Roy Morgan late November 2009

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 849 (3.4% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 16 November to 29 November 2009

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 53.5% (+2.0%)
  • Labour 30.5% (-2.5%)
  • Green 7.0% (+0.5%)
  • ACT 1.5% (-1.0%)
  • Maori 3.5% (+1.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-1.0%)
  • Progressive 0.0% (nc)
  • NZ First 2.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 67
  • Labour 38
  • Green 9
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 67 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 70/123 – 8 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Progressive 1 + Greens 9 = 48/123 – 14 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 66.0% (+1.5%)
  • Wrong 22.0% (-0.5%)
  • Can’t Say 12.0% (-1.0%)
Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Please log in using one of these methods to post your comment:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: