Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 24 to 30 November 2012
Client: 3 News
Report: 3 News
Party Support
- National 47.0% (-1.8%)
- Labour 34.6% (+1.6%)
- Green 12.9% (+2.3%)
- ACT 0.2% (+0.1%)
- Maori 1.0% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 0.1% (-0.9%)
- NZ First 2.0% (-1.2%)
- Conservative 1.0% (-1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 59
- Labour 43
- Green 16
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/124 – two fewer than minimum 63 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 43 + Greens 16 + Mana 1 = 60/122 – three fewer than minimum 63 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 37.4% (-3.6%)
- Shearer 12.6% (+4.1%)
- Peters 5.0% (nc)
- Norman 2.2% (-0.2%)
Leadership Performance Ratings
- John Key – 51.9% (-3.1%) well and 29.4% (-1.0%) poor = +22.5% net well (-2.1%)
- David Shearer – 31.6% (-1.9%) well and 34.4% (+2.9%) poor = -2.8% net well (-4.1%)
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