3 News Reid Research poll June 2014

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Dates: June 2014

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

• National 49.7% (-0.6%)
• Labour 27.2% (-2.2%)
• Green 12.7% (+2.5%)
• ACT 0.4% (-0.2%)
• Maori 1.5%  (+0.9%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• Mana/Internet 1.8% (+1.0%)
• NZ First 3.6% (-2.0%)
• Conservative 2.8% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 64
• Labour 35
• Green 16
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 2
• NZ First 0
• Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 64 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 66/122 – four more than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 36 + Greens 16 + Mana/Internet 2 = 54/122 – eight fewer than minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 0/124

On this poll, there would be a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

• Key 46.7% (+0.4%)
• Cunliffe 9.6% (-0.2%)