Roy Morgan poll early February 2015

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 891 of whom 846 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.0%

Dates: 02 September to 15 February 2015

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 49.0% (-3.0%)
  • Labour 30.0% (+4.0%)
  • Green 12.0% (+1.0%)
  • NZ First 6.0% (nc)
  • Maori 1.0% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.0% (-1.0%)
  • Mana/Internet 0.0% (nc)
  • Conservative 1.5% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 37
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 15 = 52/122 – ten fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 7 + Maori 1 = 8/122

On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.

Country Direction

  • Right 55.0% (-12.0%)
  • Wrong 31.0% (+8.0%)
  • Can’t Say 14.0% (+4.0%)
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