December 6, 2009 at 10:20 pm
· Filed under NZ Issues Polls ·Tagged MMP, NZ Issues Polls, UMR
UMR did a poll of 750 New Zealanders from 22 to 27 October 2009.
Favoured alternatives to MMP:
- FPP 29%
- STV 20%
- SM 9%
- Not Know enough 32%
- Unsure 9%
Retain MMP:
- Retain 48%
- Change 40%
- Unsure 11%
Hold $20 million referendum:
Success of MMP (net ratings)
- More Maori MPs +31%
- More co-operation +27%
- Prlt more representative +24%
- More women MPs +22%
- Legislation consulted more +9%
- Stable Govt +7%
- Make MPs listen +1%
- Harder for parties to break word -2%
- Foster national unity -5%
- Sound economic policies -5%
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December 6, 2009 at 4:15 pm
· Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, Economy, electoral system, Hone Harawira, MMP, NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls, One News, Preferred PM
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 999 adults, of whom 822 are decided
Dates: 21 November to 25 November 2009
Client: One News
Report: TVNZ
Party Support
- National 53.0% (-1.0%)
- Labour 31.0% (-2.0%)
- Green 7.0% (+2.7%)
- ACT 2.2% (-1.0%)
- Maori 3.4% (+0.7%)
- United Future 0.6% (+0.4%)
- Progressive 0.3% (-0.1%)
- NZ First 1.0% (-0.7%)
Projected Seats
- National 66
- Labour 38
- Green 8
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 66 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 70/122 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 47/122 -15 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Economic Outlook
- 68% economy over next 12 months will be better (-2.0%)
- 16% same (nc)
- 16% worse (+3.0%)
Preferred PM
- John Key 54% (+4.0%)
- Phil Goff 5% (-4%)
- Helen Clark 3% (-1%)
MMP
- Retain 54% (+7% over June 2008)
- Not Retain 36% (-7%)
- Don’t Know 10% (nc)
Preferred Electoral System
- MMP 39%
- FPP 33%
- STV 12%
- SM 2%
- Don’t Know 14%
Hone Harawira
- 77% say his comments were racist
- 16% say they were not
- 6% don’t know
- 23% say he should remain an MP
- 69% say he should go
- 9% don’t know
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December 6, 2009 at 3:53 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 876 (3.3% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 02 November to 15 November 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 51.5% (-4.0%)
- Labour 33.0% (+4.0%)
- Green 6.5% (-1.0%)
- ACT 2.5% (+1.5%)
- Maori 2.0% (-1.5%)
- United Future 1.0% (+0.5%)
- Progressive 0.0% (-0.5%)
- NZ First 2.5% (+1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 64
- Labour 41
- Green 8
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 64 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 68/123 – 6 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 41 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 50/123 – 12 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 64.5% (-2.0%)
- Wrong 22.5% (+2.0%)
- Can’t Say 13.0% (nc)
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December 6, 2009 at 3:39 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 951 (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 19 October to 01 November 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 55.5% (+2.5%)
- Labour 29.0% (-1.0%)
- Green 7.5% (nc)
- ACT 1.0% (-1.5%)
- Maori 3.5% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- Progressive 0.5% (nc)
- NZ First 1.5% (-1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 68
- Labour 36
- Green 9
- ACT 1
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 68 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 70/121 – 9 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Progressive 1 + Greens 9 = 46/121 – 15 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 66.5% (-1.0%)
- Wrong 20.5% (-1.0%)
- Can’t Say 13.0% (+2.0%)
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November 9, 2009 at 4:05 am
· Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Digipoll, Marae, NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls
Marae has published the results of a poll done by Digipoll between 18 October and 3 November 2009. It is of 1,002 voters of Maori descent – 700 on the Maori Roll, and 302 on the General Roll.
