Archive for June, 2009

One News Mt Albert Poll

One News had a Colmar Brunton poll in Mt Albert. The poll of 500 people has a margin of error of 4.4%.

Electorate Vote

  • David Shearer, Labour 59% (59% in 2008)
  • Melissa Lee, National 21% (29%)
  • Russel Norman, Greens 15% (6%)
  • John Boscawen, ACT 3% (4%)

Party Vote

  • Labour 48% (43%)
  • National 37% (36%)

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Roy Morgan Poll early June 2009

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 866 (3.4% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 18 May to 31 May 2009

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 52.0% (nc)
  • Labour 31.0% (-0.5%)
  • Green 8.5% (-1.0%)
  • ACT 2.0% (nc)
  • Maori 3.0% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • Progressive 0.5% (nc)
  • NZ First 1.5% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 64
  • Labour 38
  • Green 10
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 64 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 67/121 – 6 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Progressive 1 + Greens 10 = 49/121 -12 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 65.5% (-2.0%)
  • Wrong 20.0% (+0.5%)
  • Can’t Say 14.5% (+1.5%

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