May 14, 2012 at 2:18 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls ·Tagged Digipoll, NZ Herald, United States
The NZ Herald reports:
A Herald-DigiPoll of 750 voters conducted shortly after the announcement of the Alam Halfa exercise suggests more people approve of the resumption of exercises, but not overwhelmingly.
Asked, “Do you approve or disapprove of the United States resuming military exercises in New Zealand,” 47.6 per cent approved, 44 per cent disapproved and 8.4 per cent didn’t know or wouldn’t say.
A surprising level of disapproval.
Defence Minister Jonathan Coleman said he was a little surprised and thought support for the exercises might be higher but respondents might have thought it involved ship visits.
I suspect so.
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May 13, 2012 at 6:51 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls ·Tagged contraception, Research New Zealand, welfare
Stuff reports:
The public is right behind the Government’s plans to stop beneficiaries having babies.
Although critics have attacked the decision to provide free contraception for beneficiaries, two polls show the public loves the idea.
Nearly 80 per cent of respondents in a Sunday Star-Times reader poll supported funding long-term reversible contraception for female beneficiaries and their 16 to 19-year-old daughters. More than half wanted the Government to go further.
And a Research New Zealand poll found 65 per cent support, and that while those on low incomes were less likely to favour the proposal, there was still 54 per cent support among those earning less than $40,000.
Note the SST readers poll is not a scientific random poll.
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May 7, 2012 at 7:38 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 889, of whom 840 have a party preference
Undecideds: 5.5%
Dates: 16 April 2012 to 29 April 2012
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 47.0% (-2.5%)
- Labour 28.5% (+2.0%)
- Green 15.0% (+2.5%)
- NZ First 5.0% (-1.5%)
- Maori 1.5% (nc)
- United Future 0.5% (-0.5%)
- ACT 0.5% (+0.5%)
- Mana 0.5% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 57
- Labour 35
- Green 18
- ACT 0
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 6
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 57 + United Future 1 = 58/121 – 3 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 35 + Greens 18 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 60/121 – 1 fewer than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 55.0% (-0.5%)
- Wrong 32.5% (+1.5%)
- Can’t Say 12.5% (-1.0%)
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May 7, 2012 at 1:54 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Electorate Polls, Epsom, Herald on Sunday, John Banks, Key Research
The Herald on Sunday reports:
Banks, copping heavy criticism over donations from Kim Dotcom and SkyCity listed as being anonymous from his 2010 mayoralty bid, has lost a great deal of support, according to the Herald on Sunday-Key Research survey.
Only 10 per cent of electors would vote for him now – down from 44.1 per cent at the election last November – and a National candidate would romp home.
More said they would vote for a Labour candidate than for Banks. In a party vote, the vast majority would vote National, and fewer than 1 per cent would vote Act.
Nearly half of voters – 46.7 per cent – say they have a lower opinion of Banks after his statements of the past week on local government election donations.
The telephone survey of 510 eligible voters in the Epsom electorate aged 18+ has a margin of error of +/- 4.34 per cent.
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May 5, 2012 at 8:09 pm · Filed under NZ Issues Polls ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, Electoral Commission, Voting
Colmar Brunton polled 1,097 voters and 272 non voters for the Electoral Commission.
