Roy Morgan Poll late June 2010

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 849, of whom 798 have a party preference

Dates: 21 June to 04 July 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

• National 53.0% (+2.5%)
• Labour 29.0% (-4.0%)
• Green 8.5% (-1.0%)
• ACT 2.0% (+1.0%)
• Maori 3.0% (nc)
• United Future 0.5% (-0.5%)
• Progressive 0.0% (nc)
• NZ First 3.0% (+1.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 66
• Labour 36
• Green 11
• ACT 2
• Maori 5
• United Future 1
• Progressive 0
• NZ First 0
• Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 66 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 69/121 – 8 more than minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 36 + Greens 11 = 47/121 – 14 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 65.0% (+4.5%)
• Wrong 21.0% (-3.0%)
• Can’t Say 14.0% (-1.5%)