3 News Reid Research Poll February 2013

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error) of whom 807 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 16.2%

Dates: 12 to 21 February 2013

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 51.4% (+4.4%)
  • Labour 32.6% (-2.0%)
  • Green 10.8% (-2.2%)
  • ACT 0.1% (-0.1%)
  • Maori 0.4%  (-0.8%)
  • United Future 0.3% (+0.2%)
  • Mana 0.0% (-0.1%)
  • NZ First 3.4% (+1.4%)
  • Conservative 0.9% (+0.2%)

Projected Seats

  • National 64
  • Labour 41
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 125

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 64 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 66/125 – three more than minimum 63 needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 56/125 – seven fewer than minimum 63 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 41.0% (+3.6%)
  • Shearer 10.0% (-2.6%)
  • Peters 4.7% (-1.1%)
  • Norman 1.8% (-0.4%)

Leadership Performance Ratings

  • John Key – 56.8% (+4.9%) well and 25.8% (-3.6%) poor = +31.0% net well (+8.5%)
  • David Shearer – 34.9% (+3.3%) well and 32.0% (-2.4%) poor = 2.9% net well (+5.7%)
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3 Comments »

  1. [...] blogged at Curiablog the results of the latest 3 News Reid Research [...]

  2. Not what you expect this far into a parties second term, go National!

  3. [...] probably done more to show it that ever, wiping the ’Cunliffe variables’ off the screen. In the recent TV3 Reid Research Preferred Prime Minister poll, John Key at 41% is a whopping 31% ahead of our socialist friend. Even with a high margin of error, [...]

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