Posts Tagged Kim Dotcom

Herald Digipoll March 2014

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 11.4%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 665 had a party preference

Dates: 06 to 16 March 2014

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 50.8% (+4.0%)
  • Labour 29.5% (-5.9%)
  • Green 13.1% (+2.3%)
  • NZ First 3.6% (-0.3%)
  • Maori 0.2% (-1.1%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.8% (+0.8%)
  • Mana 0.1% (-0.8%)
  • Conservative 1.3% (+0.6%)

Projected Seats

  • National 65
  • Labour 37
  • Green 17
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 125

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 65 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 67/125 – four more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 17 + Mana 1 = 55/123 -eight fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/123

On this poll, National would form the Government.

Preferred PM

  • Key 66.5% (+4.6%)
  • Cunliffe 11.1% (-5.4%)
  • Peters 6.5% (-0.8%)
  • Norman 4.5% (+1.1%)

Baby Bonus of $60 a week

  • Support 47%
  • Oppose 49%

Kim Dotcom

  • Should be extradited if court rules eligible 47%
  • Should not be extradited 42%

NZ Flag

  • Support new flag 41%
  • Keep current flag 53%

Countdown

  • 51% believe Shane Jones allegations
  • 20% believe Countdown

Len Brown

  • Would vote for Brown in 2016 – 23%
  • Would not vote for Brown – 58%
  • Brown can still be an effective advocate – 52%
  • Brown should have resigned 50% (+12%)
  • Brown should not have resigned 38% (-13%)

Income Inequality

  • 44% say gap between rich and poor has got a lot bigger
  • 30% say a little bigger
  • 22% say gap the same
  • 3% say gap has closed
  • 33% say they are better off under National
  • 30% the same
  • 30% worse off
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3 News Reid Research Poll January 2014

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Dates: approx 21 to 28 January 2014

Client: 3 News

Report3 News

Party Support

  • National 44.5% (-3.2%)
  • Labour 33.5% (+1.2%)
  • Green 12.4% (-1.6%)
  • ACT 0.0% (+0.6%)
  • Maori 1.0%  (-0.4%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.2%)
  • Mana 0.3% (+1.1%)
  • NZ First 5.7% (+0.3%)
  • Conservative 2.1% (+1.7%)

Projected Seats

  • National 55
  • Labour 42
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 125

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 55 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 57/125 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 42 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 58/125 – five fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 7 + Maori 3 = 10/125

On this poll, NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • Key 39.0% (-1.9%)
  • Cunliffe 10.8% (nc)
  • Peters 5.8% (-1.7%)
  • Norman

NZ First

  • 54% say John Key should work with Winston Peters, 36% say he should rule him out
  • 61% of National supporters say John Key should work with Winston Peters, 32% say he should rule him out

Internet Party

  • 21% said they would consider voting for Kim Dotcom’s Internet Party
  • 75% would not

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3 News Reid Research Poll July 2013

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error) of whom 831 have a voting preference

Undecideds: 14.2%

Dates: 09 to 17 July 2013

Client: 3 News

Report3NewsPoll July 2013

Party Support

  • National 49.5% (+2.4%)
  • Labour 31.0% (-2.1%)
  • Green 12.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.2% (nc)
  • Maori 1.6%  (-0.6%)
  • United Future 0.2% (-0.2%)
  • Mana 0.2% (-0.3%)
  • NZ First 3.9% (+1.7%)
  • Conservative 1.1% (-0.4%)

Projected Seats

  • National 63
  • Labour 40
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 63 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 65/124 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 40 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 56/124 – seven fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/123

On this poll, there would be a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

  • Key 42.0% (+1.3%)
  • Shearer 12.1% (+1.6%)
  • Peters 7.0% (+0.9%)
  • Norman 1.7% (-1.9%)

Leadership Performance Ratings

  • John Key – 52.0% (-3.0%) well and 32.2% (+1.9%) poor = +19% net well (-4.9%)
  • David Shearer – 26.1% (-10.1%) well and 43.3% (+7.0%) poor = -17.2% net well (-17.1%)

Kim Dotcom

  • 52% believe Kim Dotcom’s claims John Key knew of him before the raids
  • 34% believe Key’s denials

David Shearer

  • 42% say Shearer should step down as Labour leader
  • 45% say Shearer should remain
  • 39% of Labour voters say Shearer should step down, 51% say stay

Alternate Labour Leaders

  • David Cunliffe 26%
  • Grant Robertson 16%
  • Andrew Little 9%

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3 News Reid Research Poll April 2013

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: Approx 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Dates: 13 to 18 April 2013

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 49.4% (-2.0%)
  • Labour 30.2% (-2.4%)
  • Green 11.5% (+0.7%)
  • ACT 0.5% (+0.4%)
  • Maori 1.0%  (+0.6%)
  • United Future
  • Mana 1.0% (+1.0%)
  • NZ First 3.8% (+0.4%)
  • Conservative 2.0% (+1.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 63
  • Labour 39
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 63 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 65/123 – three more than minimum 63 needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 55/123 – seven fewer than minimum 63 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 37.6% (-3.4%)
  • Shearer 10.0% (nc)
  • Peters
  • Norman

Leadership Performance Ratings

  • John Key – 55.3% (-1.5%) well and 32.2% (+6.4%) poor = +23.1% net well (-7.9%)
  • David Shearer – 32.4% (-2.5%) well and 35.8% (-3.8%) poor = -3.4% net well (-6.3%)

GCSB

  • 50% trusted
  • 40% not trusted
  • 11% unsure

Kim Dotcom

  • 48% should be allowed to stay
  • 42% sent to US
  • 10% unsure

 

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