Roy Morgan poll May 2015

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 866 of whom 823 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.0%

Dates: 04 May to 17 May 2015

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 54.0% (+8.5%)
  • Labour 25.5% (-2.0%)
  • Green 10.5% (-3.0%)
  • NZ First 6.0% (-2.5%)
  • Maori 1.0% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 1.0% (nc)
  • Mana/Internet 0.0% (nc)
  • Conservative 1.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 67
  • Labour 31
  • Green 13
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 1
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 67 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 69/121 – eight more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 31 + Greens 13 = 44/121 – 17 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 7 + Maori 1 = 8/121

On this poll National could govern alone.

Country Direction

  • Right 63.0% (+1.0%)
  • Wrong 26.5% (-0.5%)
  • Can’t Say 10.5% (-0.5%)
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1 Comment »

  1. […] The latest poll, a Roy Morgan, is on Curiablog. […]

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