Roy Morgan Poll late June 2010

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 849, of whom 798 have a party preference

Dates: 21 June to 04 July 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

  • National 53.0% (+2.5%)
  • Labour 29.0% (-4.0%)
  • Green 8.5% (-1.0%)
  • ACT 2.0% (+1.0%)
  • Maori 3.0% (nc)
  • United Future 0.5% (-0.5%)
  • Progressive 0.0% (nc)
  • NZ First 3.0% (+1.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 66
  • Labour 36
  • Green 11
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 66 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 69/121 – 8 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 11 = 47/121 – 14 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 65.0% (+4.5%)
  • Wrong 21.0% (-3.0%)
  • Can’t Say 14.0% (-1.5%)
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1 Comment »

  1. […] the latest Roy Morgan poll, Labour would get just 36 seats – a decline of seven. This creates massive problems for not […]

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