Posts Tagged One News

One News Colmar Brunton Poll May 2013

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,011 respondents of whom 849 had a party vote preference

UndecidedsDates: 18 to 22 May 2013

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 49.0% (+6.0%)
  • Labour 33.0% (-3.0%)
  • Green 9.0% (-4.0%)
  • ACT 0.3% (+0.2%)
  • Maori 1.3% (nc)
  • United Future 0.7% (-0.3%)
  • Mana 1.2% (+1.1%)
  • NZ First 3.6% (+0.6%)
  • Conservative 1.7% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 42
  • Green 11
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 2
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/122 – two more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 42 + Greens 11 + Mana 2= 55/122 – seven fewer than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 42% (+3.0%)
  • David Shearer 12% (-3.0%)
  • Winston Peters 4% (+1%)

Economic Outlook

  • Better 55% (+5%)
  • Same 19% (nc)
  • Worse 26% (-5%)

Food in Schools

  • 70% support the Government providing food to children at low decile schools
  • 26% against

Budget 2013

  • Personally better off 6% (+3% from 2012)
  • About the same 70% (+2%)
  • Worse off 13% (-9%)

Affordable Housing

  • 30% say Govt doing enough to keep housing affordable
  • 62% say not enough

Electricity

  • 57% support Labour/Green policy
  • 37% oppose

Comments (1)

One News Colmar Brunton Poll April 2013

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,009 respondents of whom 835 had a voting preference

Undecideds: Dates: 13 to 17 April 2013

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 43.0% (-6.0%)
  • Labour 36.0% (+3.0%)
  • Green 13.0% (+2.0%)
  • ACT 0.1% (nc)
  • Maori 1.3% (+0.3)
  • United Future 1.0% (+0.8%)
  • Mana 0.1% (-0.4%)
  • NZ First 3.0% (-0.9%)
  • Conservative 1.7% (+0.8%)

Projected Seats

  • National 55
  • Labour 46
  • Green 16
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 55 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 57/123 – five fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 46 + Greens 16 + Mana 1= 63/123 – one more than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 39% (-5.0%)
  • David Shearer 15% (nc)
  • Winston Peters 3% (-2%)
Economic Outlook
  • Better 50% (+2%)
  • Same 19% (-3%)
  • Worse 31% (+1%)
 Partial Asset Sales
  • Support 29% (+1%)
  • Opposed 64% (nc)
  • Unsure 8% (+2%)
Paid Parental Leave
  • 62% support extension from 14 to 26 weeks
  • 34% opposed

Trust in Security Services

  • 32% do not trust
  • 32% trust
  • 33% in the middle

Relationship with China

  • 41% comfortable
  • 30% uncomfortable
  • 28% neutral

Comments (1)

One News Colmar Brunton Poll February 2013

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,026 respondents of whom 875 have a voting preference

Undecideds: 10%

Dates: 9 to 13 February 2013

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 49.0% (+5.0%)
  • Labour 33.0% (-2.0%)
  • Green 11.0% (-1.0%)
  • ACT 0.1% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 1.0% (+0.3%)
  • United Future 0.2% (-0.3%)
  • Mana 0.5% (+0.2%)
  • NZ First 3.9% (+0.3%)
  • Conservative 0.9% (-0.4%)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 42
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/124 – 1 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 42 + Greens 14 + Mana 1= 57/121 -6 fewer than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 44% (+5.0%)
  • David Shearer 15% (nc)
  • Winston Peters 5% (-1%)
Decision to keep Hekia Parata as Minister of Education
  •  21% right decision
  • 59% wrong decision
  • 20% unsure

Economic Outlook

  • Better 48% (+7%)
  • Same 22% (-2%)
  • Worse 30% (-4%)

Partial Asset Sales

  • Support 30% (+6%)
  • Oppose 64% (-5%)
  • Unsure 6% (-1%)

Four Year Term

  • Support 56%
  • Oppose 40%
  • Unsure 5%

Make unemployed apply for jobs in Christchurch

  • Yes 39%
  • No 53%
  • Unsure 7%

Comments (3)

One News Colmar Brunton November 2012

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds:

Dates: 24 to 29 November 2012

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 44.0% (-1.0%)
  • Labour 35.0% (+3.0%)
  • Green 13.0% (+1.0%)
  • ACT 1.0% (+0.4%)
  • Maori 1.0% (-1.2%)
  • United Future 1.0% (+0.8%)
  • Mana 0.0% (-1.0%)
  • NZ First 4.0% (-0.9%)
  • Conservative 1.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 55
  • Labour 45
  • Green 17
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 55 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 57/121 – 5 less than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 45 + Greens 17 + Mana 1= 63/121 -1 more than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 39% (-3.0%)
  • David Shearer 15% (+4.0%)

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One News Colmar Brunton Poll October 2012

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,009 of whom 856 had a party vote preference

