Fairfax Ipsos poll October 2013

Polling Company: Ipsos

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,030 of whom 815 have a party preference

Undecideds: 21.9%

Dates: 19 October 2013 to 23 October 2013

Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

  • National 50.2% (+1.9%)
  • Labour 33.6% (+2.0%)
  • Green 10.7% (-1.6%)
  • NZ First 2.3% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 0.7% (-0.3%)
  • United Future 0.1% (nc)
  • ACT 0.1% (-0.1%)
  • Mana 0.7% (+0.2%)
  • Conservative 0.7% (-0.7%)

Projected Seats

  • National 63
  • Labour 43
  • Green 12
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 63 + ACT1 + United Future 1 = 65/124 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 42 + Greens 11 + Mana 1 = 56/124 – seven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/125

On this poll a centre-right government would be formed.

Country Direction

  • Right 59.5% (+1.2%)
  • Wrong 40.5% (-1.2%)

Government Rating

  • 5.6/10 (+0.4)

Time for a change

  • Yes 50.1% (+1.5%)
  • No 43.1% (+0.4%)

Leader Attributes:

  • Strong and effective PM – Key +25.2%
  • Trust on economy – Key +20.6%
  • Stable & united Government Key +19.5%
  • Create fair society – Cunliffe +3.3%
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1 Comment »

  1. […] I’ve blogged the latest Fairfax/Ipsos poll at Curiablog. […]

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