One News Colmar Brunton Northland Poll

Poll results are at Colmar Brunton.

• Winston Peters 53%, Mark Osbrone 36%, WIllow-Jean Prime 9%
• 69% of Labour supporters voting Peters and 15% of National supporters
• 71% say National has made spending pledges only because they are worried Peters may win, 19% disagree
• Only 4% say National’s spending pledges made it more likely they will vote National and 20% less likely
• Party Vote – National 49%, Labour 20%, NZF 20%, Greens 8%

3 News Northland poll

3 News reports:

The latest 3 News-Reid Research poll shows Mr Peters is ahead in the race for the electorate. He’s way ahead on 54 percent, with National candidate Mark Osborne polling only 34 percent. …

Bridges is another big issue, with National promising up to $69 million for bridges in the region.

Asked if it’s a bribe, 74 percent of voters said yes, 22 percent said no and the rest – 4 percent – said they didn’t know.

“People can see through it – they know it’s just a bribe,” says Mr Peters.

Still, a majority – 58 percent – said they want the bridges, while quite a lot – 39 percent – said they didn’t. The rest didn’t know.

Asked if they trust Winston Peters, 43 percent said yes, while a majority 48 percent said no. The rest didn’t know.

Roy Morgan poll March 2015

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 896 of whom 865 have a party preference

Undecideds: 3.5%

Dates: 02 March to 15 March 2015

Client: Self Published

Report: Scoop

Party Support

• National 46.5% (-2.5%)
• Labour 31.0% (+1.0%)
• Green 11.0% (-1.0%)
• NZ First 6.0% (nc)
• Maori 2.0% (+1.0%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 1.0% (+1.0%)
• Mana/Internet 0.0% (nc)
• Conservative 1.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 58
• Labour 38
• Green 14
• ACT 1
• Maori 2
• United Future 1
• NZ First 7
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/121 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 38 + Greens 14 = 52/121 – nine fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 7 + Maori 2 = 9/121

On this poll the centre parties would hold the balance of power. National would need either the Maori Party or NZ First to govern, while Labour would need both of them.

Country Direction

• Right 64.5% (+9.5%)
• Wrong 24.0% (-7.0%)
• Can’t Say 11.5% (-2.5%)

Q+A Northland Poll

Q+A Poll of Northland:

• Mark Osborne, Nat 36%
• Winston Peters, NZF 36%
• Willow-Jean Prime, Labour, 20%

If Prime steps aside:

• Winston Peters 51%
• Mark Osborne 37%

Merge Northland Councils

• Yes 18%
• No 71%

Oil and gas drilling in Northland

• 47% support
• 42% oppose

3 News Northland Poll

3 News reports:

• Winston Peters, NZF 35%
• Mark Osborne, Nat 30%
• Willow-Jean Prime, Lab, 16%
• Don’t Know/Won’r Vote 19%

Also:

• 71% say voters should have been told of Sabin investigation, 20% no
• 13% say Peters is too old, 85% no