Posts Tagged Reid Research

3 News Northland poll

3 News reports:

The latest 3 News-Reid Research poll shows Mr Peters is ahead in the race for the electorate. He’s way ahead on 54 percent, with National candidate Mark Osborne polling only 34 percent. …

Bridges is another big issue, with National promising up to $69 million for bridges in the region.

Asked if it’s a bribe, 74 percent of voters said yes, 22 percent said no and the rest – 4 percent – said they didn’t know.

“People can see through it – they know it’s just a bribe,” says Mr Peters.

Still, a majority – 58 percent – said they want the bridges, while quite a lot – 39 percent – said they didn’t. The rest didn’t know.

Asked if they trust Winston Peters, 43 percent said yes, while a majority 48 percent said no. The rest didn’t know.

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3 News Northland Poll

3 News reports:

  • Winston Peters, NZF 35%
  • Mark Osborne, Nat 30%
  • Willow-Jean Prime, Lab, 16%
  • Don’t Know/Won’r Vote 19%

Also:

  • 71% say voters should have been told of Sabin investigation, 20% no
  • 13% say Peters is too old, 85% no

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3 News Reid Research Poll Jan 2015

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Dates: 20 to 28 January 2015

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 49.8% (+4.3%)
  • Labour 29.1% (+3.5%)
  • Green 9.3% (-5.1%)
  • ACT 0.4% (+0.3%)
  • Maori 1.3%  (+0.2%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.1%)
  • Mana/Internet 0.6% (-1.4%)
  • NZ First 6.9% (-0.2%)
  • Conservative 2.7% (-2.2%)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 36
  • Green 12
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 8
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/122 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 12 = 48/122 – 14 fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 8 + Maori 2 = 10/122

On this poll National could govern alone.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 44.0% (-0.1%)
  • Andrew Little 9.8% (-2.5% from Cunliffe)

Andrew Little as Leader

  • Better match for Key than predecessors 55%
  • The same 12%
  • Worse 18%
  • Don’t Know 18%

Leader Ratings

  • John Key – performing well 63%, performing badly 24%, net approval = +39%
  • Andrew Little – performing well 45%, performing badly 17%, net approval = +28%

Whale Oil

  • Key should stop texting Whale Oil 68%
  • Key should continue texting 18%

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3 News Reid Research poll mid September 2014

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Dates: 09 to 15 September 2014

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 44.5% (-2.2%)
  • Labour 25.6% (-0.5%)
  • Green 14.4% (+1.4%)
  • ACT 0.1% (-0.2%)
  • Maori 1.1%  (-0.2%)
  • United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
  • Mana/Internet 2.0% (+0.3%)
  • NZ First 7.1% (+1.2%)
  • Conservative 4.9% (+0.2%)

Projected Seats

  • National 56
  • Labour 33
  • Green 18
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana/Internet 3
  • NZ First 9
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 56 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 58/124 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 33 + Greens 18 + Mana/Internet 3 = 54/124 – nine fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 9 + Maori 3 = 12/124

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 44.1% (-1.2%)
  • David Cunliffe 12.3% (nc)
  • Winston Peters 9.1% (+1.2%)

Preferred Coalition Partner for National

  • All voters – NZ First 54%, Conservatives 37%
  • National voters – NZ First 36%, Conservatives 54%

Kim Dotcom and hacking

  • 38% think Kim Dotcom was behind hacking of Whale Oil’s e-mails
  • 32% do not
  • 30% unsure

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Te Tai Tokerau poll

Maori TV poll in Te Tai Tokerau has found:

Electorate Vote

  • Harawira, Mana 38%
  • Davis, Labour 37%
  • Paenga, Maori 9%
  • Dearlove, Independent 1%

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3 News poll early September 2014

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Dates: 01 to 08 September 2014

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 46.7% (+0.3%)
  • Labour 26.1% (+0.2%)
  • Green 13.0% (+0.4%)
  • ACT 0.3% (-0.3%)
  • Maori 1.3%  (-0.7%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.1%)
  • Mana/Internet 1.7% (nc)
  • NZ First 5.9% (+0.1%)
  • Conservative 4.7% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 59
  • Labour 33
  • Green 17
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana/Internet 2
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/123 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 33 + Greens 17 + Mana/Internet 2 = 52/123 – ten fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 7 + Maori 3 = 10/123

On this poll, the centre parties would hold the balance of power. National could govern with NZ First or with the Maori Party (and ACT/UF). Labour could only govern with the Greens, Internet Mana, NZ First and the Maori Party.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 45.3% (+0.2%)
  • David Cunliffe 12.3% (+0.9%)

 

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Tāmaki Makaurau poll September 2014

Apologies to Maori TV for a technical error around timezones leading to this appearing one hour before the embargo.

Reid Research have done a 500 person poll of Tāmaki Makaurau for Maori TV. Key results are:

Party Vote

  • Labour 37% (-5% from election)
  • Maori Party 17% (+3%)
  • National 13% (+5%)
  • Greens 9% (nc)
  • Internet Mana 12% (-2%)
  • NZ First 11% (+1%)

Electorate Vote

  • Maori Party 28% (-12% from 2011 election)
  • Labour 27% (-8%)
  • Greens 7% (-1%)
  • Mana 14% (-2%)

Most important issues (rated 6/10 or higher)

  • Family violence 95%
  • Education 94%
  • Child poverty 92%
  • Cost of living 91%
  • Te Reo Maori 91%
  • Maori unemployment 88%
  • Housing 87%
  • Maori Leadership 81%
  • Mining 61%

If Maori Party balance of power

  • Prefer Labour 63%
  • Prefer National 25%

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