3 News Northland poll

3 News reports:

The latest 3 News-Reid Research poll shows Mr Peters is ahead in the race for the electorate. He’s way ahead on 54 percent, with National candidate Mark Osborne polling only 34 percent. …

Bridges is another big issue, with National promising up to $69 million for bridges in the region.

Asked if it’s a bribe, 74 percent of voters said yes, 22 percent said no and the rest – 4 percent – said they didn’t know.

“People can see through it – they know it’s just a bribe,” says Mr Peters.

Still, a majority – 58 percent – said they want the bridges, while quite a lot – 39 percent – said they didn’t. The rest didn’t know.

Asked if they trust Winston Peters, 43 percent said yes, while a majority 48 percent said no. The rest didn’t know.

One News Colmar Brunton poll February 2014

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,007 respondents, of whom 834 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 13%

Dates: 15 to 19 February 2014

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

• National 51.0% (+6.0%)
• Labour 34.0% (nc)
• Green 8.0% (-5.0%)
• ACT 0.4% (-0.1%)
• Maori 0.9% (-0.5%)
• United Future 0.3% (+0.2%)
• Mana 0.0% (-0.3%)
• NZ First 3.1% (-0.8%)
• Conservative 1.3% (-0.3%)

Projected Seats

• National 64
• Labour 44
• Green 11
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Conservative 0
• Total 125

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 64 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 66/125 – three more than minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 44 + Greens 11 + Mana 1= 56/125 – seven fewer than minimum needed to govern
• C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/125

On this poll there would be a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

• John Key 43% (+1.0%)
• David Cunliffe 10% (-2.0%)
• Winston Peters 4% (nc)

Winston Peters

• 43% say he should be a Minister
• 43% say he should not

Most important issues

• Education 40%
• Health 37%
• Jobs 30%
• Child poverty 27%
• Wages 23%
• Crime 21%
• Income tax 17%
• Asset sales 17%
• House prices 15%
• Inequality 14%

Minimum Wage

• Increase to more than $15/hour 23%
• Increase to $15/hour 46%
• Increase to less than $15/hour 16%
• Stay at $13.75/hour 13%

NZ Flag

• Design a new flag 28%
• Keep current flag 72%
• If change, 85% say public should decide design

3 News Reid Research Poll January 2014

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Dates: approx 21 to 28 January 2014

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

• National 44.5% (-3.2%)
• Labour 33.5% (+1.2%)
• Green 12.4% (-1.6%)
• ACT 0.0% (+0.6%)
• Maori 1.0%  (-0.4%)
• United Future 0.0% (-0.2%)
• Mana 0.3% (+1.1%)
• NZ First 5.7% (+0.3%)
• Conservative 2.1% (+1.7%)

Projected Seats

• National 55
• Labour 42
• Green 15
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 7
• Total 125

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 55 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 57/125 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 42 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 58/125 – five fewer than minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 7 + Maori 3 = 10/125

On this poll, NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

• Key 39.0% (-1.9%)
• Cunliffe 10.8% (nc)
• Peters 5.8% (-1.7%)
• Norman

NZ First

• 54% say John Key should work with Winston Peters, 36% say he should rule him out
• 61% of National supporters say John Key should work with Winston Peters, 32% say he should rule him out

Internet Party

• 21% said they would consider voting for Kim Dotcom’s Internet Party
• 75% would not

One News Colmar Brunton Poll on Winston Peters

The previously reported Colmar Brunton poll had an additional question on Winston Peters.

• On the issue of how PM Helen Clark has managed Winston Peters over the secret donations scandal, 58% say she has been too soft, 28% about right and 3% too tough.
• 78% says Peters has not been open and honest on the funding of NZ First and 9% say he has.
• 68% support National’s stance of ruling Peters out, 24% disagree
• 63% say Labour should rule Peters out with 26% disagreeing

Colmar Brunton on Peters as Foreign Minister

In August, Colmar Bruton asked whether the allegations about Winston Peters were having an impact on his job as Foreign Minister.

They asked regardless of whether you support New Zealand First, which of the following statements best sums up your opinion on whether this has affected Mr Peters’ ability to carry out his role as Foreign Minister.”

It was asked from 9-14 August 2008

• It has affected his ability to a high degree – 27%
• It has had some impact on his ability to do the job – 37%
• It has made no difference to him doing the job – 32%
• Don’t Know – 5%