Archive for NZ Political Party Polls
May 26, 2015 at 6:58 am · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 866 of whom 823 have a party preference
Undecideds: 5.0%
Dates: 04 May to 17 May 2015
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 54.0% (+8.5%)
- Labour 25.5% (-2.0%)
- Green 10.5% (-3.0%)
- NZ First 6.0% (-2.5%)
- Maori 1.0% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 1.0% (nc)
- Mana/Internet 0.0% (nc)
- Conservative 1.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 67
- Labour 31
- Green 13
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 7
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 67 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 69/121 – eight more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 31 + Greens 13 = 44/121 – 17 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 7 + Maori 1 = 8/121
On this poll National could govern alone.
Country Direction
- Right 63.0% (+1.0%)
- Wrong 26.5% (-0.5%)
- Can’t Say 10.5% (-0.5%)
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April 29, 2015 at 6:19 am · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Auckland Council, Digipoll, flag, GCSB, Iraq, NZ Herald, NZ Political Party Polls, Ports of Auckland, Preferred PM, SIS, Surplus
Polling Company: DigiPoll
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 750 of whom 662 have a party preference
Undecideds: 11.8%
Dates: 17 April to 26 April 2015
Client: NZ Herald
Report: NZ Herald
Party Support
- National 51.0% (+0.6%)
- Labour 28.7% (-0.2%)
- Green 10.8% (+1.3%)
- NZ First 6.1% (+0.5%)
- Maori 0.8% (-0.7%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.8% (+0.4%)
- Mana/Internet 0.0% (nc)
- Conservative 1.1% (-1.7%)
Projected Seats
- National 63
- Labour 35
- Green 13
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 7
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 63 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 65/121 – four more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 35 + Greens 13 = 48/121 – 13 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 7 + Maori 1 = 8/121
On this poll National could govern alone.
Preferred PM
- John Key 64.6% (-0.4%)
- Andrew Little 13.9% (+0.3%)
- Winston Peters 12.0% (+6.1%)
Ports of Auckland
- 46% of Aucklanders support the Port extensions, 50% are opposed
- 45% of non Aucklanders support the Port extensions, 45% are opposed
NZ Flag
- Time for a new flag yes 25%
- Time for a new flag no 70%
Surplus
- 37% say not achieving surplus by 2014/15 does not matter
- 29% says not achieving surplus seriously dents National’s credibility
- 29% says not achieving surplus matters but not much if only delayed a year
Auckland Mayoralty (asked of all NZers, not just Aucklanders)
- Phil Goff 27%
- John Campbell 21%
- Len Brown 8%
- John Banks 7%
- Maurice Williamson 5%
- Penny Hulse 5%
- Cameron Brewer 3%
- Don’t Know 25%
Iraq
- 57% agree with decision to deploy troops
- 34% disagree
Intelligence Agencies
- 33% say they always work within the law
- 30% say did not have confidence in them in the past but now more confident they act properly
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April 23, 2015 at 12:11 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 888 of whom 852 have a party preference
Undecideds: 4.0%
Dates: 06 April to 19 April 2015
Client: Self Published
Report: Scoop
Party Support
- National 45.5% (-1.0%)
- Labour 27.5% (-3.5%)
- Green 13.5% (+2.5%)
- NZ First 8.5% (+2.5%)
- Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 1.0% (nc)
- Mana/Internet 0.0% (nc)
- Conservative 1.0% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 56
- Labour 34
- Green 17
- ACT 1
- Maori 2
- United Future 1
- NZ First 10
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 56 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 58/121 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 34 + Greens 17 = 51/121 – ten fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 10 + Maori 2 = 13/121
On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.
Country Direction
- Right 62.0% (-2.5%)
- Wrong 27.0% (+3.0%)
- Can’t Say 11.0% (-0.5%)
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April 19, 2015 at 7:01 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged cannabis, Colmar Brunton, drugs, Economy, employment law, NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls, One News, Preferred PM, TVNZ, zero hour contracts
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 859 had a voting preference
Undecideds: 9%
Dates: 11 April to 15 April 2015
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 49.0% (nc)
- Labour 31.0% (nc)
- Green 9% (-1.0%)
- ACT 0.5% (+0.2%)
- Maori 0.8% (-0.8%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 1.1% (+0.7%)
- NZ First 7.0% (+1.0%)
- Conservative 1.5% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 60
- Labour 38
- Green 11
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 9
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/121 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Greens 11 = 49/121 – 12 fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 1 + NZ First 9 = 10/121
On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.
