Archive for January, 2013

Roy Morgan poll late January 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,865 of whom 1,790 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 14 January 2013 to 27 January 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 46.0% (nc)
  • Labour 31.5% (nc)
  • Green 13.5% (+1.5%)
  • NZ First 5.5% (+0.5%)
  • Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • Mana 0.5% (nc)
  • Conservative 0.5% (-1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 56
  • Labour 38
  • Green 16
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 56 + United Future 1 = 57/122 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Greens 16 + NZ First 7 + Mana 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction.0

  • Right 57% (+3.5%)
  • Wrong 30.5% (-3.0%)
  • Can’t Say 12.5% (-0.5%)
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Prince Charles

The Herald on Sunday reports:

Barely one-third of New Zealanders want Prince Charles to be their next head of state, according to a poll taken after his million-dollar royal tour.

The verdict has shocked monarchists, who insist the royal family are witnessing a resurgence in popularity thanks to the marriage of William and Kate and the Queen’s year-long Diamond Jubilee celebrations.

According to a Key Research-Herald on Sunday survey, 37.4 per cent of New Zealanders want Prince Charles to succeed to the throne and reign over New Zealand. More of the 1000 poll respondents – 43.3 per cent – oppose him ascending our throne. The remaining 19.4 per cent don’t know who they want.

 

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Roy Morgan poll early January 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,865 of whom 1,790 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 02 January 2013 to 14 January 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 46.0% (+0.5%)
  • Labour 31.5% (-2.0%)
  • Green 12.0% (+1.0%)
  • NZ First 5.0% (nc)
  • Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (=0.5%)
  • ACT 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Conservative 1.5% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 56
  • Labour 39
  • Green 15
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 56 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 15 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 53.5% (+0.5%)
  • Wrong 33.5% (-0.5%)
  • Can’t Say 13.0% (nc)

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Moral Issues

A Herald on Sunday Key Research poll found:

  • 54% favour marriage equality, 38% against
  • 60% support euthanasia, 18% are against, 16% say depends on situation

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Same Sex Marriage

A Herald Digipoll found:

  • 59% support a change to allow same sex couples to marry
  • 38% say it should remain between a man and a woman
  • 69% of under 50s support same sex marriage
  • 59% of 0 to 64 year olds support same sex marriage
  • 37% of over 65s support same sex marriage

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Fairfax Ipsos poll December 2012

Polling Company: Ipsos

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,062 of whom 955 have a party preference

Undecideds: 9.0%

Dates: 28 November 2012 to 03 December 2012

Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

  • National 46.2% (+1.3%)
  • Labour 34.4% (+1.8%)
  • Green 10.5% (-1.4%)
  • NZ First 3.8% (+0.2%)
  • Maori 1.4% (-1.3%)
  • United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
  • ACT 0.0% (-0.6%)
  • Mana 0.6% (-0.6%)
  • Conservative 1.4% (+0.7%)

Projected Seats

  • National 59
  • Labour 44
  • Green 14
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 59 + United Future 1 = 60/122 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 44 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 59/122 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 48.9% (-0.9%)
  • Wrong 51.1% (+0.9%)

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Roy Morgan poll December 2012

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 880 of whom 840 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.5%

Dates: 26 November 2012 to 09 December 2012

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 45.5% (+0.5%)
  • Labour 33.5% (+2.0%)
  • Green 11.0% (-2.5%)
  • NZ First 5.0% (-1.5%)
  • Maori 1.5% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Mana 0.5% (+0.5%)
  • Conservative 1.0% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 56
  • Labour 41
  • Green 14
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 56 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 14 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 53.0% (+4.5%)
  • Wrong 34.0% (-3.5%)
  • Can’t Say 13.0% (-1.0%)

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