February 1, 2010 at 4:00 pm
· Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Digipoll, Leader Ratings, NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM
Digipoll did a poll of 1,002 Maori voters between the 6th and 27th of January 2010. 685 (68%) were from the Maori Roll and 317 (32%) from the General Roll.
For each result, I give the overall result, then the response for those on the Maori roll and then General Roll.
Party Vote
- Maori Party 38.3%, 51.2%, 11.30%
- Labour 27.9%, 31.6%, 51.0%
- National 16.9%, 11.4%, 28.4%l
- Greens 3.3%, 3.3%, 3.4%
Preferred PM
- Key 30.5%, 27.9%, 36.0%
- Sharples 11.8%, 14.9%, 5.2%
- Peters 7.0%, 6.0%, 9.2%
- Turia 4.9%, 6.8%, 1.5%
- Goff 4.6%, 3.9%, 6.5%
- Clark 3.8%, 3.7%, 4.0%
- Harawira 3.0%, 4.5%, 0.3%
- Jones 2.2%, 2.2%, 2.5%
Does John Key/Phil Goff provide good leadership on Maori issues?
- John Key Yes – 46.7%, 49.5%, 42.5%
- John Key No – 37.1%, 36.0%, 40.0%
- Phil Goff Yes – 18.2%, 17.1%, 19.1%
- Phil Goff No – 58.9%, 61.9%, 55.1%
Is Phil Goff best person to lead Labour (asked of Labour voters only)?
- Yes 36.0%, 34.4%, 38.3%
- No 48.1%, 49.0%, 37.7%
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February 1, 2010 at 11:30 am
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,758 (2.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 04 January to 17 January 2010
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 53.0% (-1.0%)
- Labour 30.0% (+2.5%)
- Green 8.0% (-1.5%)
- ACT 2.0% (+0.5%)
- Maori 2.5% (+1.0%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- Progressive 0.5% (+0.5%)
- NZ First 2.5% (-1.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 66
- Labour 37
- Green 10
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 66 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 69/122 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Progressive 1 + Greens 10 = 48/122 – 14 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 68.5% (+6.0%)
- Wrong 21.0% (-4.0%)
- Can’t Say 10.5% (-2.0%)
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January 3, 2010 at 3:10 am
· Filed under Uncategorized ·Tagged Country Direction, Economy, Leader Ratings, media, Mood of the Nation, NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls, UMR, unemployment
UMR have published a 42 page mood of the nation for 2009. Some extracts:
- 68% say 2010 will be better than 2009, with 20% disagreeing
- At year end 61% expect economy to get better, and 22% worse
- 41% expect their family’s living standards to get better, and 22% worse
- 49% expect unemployment to go up, and 26% down
- 64% expect interest rates to increase and 11% decrease
- In ten years time, respondents expect the economy (net +22%) to be better, race relations (+16%), transport (+6%), policing (+11%), education (+4%) and the environment (+1%). A net 9% think the health system will be worse.
- 59% say country heading on right track and 30% wrong track. average for yeas was 65% to 23%.
- Corporate net favourable ratings were NZ Post +84%, Telecom +27%, Air NZ +67%, TVNZ +60%
- Bank favourability ratings are Kiwibank 65%, National 55%, ASB 55%, Westpac 55%, BNZ 49%, ANZ 45% and TSB 34%
- Net favourability for Govt agencies are Fire Service +86%, Police +57%, Customs +63%, DOC +57%, MAF +36%, MOD +31%, Nat Lib +44%, MFish +34%, IRD +5%, MOT +5%, NZFSA +19%, Min Ed -4%, Min Health -7%, Treasury -6%, MOJ – 14%, DOL – 5%, Corrections -27%, ACC -37%, MSD -13% and TPK -7%
- Confidence in institutions is Police +30%, GPs +29%, Unis +27%, primary schools +26%, military +6%, small business +5%, sec schools +3%, TV News -10%, banks -13%, public health system -18%, courts -16%, public service -29%, newspapers -33%, religion -34%, Parliament -43%, big business -40%, unions -42%, media generally -55%
- Party Vote Dec 2009 is Nat 48%, Lab 35%, Greens 7.5%
- Net favourability for John Key +54%, Phil Goff +9%,
- Top five issues are economy 33%, unemployment 14%, crime 11%, health care 4%, politics/govt 4%
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December 22, 2009 at 10:29 am
· Filed under Uncategorized ·Tagged Auckland, local body elections, UMR
UMR polled 482 Aucklanders on who they thought would be a better Mayor for the new Auckland Council.
