3 News Reid Research Poll April 2012

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)

Dates: assumed 14 to 19 April 2012

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 49.8% (+2.3%)
  • Labour 29.4% (nc)
  • Green 14.1% (+0.8%)
  • ACT 0.2% (nc)
  • Maori 1.6%  (+0.3%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • Mana 0.9% (-0.4%)
  • NZ First 2.3% (-2.7%)
  • Conservative 1.1% (-0.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 37
  • Green 18
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/123 – two more than minimum 62 needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 18 + Mana 1 = 56/122 -six less than minimum 62 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 44.2% (-1.6%)
  • Shearer 10.4% (+0.3%)

Leadership Approval

  • Key – 59.9% (-0.6%) doing well vs 24.0% (-2.0%) doing poorly – net rating is +35.9% (-2.6%)
  • Shearer  – 32.5% (-2.6%) doing well vs 26.2% (+9.0%) doing poorly – net positive is +6.3% (-11.6%)
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2 Comments »

  1. […] ironic timing then that tonight’s 3 News Reid Research poll (blogged at Curiablog) has National increasing its support since February by 2.3%, to reach […]

  2. This is either nonsense or the 1000 source respondents were all located in Parnell Helensville & Omaha.. If it had been done on Waiheke this weekend would have been very differerent result..Who can afford land lines and cell phones ? Very few Mana/Maori/Labour supporters I would have thought..

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