Party Vote
Maori Party 48%
Labour 26%
National 20%
Electorate Vote (Maori roll only)
Maori Party 57%
Labour 33%
National 7%
Preferred PM
John Key 30%
Helen Clark 11%
Pita Sharples 9%
Tariana Turia 6%
Phil Goff 4%
Winston Peters 4%
PM Approval
Approve 55%
Disapprove 36%
Most Favoured Maori MP
Pita Sharples 31.9%
Tariana Turia 16.7%
Hone Harawira 8.2%
Te Ururoa Flavell 3.3%
Parekura Horomia 3.2%
Most Effective Maori MP
Pita Sharples 31.9%
Tariana Turia 16.7%
Hone Harawira 8.2%
Te Ururoa Flavell 3.3%
Parekura Horomia 3.2%
Government Approval
Approve 45%
Disapprove 45%
Direction
Right 40%
Wrong 44%
Maori Party Supporters
68% support decision to join the Government and think they made right decision
Only 33% support the arrangement where Maori Party Ministers sit outside Cabinet
Top Issues
Jobs / Unemployment 22.5%
Health 12.6%
Education 10.5%
Family / Whanau 8.9%
Cost of Living 8.7%
Economy 5.6%
Housing 4.1%
Child Care 3.9%
Law and Order 3.7%
Environmental Issues 1.8%
Treaty Claims 1.2%
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November 4, 2009 at 7:46 am
· Filed under NZ Issues Polls ·Tagged Digipoll, Maori TV, NZ Herald, NZ Issues Polls, Rugby World Cup
A Herald-Digipoll in October 2009 finds:
- 44% approved of Maori TV leading a bid for Rugby World Cup coverage
- 45% disapproved
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October 31, 2009 at 9:41 am
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, Digipoll, Economy, Leader Ratings, NZ Herald, NZ Political Party Polls
Polling Company: DigiPoll
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 750 respondents (3.6% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 15 October to 28 October 2009
Client: NZ Herald
Report: NZ Herald pdf
Party Support
- National 57.3% (+9.4%)
- Labour 32.4% (-4.0%)
- Green 4.6% (-1.2%)
- NZ First 0.9% (-3.0%)
- Maori 2.8% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.7%)
- ACT 0.9% (-0.9%)
- Progressive 0.1% (-0.1%)
Projected Seats
- National 73
- Labour 42
- Green 0
- NZ First 0
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- ACT 1
- Progressive 1
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 73 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 75/123 – 13 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 42 + Progressive 1 + Greens 0 = 43/123 -19 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 55.3% (+9.1%)
- Clark 10.6% (-31.0%)
- Goff 6.2% (+6.2%)
- Peters 2.1% (-2.9%)
Job Approval
- Bill English 60.8% good or better, 31.9% not good or poor
- Phil Goff 41.3% good or better, 42.0% not good or poor
Direction
Financial Crisis Handling by Govt
- 77.6% say good or better
- 20.3% not very good or poor
Personal Situation compared to a year ago
- 28.7% better off
- 32.6% no change
- 37.1% worse off
Most effective Minister
- Bill English 16.2%
- Paula Bennett 5.5%
- Judith Collins 3.1%
- Tony Ryall 2.4%
- Nick Smith 2.4%
- Simon Power 2.0%
Note this question appears to be unprompted, and name recognition appears to be a major factor.
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October 26, 2009 at 6:47 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 951 (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 05 October to 18 October 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 53.0% (-4.5%)
- Labour 30.0% (+2.0%)
- Green 7.5% (+1.0%)
- ACT 2.5% (+1.0%)
- Maori 3.0% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (-0.5%)
- Progressive 0.5% (+0.5%)
- NZ First 2.5% (+0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 65
- Labour 37
- Green 9
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 65 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 69/121 – 8 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Progressive 1 + Greens 9 = 47/121 – 14 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 67.5% (-4.5%)
- Wrong 21.5% (+5.0%)
- Can’t Say 11.0% (-0.5%)
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October 18, 2009 at 6:09 pm
· Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Bill English, Economy, Leader Ratings, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, Reid Research, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 917 have a party preference, (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 06 October to 14 October 2009
Client: TV3
Report: TV3
Party Support
- National 59.9% (+1.8%)
- Labour 27.2% (-2.0%)
- Green 6.9% (-0.6%)
- ACT 1.7% (+0.3%)
- Maori 2.4% (+1.2%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.2%)
- Progressive 0.3% (+0.3%)
- NZ First 1.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 74
- Labour 33
- Green 8
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 74 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 77/124 – 14 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 33 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 42/124 -21 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 55.8% (+4.3%)
- Clark 8.2% (+0.2%)
- Goff 4.7% 6.5% (-1.8%)
- Peters 3.0%
Leadership Approval
- Key – 82.3% (+3.7%) doing well vs 7.2% (-2.0%) doing poorly – net positive is 75.1% (=5.1%)
- Goff – 34.2% (-0.2%) doing well vs 37.9% (-3.7%) doing poorly – net positive is -3.7% (+3.5%)
Leadership Characteristics – Positive
- capable leader – Key by 40% (+8%)
- good in a crisis – Key by 29% (+5%)
- sound judgement – Key by 28% (+8%)
- honest – Key by 29% (+16%)
- down to earth – Key by 18% (+9%)
- understands economic problems – Key by 30% (+8%)
- has a lot of personality – Key by 46% (+19%)
- in touch with Maori – Key by 6% (+4%)
Leadership Characteristics – Negative
- more style than substance – Key by 8% (-2%)
- talk down to people – Goff by 7% (-4%)
- narrow minded – Goff by 10% (-2%)
- inflexible – Goff by 9% (-2%)
- inexperienced – Key by 19% (-3%)
- out of touch – Goff by 7% (+4%)
Economy
- 54% said impact of recession has been what they expected
- 30% say it was better than expected
- 14% worse than expected
- 2% don’t know
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