Roy Morgan poll late January 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,865 of whom 1,790 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 14 January 2013 to 27 January 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

• National 46.0% (nc)
• Labour 31.5% (nc)
• Green 13.5% (+1.5%)
• NZ First 5.5% (+0.5%)
• Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
• United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• Mana 0.5% (nc)
• Conservative 0.5% (-1.0%)

Projected Seats

• National 56
• Labour 38
• Green 16
• ACT 0
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 7
• Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 56 + United Future 1 = 57/122 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 38 + Greens 16 + NZ First 7 + Mana 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction.0

• Right 57% (+3.5%)
• Wrong 30.5% (-3.0%)
• Can’t Say 12.5% (-0.5%)

Prince Charles

The Herald on Sunday reports:

Barely one-third of New Zealanders want Prince Charles to be their next head of state, according to a poll taken after his million-dollar royal tour.

The verdict has shocked monarchists, who insist the royal family are witnessing a resurgence in popularity thanks to the marriage of William and Kate and the Queen’s year-long Diamond Jubilee celebrations.

According to a Key Research-Herald on Sunday survey, 37.4 per cent of New Zealanders want Prince Charles to succeed to the throne and reign over New Zealand. More of the 1000 poll respondents – 43.3 per cent – oppose him ascending our throne. The remaining 19.4 per cent don’t know who they want.

 

Roy Morgan poll early January 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,865 of whom 1,790 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 02 January 2013 to 14 January 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

• National 46.0% (+0.5%)
• Labour 31.5% (-2.0%)
• Green 12.0% (+1.0%)
• NZ First 5.0% (nc)
• Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
• United Future 0.5% (=0.5%)
• ACT 0.5% (-0.5%)
• Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
• Conservative 1.5% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 56
• Labour 39
• Green 15
• ACT 0
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 6
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 56 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 39 + Greens 15 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 53.5% (+0.5%)
• Wrong 33.5% (-0.5%)
• Can’t Say 13.0% (nc)

Moral Issues

A Herald on Sunday Key Research poll found:

• 54% favour marriage equality, 38% against
• 60% support euthanasia, 18% are against, 16% say depends on situation

Same Sex Marriage

A Herald Digipoll found:

• 59% support a change to allow same sex couples to marry
• 38% say it should remain between a man and a woman
• 69% of under 50s support same sex marriage
• 59% of 0 to 64 year olds support same sex marriage
• 37% of over 65s support same sex marriage

Fairfax Ipsos poll December 2012

Polling Company: Ipsos

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,062 of whom 955 have a party preference

Undecideds: 9.0%

Dates: 28 November 2012 to 03 December 2012

Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

• National 46.2% (+1.3%)
• Labour 34.4% (+1.8%)
• Green 10.5% (-1.4%)
• NZ First 3.8% (+0.2%)
• Maori 1.4% (-1.3%)
• United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
• ACT 0.0% (-0.6%)
• Mana 0.6% (-0.6%)
• Conservative 1.4% (+0.7%)

Projected Seats

• National 59
• Labour 44
• Green 14
• ACT 0
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 59 + United Future 1 = 60/122 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 44 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 59/122 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 48.9% (-0.9%)
• Wrong 51.1% (+0.9%)

Roy Morgan poll December 2012

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 880 of whom 840 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.5%

Dates: 26 November 2012 to 09 December 2012

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

• National 45.5% (+0.5%)
• Labour 33.5% (+2.0%)
• Green 11.0% (-2.5%)
• NZ First 5.0% (-1.5%)
• Maori 1.5% (+0.5%)
• United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
• ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
• Mana 0.5% (+0.5%)
• Conservative 1.0% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 56
• Labour 41
• Green 14
• ACT 0
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 6
• Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 56 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 41 + Greens 14 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 53.0% (+4.5%)
• Wrong 34.0% (-3.5%)
• Can’t Say 13.0% (-1.0%)