Undecideds: 11%

Dates: 27 October to 31 October 2012

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 45.0% (nc)
  • Labour 32.0% (-2.0%)
  • Green 12.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.6% (-0.3%)
  • Maori 2.2% (-0.7%)
  • United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
  • Mana 1.0% (+0.4%)
  • NZ First 4.9% (+3.1%)
  • Conservative 1.0% (-1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 58
  • Labour 41
  • Green 16
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/121 – 1 less than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 16 + Mana 1= 58/121 -3 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 42% (-2%)
  • David Shearer 11% (-1%)
  • Winston Peters 6% (+2%)
  • Russel Norman 3% (+1%)

Economic Outlook

  • Better 44% (+3%)
  • Worse 34% (-2%)
  • Same 22% (-1%)

Partial Asset Sales

  • Support 30% (+2%)
  • Oppose 64% (-1%)
  • Unsure 6% (-1%)

Republic

  • Become a republic 19% (-6%)
  • Stay with Queen as Head of State 74% (+7%)
  • Unsure 7% (-2%)

Trust in Government to protect personal details

  • Yes 37%
  • No 60%
  • Unsure 4%

Most effective opposition leader

  • David Shearer 25%
  • Winston Peters 24%
  • Russel Norman 18%
  • Hone Harawira 6%
  • Metiria Turei 5%

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One News Colmar Brunton poll July 2012

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,005 of whom 878 had a party vote preference

Undecideds:

Dates: 28 July to 1 August 2012

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 48.0% (+1.0%)
  • Labour 32.0% (-1.0%)
  • Green 12.0% (-1.0%)
  • ACT 0.5% (-0.2%)
  • Maori 2.3% (+1.0%)
  • United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
  • Mana 0.4% (-0.6%)
  • NZ First 2.5% (+0.3%)
  • Conservative 0.9% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 40
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/121 – 1 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 40 + Greens 15 + Mana 1= 56/122 -5 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 45% (-3%)
  • David Shearer 13% (-1%)

Partial Asset Sales

  • 32% in favour
  • 62% against
  • 59% say they could afford to buy $1,000 of shares
  • 41% say they could not
  • 34% say they are very or quite likely to buy shares
  • 25% say not likely to buy shares and 40% not at all likely

Alcohol minimum price

  • 54% support a minimum price
  • 42% do not

Comments (1)

One News Colmar Brunton poll May 2012

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds:

Dates: assume 26 May to 31 May 2012

Client: One News

Report: One News

Party Support

  • National 47.0% (-4.0%)
  • Labour 33.0% (+4.0%)
  • Green 13.0% (+2.0%)
  • ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Maori 1.0% (+0.1%)
  • United Future 0% (-0.2%)
  • Mana 1.0% (nc)
  • NZ First 2.0% (-1.1%)
  • Conservative 1.0% (-0.4%)

Projected Seats

  • National 58
  • Labour 41
  • Green 17
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/122 – 2 less than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 17 + Mana 1= 59/122 -3 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 48% (nc)
  • David Shearer 14% (+3%)

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One News Colmar Brunton Poll March 2012

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds:

Dates: assume 25 March to 29 March 2012

Client: One News

Report: One News

Party Support

  • National 51.0% (+1.0%)
  • Labour 29.0% (+1.0%)
  • Green 11.0% (+1.0%)
  • ACT 1% (-0.7%)
  • Maori 1% (-1.0%)
  • United Future 0% (-0.1%)
  • Mana 1% (NC)
  • NZ First 3% (-1.2%)
  • Conservative 1% (-1.4%)

Projected Seats

  • National 65
  • Labour 38
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 65 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 67/123 – 5 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Greens 14 + Mana 1= 53/122 -9 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 48% (-4%)
  • David Shearer 11% (-4% from Goff)

Comments (2)

One News Colmar Brunton Poll 24 Nov 2011

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds:

Dates: 19 November to 23 November 2011

Client: One News

Report: One News

Party Support

  • National 50.0% (-3.0%)
  • Labour 28.0% (+2.0%)
  • Green 10.0% (-3.0%)
  • ACT 1.7% (+0.1%)
  • Maori 2.0% (+0.4%)
  • United Future 0.1% (-0.2%)
  • Mana 1.0% (-0.3%)
  • NZ First 4.2% (+2.0%)
  • Conservative 2.4% (+1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 65
  • Labour 36
  • Green 13
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 65 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 68/122 – 6 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 13 + Mana 1= 50/122 -12 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 52% (-1%)
  • Phil Goff 15% (+2%)

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One News Colmar Brunton Poll 17 November 2011

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,006

Undecideds:

Dates: 12 November to 16 November 2011

Client: One News

Report: One News

Party Support

  • National 53.0% (-1.0%)
  • Labour 26.0% (-2.0%)
  • Green 13.0% (+4.0%)
  • ACT 1.6% (+0.1%)
  • Maori 1.6% (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.3% (-0.5%)
  • Mana 1.3% (+1.1%)
  • NZ First 2.2% (-0.7%)
  • Conservative 1.4% (+0.9%)

Projected Seats

  • National 66
  • Labour 32
  • Green 16
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 2
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 66 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 69/122 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 32 + Greens 16 + Mana 2= 50/122 -12 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 53% (-2%)
  • Phil Goff 13% (-1%)
  • Winston Peters 3%

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