Posts Tagged TVNZ

One News Colmar Brunton poll early September 2014

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,001 respondents, of whom 882 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 7%

Dates: 30 August to 03 September 2014

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 50.0% (+2.0%)
  • Labour 26.0% (-2.0%
  • Green 11.0% (-1.0%)
  • ACT 0.1% (-0.3%)
  • Maori 0.2% (-0.4%)
  • United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
  • Mana/Internet 2.4% (+0.8%)
  • NZ First 7.0% (+1.0%)
  • Conservative 2.9% (-0.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 63
  • Labour 32
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana/Internet 3
  • NZ First 8
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 125

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 63 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 65/125 – two more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 32 + Greens 14 + Mana/Internet 3 = 49/125 – 14 fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – Maori 3 + NZ First 8 = 11/125

On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 48% (+1.0%)
  • David Cunliffe 14% (+2%)
  • Winston Peters 4% (-1.0%)

Next National Party Leader

  • Bill English 28%
  • Steven Joyce 16%
  • Paula Bennett 7%
  • Judith Collins 2%
  • Michael Woodhouse 2%

Economic Outlook

  • Better 56% (nc)
  • Worse 17% (-2%)
  • Same 27% (+2%)

Preferred Housing Policies

  • National 44%
  • Labour 21%
  • Greens 31%
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One News Colmar Brunton poll late August 2014

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 843 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 12%

Dates: 23 to 27 August 2014

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 48.0% (-2.0%)
  • Labour 28.0% (+2.0%
  • Green 12.0% (+1.0%)
  • ACT 0.4% (+1.0%)
  • Maori 0.6% (-0.3%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • Mana/Internet 1.6% (-2.3%)
  • NZ First 6.0% (+1.0%)
  • Conservative 3.2% (+0.8%)

Projected Seats

  • National 59
  • Labour 35
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana/Internet 2
  • NZ First 8
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/123 – one fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 35 + Greens 14 + Mana/Internet 2 = 51/123 – 11 fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – Maori 3 + NZ First 8 = 11/124

On this poll National could form a centre-right Governmentwith either the Maori Party or NZ First. Labour could form a Government with both NZ First and Maori Party (and Greens and Internet Mana).

Preferred PM

  • John Key 47% (+2.0%)
  • David Cunliffe 12% (+2%)
  • Winston Peters 5% (+1.0%)

Economic Outlook

  • Better 56% (+8%)
  • Worse 19% (-3%)
  • Same 25% (-5%)

Hager book

  • Believe allegations 41% (+13%)
  • Not believe 35% (-8%)
  • Unsure 24% (-5%)
  • Net negatively influenced view of National 13% (+8%)
  • Collins should stand down 61% agree, 26% disagree
  • Key informed of SIS OIA released – 41% believe he was not, 44% do not believe him

 

 

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One News Colmar Brunton poll August 2014

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 824 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 15%

Dates: 9 to 13 August 2014

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 50.0% (-2.0%)
  • Labour 26.0% (-2.0%
  • Green 11.0% (+1.0%)
  • ACT 0.6% (-0.2%)
  • Maori 0.9% (+0.3%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.2%)
  • Mana/Internet 3.9% (+1.9%)
  • NZ First 5.0% (+0.4%)
  • Conservative 2.4% (+0.7%)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 31
  • Green 13
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana/Internet 5
  • NZ First 7
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/123 – two more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 31 + Greens 13 + Mana/Internet 5 = 49/123 – 13 fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – Maori 3 + NZ First 7 = 10/123

On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 45% (-3.0%)
  • David Cunliffe 10% (+2%)
  • Winston Peters 4% (+1.0%)

 

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One News Colmar Brunton on Hager allegations

A snap One News Colmar Brunton poll found:

  • 77% have heard of Hager book, 23% have not
  • 28% believe National organised smear campaigns, 43% do not and 29% unsure
  • 9% say revelations have negatively influenced their view of National, 4% positively influences and 82% no difference
  • 12% say now more likely to vote on election day, 1% less likely and 87% no difference

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TVNZ Q+A Colmar Brunton poll in Epsom

One News reports:

Colmar Brunton Epsom poll results:

Who would you vote for with your electorate vote?

National Paul Goldsmith 44%
Act David Seymour 32%
Labour Michael Wood 10%
Green Julie Anne Genter 9%
Conservative Christine Rankin 4%
Internet Mana Pat O’Dea 0.8%
Independent Grace Haden 0.3%
Don’t know 8%

Were you aware John key is encouraging National Party supporters to give their electorate vote to the Act Party candidate?

Yes 70%
No 28%
Don’t know 2%

With this in mind, who would you now vote for with your electorate vote?

National Paul Goldsmith 31%
Act David Seymour 45%
Labour Michael Wood 9%
Green Julie Anne Genter 10%
Conservative Christine Rankin 4%
Internet Mana Pat O’Dea .08%
Independent Grace Haden 0.1%
Don’t know 13%

Do you support or oppose arrangements like the one John Key has made with the Act Party in Epsom?

Support 47%
Oppose 37%
Don’t know 16%

Which political party would you vote for?

National 60%
Green 16%
Labour 14%
NZ First 3.3%
Act 2.7%
Conservative 2.1%
Internet Mana 1.5%
Maori 0.6%
Don’t know 6%

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One News Colmar Brunton poll July 2014

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,001 respondents, of whom 828 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 10%

Dates: 19 to 23 July 2014

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 52.0% (+2.0%)
  • Labour 28.0% (-1.0%)
  • Green 10.0% (-2.0%)
  • ACT 0.8% (+0.1%)
  • Maori 0.6% (-0.6%)
  • United Future 0.2% (+0.2%)
  • Mana/Internet 2.0% (-0.3%)
  • NZ First 4.4% (+0.6%)
  • Conservative 1.7% (+0.7%)

Projected Seats

  • National 66
  • Labour 36
  • Green 13
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana/Internet 3
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Internet 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 66 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 68/123 – six more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 13 + Mana/Internet 3 = 52/123 – ten fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/123

On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 48% (+1.0%)
  • David Cunliffe 8% (-2%)
  • Winston Peters 3% (+1.0%)

 

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One News Colmar Brunton poll June 2014

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,002 respondents, of whom 813 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 15%

Dates: 21 to 25 June 2014

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 50.0% (-1.0%)
  • Labour 29.0% (-1.0%)
  • Green 12.0% (+1.0%)
  • ACT 0.7% (-0.1%)
  • Maori 1.2% (+0.4%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • Mana/Internet 2.3% (+1.2%)
  • NZ First 3.8% (-1.0%)
  • Conservative 1.0% (-0.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 64
  • Labour 36
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana/Internet 3
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Internet 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 64 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 66/123 – four more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 15 + Mana/Internet 3 = 54/123 – eight fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/123

On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 47% (+4.0%)
  • David Cunliffe 10% (nc)
  • Winston Peters 2% (-4.0%)

Coalitions

  • 75% say parties should declare before election day who they would work with
  • 19% disagree

Team NZ

  • 62% say Team NZ should rely on private sponsorship from now on
  • 30% say the Government should give Team NZ more money

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