3 News Reid Research Poll February 2013

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error) of whom 807 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 16.2%

Dates: 12 to 21 February 2013

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

• National 51.4% (+4.4%)
• Labour 32.6% (-2.0%)
• Green 10.8% (-2.2%)
• ACT 0.1% (-0.1%)
• Maori 0.4%  (-0.8%)
• United Future 0.3% (+0.2%)
• Mana 0.0% (-0.1%)
• NZ First 3.4% (+1.4%)
• Conservative 0.9% (+0.2%)

Projected Seats

• National 64
• Labour 41
• Green 14
• ACT 1
• Maori 3
• United Future 1
• Mana 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 125

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 64 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 66/125 – three more than minimum 63 needed to govern
• CL – Labour 41 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 56/125 – seven fewer than minimum 63 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

• Key 41.0% (+3.6%)
• Shearer 10.0% (-2.6%)
• Peters 4.7% (-1.1%)
• Norman 1.8% (-0.4%)

Leadership Performance Ratings

• John Key – 56.8% (+4.9%) well and 25.8% (-3.6%) poor = +31.0% net well (+8.5%)
• David Shearer – 34.9% (+3.3%) well and 32.0% (-2.4%) poor = 2.9% net well (+5.7%)