7%)
• Conservative 0.9% (-0.7%)

Projected Seats

• National 72
• Labour 30
• Green 15
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 2
• NZ First 0
• Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 72 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 74/123 – twelve more than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 30 + Greens 15 + Mana 2 = 47/123 – fifteen fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/122

On this poll a centre-right government would be formed.

Preferred PM

• John Key 53.3% (+4.7%)
• David Cunliffe 11.9% (-1.5%)
• Winston Peters 2.5% (-0.9%)
• Russel Norman 2.8% (+0.8%)

Country Direction

• Right 63.1% (-0.5%)
• Wrong 35.4% (-0.2%)

Time for a Change of Government

• Yes 43.8% (-2.5%)
• No 48.0% (-0.1%)

Government Performance Out of 10

• 0 – 2: 9.4% (+0.4%)
• 3 – 7: 66.0% (-1.0%)
• 8 – 10: 24.0% (nc)

Most Important Issues

• Education 22%
• Economy 21%
• Health 19%
• Unemployment 14%
• Housing Affordability 12%
• Immigration 4%

MMP Electorate seat threshold

• 82% against “coat tailing”
• 14% in favour

Expectation of tax cuts

• 30% expect tax cuts
• 61% do not

John Key

• 22% say they would vote National if John Key stood down
• 36% say they might depending on who replaced him
• 39% would not

Most important issues

Roy Morgan reports:

When asked about the most important problem facing New Zealand, 44% of New Zealanders mention some kind of Economic issue. This is up 2% since February 2014 and still well ahead of Social issues (21%, unchanged), Government/ Public policy/ Human rights issues (18%, down 1%) and Environmental issues (8%, down 1%).

The most important Economic issues facing New Zealand include Poverty / The gap between the rich and the poor (18%, up 2%), Economy/ Financial crisis/ Recession/ Inflation/ Exchange rate/ High dollar (8%, down 2%), Unemployment/ Job security (8%, up 1%) and the Cost of living/ Increasing prices/ Financial hardship/ Household debt (5%, unchanged).

Other important issues mentioned by New Zealanders are the Government/ Politicians/ Leadership/ Government spending (6%, down 2%), Drugs/ Alcohol Issues/ Drink Driving (5%, up 1%), Housing shortage/ Affordability (5%, up 2%),  Social apathy/ Lack of values/ Lack of empathy towards others/ Intolerance (4%, down 1%) and Education (3%, unchanged).

3 News Reid Research Poll October 2011

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)

Dates: assumed 20 October to 27 October 2011

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

• National 52.3% (-5.1%)
• Labour 30.2% (+3.6%)
• Green 9.4% (-0.4%)
• ACT 1.5% (+0.5%)
• Maori 1.4%  (+0.6%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• Mana 0.9% (+0.2%)
• NZ First 2.4% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 65
• Labour 38
• Green 12
• ACT 2
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, Mana, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 65 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 68/124 – 6 more than minimum 62 needed to govern
• CL – Labour 38 + Greens 12 + Mana 1 = 51/124 -11 less than minimum 63 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

• Key 52.7% (-1.8%)
• Goff 9.8% (+3.6%)

Leadership Approval

• Key – 71.1% (-5.1%) doing well vs 17.9% (+6.4%) doing poorly – net positive is 53.2% (-11.5%)
• Goff  – 28.4% (+1.6%) doing well vs 54.2% (+5.1%) doing poorly – net positive is -25.8% (-3.5%)

Govt handling of Rena

• 36% didn’t do well
• 30% okay
• 34% done well

Importance of Issues

• Environment 8.2/10
• food prices and the quality of our schools at 7.9.
• Hospital care was third at 7.8.
• The price of petrol was fourth at 7.7.
• The number of people living in poverty was fifth 7.5.

 

Fairfax Research International Poll July 2011

Polling Company: Research International

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,008, of whom 860 had a party preference

Dates: 21 to 25 July 2011

Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

• National 56.0%
• Labour 29.0%
• Green 6.4%
• ACT 2.2%
• Maori 1.2%
• United Future <1%
• Mana 0.2%
• NZ First 2.0%

Projected Seats

• National 71
• Labour 36
• Green 8
• ACT 3
• Maori 4
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 124

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 71 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 75/121 – 12 more than minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 36 + Greens 8 + Mana 1= 45/121 -18 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

• John Key 53%
• Phil Goff 6.2%
• Winston Peters 2.5%

Preferred Coalition Partners

• Greens 25%
• ACT 18%
• Maori 11%
• Labour 8.2%
• National 5.5%
• NZ First 2.7%
• United Future 1.2%
• Mana 0.2%

Best plan to fix the economy

• National 49%
• Labour 17%
• Green 1.5%
• ACT 1.8%
• Maori 0.2%
• Mana 0.2%
• NZ First 0.4%

Issues important to voting decisions

1. Health and education 90%
2. Economy 84%
3. Law & Order 83%
4. Cost of living 83%
5. Rebuilding Christchurch 75%
6. Environment 72%
7. Social Welfare 65%
8. Superannuation/KiwiSaver 64%
9. SOEs 60%
10. Taxes 59%
11. Immigration 47%

TV3 Poll early October 2010

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 863 have a party preference, (3.5% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 27 September to 06 October 2010

Client: TV3

Report:

Party Support

• National 53.8% (-0.7%)
• Labour 32.6% (+2.0%)
• Green 7.6% (-0.9%)
• ACT 0.9% (-1.3%)
• Maori 2.4%  (+0.9%)
• United Future 0.3% (+0.1%)
• Progressive 0.1% (+0.1%)
• NZ First 1.2% (-0.3%)

Projected Seats

• National 67
• Labour 40
• Green 9
• ACT 1
• Maori 5
• United Future 1
• Progressive 0
• NZ First 0
• Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT  and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 67 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 69/123 – 7 more than minimum 63 needed to govern
• CL – Labour 40 + Greens 9 = 49/124 -13 less than minimum 63 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

• Key 50.6% (+1.9%)
• Clark 3.7% (+1.4%)
• Goff 8.8% (+1.4%)
• Peters 3.4% (-0.3%)

Leadership Approval

• Key – 75.9% (+6.0%) doing well vs 11.9% (-4.0%) doing poorly – net positive is 64.0% (+10.0%%)
• Goff  – 34.2% (+3.3%) doing well vs 41.9% (-2.0%) doing poorly – net positive is -7.7% (+5.3%)

Leadership Characteristics – Positive

• honest – Key by 18% (-2%)
• down to earth – Key by 13% (+1%)
• understands econ problems – Key by 26% (+3%)
• has personality – Key by 46% (nc)
• in touch with Maori – Key by 3% (-2%)

Leadership Characteristics – Negative

• inexperienced – Key by 3% (-10%)
• out of touch – Key by 0% (-4%)

Auckland Mayoralty (500 sample)

• 56% Brown
• 34% Banks

Rodney Hide

• 23% say he should stay as ACT leader
• 35% say he should step down
• 36% say he should resign from Parliament

Act Leadership

• 30% want Heather Roy (of those who did not say Hide should stay)
• 17% Roger Douglas
• 11% John Boscawen
• 42% None