42% said Len Brown and 31% John Banks
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December 21, 2009 at 2:28 pm
· Filed under Uncategorized
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 858 (3.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 30 November to 13 December 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 54.0% (+0.5%)
- Labour 27.5% (-3.0%)
- Green 9.5% (+2.5%)
- ACT 1.5% (nc)
- Maori 1.5% (-2.0%)
- United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
- Progressive 0.0% (nc)
- NZ First 4.0% (+1.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 68
- Labour 35
- Green 12
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 68 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 71/124 – 8 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 35 + Progressive 1 + Greens 12 = 48/124 – 15 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 62.5% (-3.5%)
- Wrong 25.0% (+3.0%)
- Can’t Say 12.5% (+0.5%)
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December 14, 2009 at 1:38 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, Reid Research, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 893 have a party preference, (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 02 December to 08 December 2009
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
- National 55.2% (-4.7%)
- Labour 30.8% (+3.6%)
- Green 7.8% (+0.9%)
- ACT 1.8% (+0.1%)
- Maori 1.7% (-0.7%)
- United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
- Progressive 0.1% (-0.2%)
- NZ First 1.5% (+0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 68
- Labour 38
- Green 10
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 125
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 68 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 71/125 – 8 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Progressive 1 + Greens 10 = 49/124 -14 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 49.9% (-5.9%)
- Clark 6.1% (-2.1%)
- Goff 8.0% (+3.3%)
- Peters 2.1% (-0.9%
Leadership Approval
- Key – 72.9% (-9.4%) doing well vs 12.3% (+5.1%) doing poorly – net positive is 60.6% (-14.5%)
- Goff – 32.2% (-2.0%) doing well vs 40.6% (+2.7%) doing poorly – net positive is -8.4% (-4.7%)
Leadership Characteristics – Positive
- capable leader – Key by 41% (+1%)
- good in a crisis – Key by 29% (nc)
- sound judgement – Key by 23% (-5%)
- in touch with Maori – Key by 14% (+8%)
Leadership Characteristics – Negative
- more style than substance – Key by 12% (+4%)
- talk down to people – Goff by 8% (+1%)
- narrow minded – Goff by 7% (-3%)
- inflexible – Goff by 2% (-7%)
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December 14, 2009 at 1:04 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 849 (3.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 16 November to 29 November 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 53.5% (+2.0%)
- Labour 30.5% (-2.5%)
- Green 7.0% (+0.5%)
- ACT 1.5% (-1.0%)
- Maori 3.5% (+1.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (-1.0%)
- Progressive 0.0% (nc)
- NZ First 2.5% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 67
- Labour 38
- Green 9
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 67 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 70/123 – 8 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Progressive 1 + Greens 9 = 48/123 – 14 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 66.0% (+1.5%)
- Wrong 22.0% (-0.5%)
- Can’t Say 12.0% (-1.0%)
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December 6, 2009 at 10:20 pm
· Filed under NZ Issues Polls ·Tagged MMP, NZ Issues Polls, UMR
UMR did a poll of 750 New Zealanders from 22 to 27 October 2009.
Favoured alternatives to MMP:
- FPP 29%
- STV 20%
- SM 9%
- Not Know enough 32%
- Unsure 9%
Retain MMP:
- Retain 48%
- Change 40%
- Unsure 11%
Hold $20 million referendum:
Success of MMP (net ratings)
- More Maori MPs +31%
- More co-operation +27%
- Prlt more representative +24%
- More women MPs +22%
- Legislation consulted more +9%
- Stable Govt +7%
- Make MPs listen +1%
- Harder for parties to break word -2%
- Foster national unity -5%
- Sound economic policies -5%
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December 6, 2009 at 4:15 pm
· Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, Economy, electoral system, Hone Harawira, MMP, NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls, One News, Preferred PM
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 999 adults, of whom 822 are decided
Dates: 21 November to 25 November 2009
Client: One News
Report: TVNZ
Party Support
- National 53.0% (-1.0%)
- Labour 31.0% (-2.0%)
- Green 7.0% (+2.7%)
- ACT 2.2% (-1.0%)
- Maori 3.4% (+0.7%)
- United Future 0.6% (+0.4%)
- Progressive 0.3% (-0.1%)
- NZ First 1.0% (-0.7%)
Projected Seats
- National 66
- Labour 38
- Green 8
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 66 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 70/122 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 47/122 -15 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Economic Outlook
- 68% economy over next 12 months will be better (-2.0%)
- 16% same (nc)
- 16% worse (+3.0%)
Preferred PM
- John Key 54% (+4.0%)
- Phil Goff 5% (-4%)
- Helen Clark 3% (-1%)
MMP
- Retain 54% (+7% over June 2008)
- Not Retain 36% (-7%)
- Don’t Know 10% (nc)
Preferred Electoral System
- MMP 39%
- FPP 33%
- STV 12%
- SM 2%
- Don’t Know 14%
Hone Harawira
- 77% say his comments were racist
- 16% say they were not
- 6% don’t know
- 23% say he should remain an MP
- 69% say he should go
- 9% don’t know
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December 6, 2009 at 3:53 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 876 (3.3% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 02 November to 15 November 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 51.5% (-4.0%)
- Labour 33.0% (+4.0%)
- Green 6.5% (-1.0%)
- ACT 2.5% (+1.5%)
- Maori 2.0% (-1.5%)
- United Future 1.0% (+0.5%)
- Progressive 0.0% (-0.5%)
- NZ First 2.5% (+1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 64
- Labour 41
- Green 8
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 64 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 68/123 – 6 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 41 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 50/123 – 12 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 64.5% (-2.0%)
- Wrong 22.5% (+2.0%)
- Can’t Say 13.0% (nc)
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