3 News poll early September 2014

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Dates: 01 to 08 September 2014

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 46.7% (+0.3%)
  • Labour 26.1% (+0.2%)
  • Green 13.0% (+0.4%)
  • ACT 0.3% (-0.3%)
  • Maori 1.3%  (-0.7%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.1%)
  • Mana/Internet 1.7% (nc)
  • NZ First 5.9% (+0.1%)
  • Conservative 4.7% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 59
  • Labour 33
  • Green 17
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana/Internet 2
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/123 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 33 + Greens 17 + Mana/Internet 2 = 52/123 – ten fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 7 + Maori 3 = 10/123

On this poll, the centre parties would hold the balance of power. National could govern with NZ First or with the Maori Party (and ACT/UF). Labour could only govern with the Greens, Internet Mana, NZ First and the Maori Party.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 45.3% (+0.2%)
  • David Cunliffe 12.3% (+0.9%)

 

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