3 News Reid Research Poll Jan 2015

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Dates: 20 to 28 January 2015

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 49.8% (+4.3%)
  • Labour 29.1% (+3.5%)
  • Green 9.3% (-5.1%)
  • ACT 0.4% (+0.3%)
  • Maori 1.3%  (+0.2%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.1%)
  • Mana/Internet 0.6% (-1.4%)
  • NZ First 6.9% (-0.2%)
  • Conservative 2.7% (-2.2%)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 36
  • Green 12
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • NZ First 8
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/122 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 12 = 48/122 – 14 fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 8 + Maori 2 = 10/122

On this poll National could govern alone.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 44.0% (-0.1%)
  • Andrew Little 9.8% (-2.5% from Cunliffe)

Andrew Little as Leader

  • Better match for Key than predecessors 55%
  • The same 12%
  • Worse 18%
  • Don’t Know 18%

Leader Ratings

  • John Key – performing well 63%, performing badly 24%, net approval = +39%
  • Andrew Little – performing well 45%, performing badly 17%, net approval = +28%

Whale Oil

  • Key should stop texting Whale Oil 68%
  • Key should continue texting 18%
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1 Comment »

  1. […] News had a poll last night. Details are at Curiablog.  National and Labour up and Greens and Conservatives down. On the poll National could govern […]

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