Preferred PM
- John Key 42% (+1.0%)
- Andrew Little 11% (-1%)
- Winston Peters 10% (+3.0%)
Economic Direction
- Better 48% (-5%)
- Worse 28% (+4%)
- Same 24% (+1%)
Cannabis
- Remain illegal in all cases 25% (+4% from 2013)
- Illegal but an be prescribed for pain relief by doctors 36% (-11%)
- Should be decriminalised 32% (+11%)
- Should be legalised 7% (-2%)
Zero hour contracts
- Should be illegal 77%
- Not illegal 19%
David Bain
- Should be paid compensation 69%
- No compensation 19%
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March 27, 2015 at 7:46 am · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, Electorate Polls, Northland, One News, spending, TVNZ
Poll results are at Colmar Brunton.
- Winston Peters 53%, Mark Osbrone 36%, WIllow-Jean Prime 9%
- 69% of Labour supporters voting Peters and 15% of National supporters
- 71% say National has made spending pledges only because they are worried Peters may win, 19% disagree
- Only 4% say National’s spending pledges made it more likely they will vote National and 20% less likely
- Party Vote – National 49%, Labour 20%, NZF 20%, Greens 8%
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March 25, 2015 at 9:37 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged 3 News, Electorate Polls, Northland, Reid Research, roads, TV3, Winston Peters
3 News reports:
The latest 3 News-Reid Research poll shows Mr Peters is ahead in the race for the electorate. He’s way ahead on 54 percent, with National candidate Mark Osborne polling only 34 percent. …
Bridges is another big issue, with National promising up to $69 million for bridges in the region.
Asked if it’s a bribe, 74 percent of voters said yes, 22 percent said no and the rest – 4 percent – said they didn’t know.
“People can see through it – they know it’s just a bribe,” says Mr Peters.
Still, a majority – 58 percent – said they want the bridges, while quite a lot – 39 percent – said they didn’t. The rest didn’t know.
Asked if they trust Winston Peters, 43 percent said yes, while a majority 48 percent said no. The rest didn’t know.
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March 9, 2015 at 10:24 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Electorate Polls, mining, Northland, One News, Q+A, TVNZ
Q+A Poll of Northland:
- Mark Osborne, Nat 36%
- Winston Peters, NZF 36%
- Willow-Jean Prime, Labour, 20%
If Prime steps aside:
- Winston Peters 51%
- Mark Osborne 37%
Merge Northland Councils
Oil and gas drilling in Northland
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March 5, 2015 at 9:19 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged 3 News, Electorate Polls, Northland, Reid Research, TV3
3 News reports:
- Winston Peters, NZF 35%
- Mark Osborne, Nat 30%
- Willow-Jean Prime, Lab, 16%
- Don’t Know/Won’r Vote 19%
Also:
- 71% say voters should have been told of Sabin investigation, 20% no
- 13% say Peters is too old, 85% no
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February 23, 2015 at 11:27 am · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged alcohol, Colmar Brunton, Iraq, Islamic State, military, NZ Political Party Polls, One News, Preferred PM, TVNZ
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 840 had a voting preference
Undecideds: 10%
Dates: 14 February to 18 February 2015
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 49.0% (+3.9%)
- Labour 31.0% (+5.8%
- Green 10.0% (-2.5%)
- ACT 0.3% (-0.3%)
- Maori 1.5% (-0.1%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 0.4% (-1.4%)
- NZ First 6.0% (-2.1%)
- Conservative 1.5% (-2.9%)
Projected Seats
- National 60
- Labour 39
- Green 12
- ACT 1
- Maori 2
- United Future 1
- NZ First 7
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 39 + Greens 12 = 51/122 – 11 fewer than minimum needed to govern
- C – Maori 2 + NZ First 7 = 9/122
On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.
Preferred PM
- John Key 41% (-2.0%)
- Andrew Little 12% (nc from Cunliffe)
- Winston Peters 7% (+2.0%)
Islamic State
- 48% support sending New Zealand troops to help train Iraqi security forces to fight ISIS
- 42% opposed
Alcohol Sponsorship and Advertising
- 47% support a ban on alcohol sponsorship and advertising
- 45% opposed
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February 23, 2015 at 11:17 am · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 891 of whom 846 have a party preference
Undecideds: 5.0%
Dates: 02 September to 15 February 2015
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan
Party Support
- National 49.0% (-3.0%)
- Labour 30.0% (+4.0%)
- Green 12.0% (+1.0%)
- NZ First 6.0% (nc)
- Maori 1.0% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.0% (-1.0%)
- Mana/Internet 0.0% (nc)
- Conservative 1.5% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 60
- Labour 37
- Green 15
- ACT 1
- Maori 1
- United Future 1
- NZ First 7
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Greens 15 = 52/122 – ten fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- C – NZ First 7 + Maori 1 = 8/122
On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.
Country Direction
- Right 55.0% (-12.0%)
- Wrong 31.0% (+8.0%)
- Can’t Say 14.0% (+4.0%)
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