Roy Morgan poll late January 2013

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,865 of whom 1,790 have a party preference

Undecideds: 4.0%

Dates: 14 January 2013 to 27 January 2013

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 46.0% (nc)
  • Labour 31.5% (nc)
  • Green 13.5% (+1.5%)
  • NZ First 5.5% (+0.5%)
  • Maori 1.5% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • Mana 0.5% (nc)
  • Conservative 0.5% (-1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 56
  • Labour 38
  • Green 16
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 56 + United Future 1 = 57/122 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Greens 16 + NZ First 7 + Mana 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction.0

  • Right 57% (+3.5%)
  • Wrong 30.5% (-3.0%)
  • Can’t Say 12.5% (-0.5%)
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