- 84% of voters voted on e-day, 16% prior
- 37% of non voters were unaware of advance voting and of them, 59% say they would have voted if aware
- 87% of respondents aware of referendum, being 93% of voters and 66% of non-voters
- 67% of respondents felt fairly or very confident of knowing enough to make a decision for the referendum
- 64% of non-voters considering voting
- 43% of non voters decided not to vote on election day
- Factors listed as significantly influencing the decision not to vote
- Don’t trust politicians 53%
- Obvious who would win 57%
- Not interested in politics 54%
- Makes no difference to me who wins 55%
- My vote won’t make a difference 66%
- Not enough info to choose 54%
- Not like the personalities 68%
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May 1, 2012 at 8:11 am · Filed under NZ Issues Polls, NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, Digipoll, gambling, NZ Herald, NZ Political Party Polls, paid parental leave, Preferred PM, Sky City
Polling Company: DigiPoll
Poll Method: Random Phone
Undecideds: 7.1%
Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 697 had a party vote preference
Dates: 19 to 29 April 2012
Client: NZ Herald
Report: NZ Herald
Party Support
- National 48.1% (-2.8%)
- Labour 34.8% (+6.8%)
- Green 9.2% (-2.6%)
- NZ First 4.9% (-0.3%)
- Maori 1.7% (+1.3%)
- United Future 0.7% (+0.7%)
- ACT 0.0% (-1.8%)
- Mana 0.1% (-0.2%)
- Conservative 0.1% (-1.2%)
Projected Seats
- National 61
- Labour 44
- Green 12
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- ACT 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 611 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 63/123 – 1 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 44 + Greens 12 + Mana 1 = 57/126 -5 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 63.9% (-2.4%)
- Shearer 13.1% (-6.4% from Goff)
- Peters 6.4% (+0.9%)
Country Direction
- Right 49.2% (-5.2%)
- Wrong 42.1% (+5.4%)
- Unsure 8.7% (-0.2%)
Paid Parental Leave
- In favour of extending to 26 weeks 48.6%
- Against 48.4%
Sky City deal
- 40.3% disapprove
- 37.7% approve so long as number of pokies over the city drops
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April 22, 2012 at 7:39 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged 3 News, NZ Political Party Polls, Preferred PM, Reid Research, TV3
Polling Company: Reid Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)
Dates: assumed 14 to 19 April 2012
Client: 3 News
Report: 3 News
Party Support
- National 49.8% (+2.3%)
- Labour 29.4% (nc)
- Green 14.1% (+0.8%)
- ACT 0.2% (nc)
- Maori 1.6% (+0.3%)
- United Future 0.0% (nc)
- Mana 0.9% (-0.4%)
- NZ First 2.3% (-2.7%)
- Conservative 1.1% (-0.3%)
Projected Seats
- National 62
- Labour 37
- Green 18
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/123 – two more than minimum 62 needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Greens 18 + Mana 1 = 56/122 -six less than minimum 62 needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- Key 44.2% (-1.6%)
- Shearer 10.4% (+0.3%)
Leadership Approval
- Key – 59.9% (-0.6%) doing well vs 24.0% (-2.0%) doing poorly – net rating is +35.9% (-2.6%)
- Shearer – 32.5% (-2.6%) doing well vs 26.2% (+9.0%) doing poorly – net positive is +6.3% (-11.6%)
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April 20, 2012 at 10:33 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 928, of whom 900 have a party preference
Undecideds: 3.0%
Dates: 02 April 2012 to 15 April 2012
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 49.5% (+5.5%)
- Labour 26.5% (-4.0%)
- Green 12.5% (-4.5%)
- NZ First 6.5% (+1.5%)
- Maori 1.5% (nc)
- United Future 1.0% (+0.5%)
- ACT 0.0% (-0.5%)
- Mana 1.0% (+0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 61
- Labour 32
- Green 15
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 8
- Total 122
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 61 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 63/122 – 1 more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 32 + Greens 15 + NZ First 8 + Mana 1 = 56/122 – 6 greater than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 55.5% (+2.0%)
- Wrong 31.0% (+1.5%)
- Can’t Say 13.5% (-3.5%)
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April 7, 2012 at 7:05 pm · Filed under NZ Political Party Polls ·Tagged Country Direction, NZ Political Party Polls, Roy Morgan
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 948, of whom 915 have a party preference
Undecideds: 3.5%
Dates: 12 March 2012 to 1 April 2012
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 44.0% (-4.5%)
- Labour 30.5% (+0.5%)
- Green 17.0% (+4.5%)
- NZ First 5.0% (nc)
- Maori 1.5% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- ACT 0.5% (nc)
- Mana 0.5% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 53
- Labour 36
- Green 20
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 6
- Total 121
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 53 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 55/122 – 6 less than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Greens 20 + NZ First 6 + Mana 1 = 63/122 – 2 greater than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 53.5% (+1.0%)
- Wrong 29.5% (-4.5%)
- Can’t Say 17.0% (+3.5%)
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April 1, 2012 at 7:09 pm · Filed under Uncategorized ·Tagged Colmar Brunton, One News
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,000
Undecideds:
Dates: assume 25 March to 29 March 2012
Client: One News
Report: One News
Party Support
- National 51.0% (+1.0%)
- Labour 29.0% (+1.0%)
- Green 11.0% (+1.0%)
- ACT 1% (-0.7%)
- Maori 1% (-1.0%)
- United Future 0% (-0.1%)
- Mana 1% (NC)
- NZ First 3% (-1.2%)
- Conservative 1% (-1.4%)
Projected Seats
- National 65
- Labour 38
- Green 14
- ACT 1
- Maori 3
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Conservative 0
- Total 123
This is based on no change in electorate seats.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 65 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 67/123 – 5 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Greens 14 + Mana 1= 53/122 -9 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 48% (-4%)
- David Shearer 11% (-4% from Goff)
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