Posts Tagged NZ Herald

NZ Herald Digipoll December 2013

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 12.6%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 656 had a party preference

Dates: 09 to 17 December 2013

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 46.8% (+3.1%)
  • Labour 35.4% (-2.3%)
  • Green 10.8% (-0.5%)
  • NZ First 3.9% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 1.3% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.0% (-0.1%)
  • Mana 0.9% (+0.2%)
  • Conservative 0.7% (-0.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 59
  • Labour 44
  • Green 14
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/123 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 44 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 59/123 -three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/123

On this poll, the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • Key 61.9% (+6.1%)
  • Cunliffe 16.5% (-0.3%)
  • Peters 7.3% (+1.1%)
  • Norman 3.4% (-0.3%)

Pike River

  • Shareholders should pay compensation 64.4%
  • Government should pay compensation 19.8%

GST

  • Should be charged on all overseas purchases 40%
  • Current exemption level of $400 should remain 53%

Berms

  • Mowing berms responsibility of householder 60%
  • Mowing berms responsibility of council 34%

Sex Education

  • 75% say should teach more than the physical and medical aspects of sex

Fireworks

  • 39% want sale of fireworks banned
  • 60% happy with current rules

Speed limit

  • 67% support reducing tolerance to 4 km/hr
  • 29% against

Hauraki Gulf

  • Ban commercial fishing in Hauraki Gulf 53%
  • Support status quo 29%

Mining

  • 58% support oil, gas and mineral exploration
  • 38% against

Land sales

  • 55% support bill limiting land sales to foreigners

Drink Driving

  • 28% support that a BAC between 0.05 and 0.08 should be a criminal offence, with most supporting it being an infringement only.

Conservatives

  • 33% think Colin Craig’s views are too extreme
  • 24% say he is a welcome addition to political debates
  • 43% don’t know

Gender Quotas

  • 54% (52% of women) say Labour’s gender quota too restrictive
  • 38% (42% of women) say a good idea

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NZ Herald Digipoll September 2013

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 8.6%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 686 had a party preference

Dates: 17 to 23 September 2013

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 43.7% (-5.1%)
  • Labour 37.7% (+6.8%)
  • Green 11.3% (+0.8%)
  • NZ First 4.4% (-0.7%)
  • Maori 0.8% (-1.0%)
  • United Future
  • ACT
  • Mana 0.7% (+0.2%)
  • Conservative 1.0% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 56
  • Labour 48
  • Green 14
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 56 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 58/124 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 48 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 63/124 -the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/124

On this poll, there would be a centre-left Government.

Preferred PM

  • Key 55.8% (-9.4%)
  • Cunliffe 16.8% +4.4% from Shearer)
  • Peters 6.2% (-0.2%)
  • Norman 3.7% (+0.1%)

Impact of Cunliffe win on Labour

  • More likely to vote Labour 20.4%
  • Less likely to vote Labour 14.4%
  • No difference 63.0%

Subsidies

  • Film production subsidies 64% approve, 32% disapprove
  • Tiwai Point subsidy 48% approve, 46% disapprove

Republic

  • 29% support
  • 60% opposition

Charter schools

  • 45% support
  • Slightly over half think  public money should be prioritised for public schools

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NZ Herald poll June 2013

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 11.9%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 661 had a party preference

Dates: 12 to 23 June 2013

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 48.8% (+0.3%)
  • Labour 30.9% (-5.5%)
  • Green 10.5% (+1.5%)
  • NZ First 5.1% (+2.6%)
  • Maori 1.8% (+0.7%)
  • United Future 0.3% (+0.3%)
  • ACT 0.2% (+0.1%)
  • Mana 0.5% (nc)
  • Conservative 1.5% (+0.2%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 38
  • Green 13
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 6
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/123 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Greens 13 + Mana 1 = 52/123 -10 less than minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 6 + Maori 3 = 9/123

Preferred PM

  • Key 65.2% (+2.2%)
  • Shearer 12.4% (-6.1%)
  • Peters 6.4% (+2.4%)
  • Norman 3.6%

Labour Leadership successors if Shearer goes

  • David Cunliffe 31.8%
  • Grant Robertson 16.7%
  • Andrew Little 13.5%
  • Other 11.0%
  • Unsure 27.0%

Inquiry into GCSB

  • Agree 52.1%
  • Disagree 36.9%
  • Don’t Know 11.0%

Peter Dunne

  • 22% believe he did not leak GCSB report
  • 59% do not believe his denial

Sky City deal

  • 34% approve
  • 62% disapprove

Fluoride

  • 48% support fluoride being added to drinking water
  • 25% opposed
  • 24% up to local council

Fiordland transport projects

  • 46.2% back a tunnel and/or monorail track
  • 46.2% oppose

National leadership when Key goes

  • Bill English 29.7%
  • Steven Joyce 25.4%
  • Judith Collin 13.0%

Student Loans

  • 57% agree with arresting loan defaulters at the border
  • 40% disagree

Sir Douglas Graham

  • 55% say he should lose knighthood
  • 33% disagree

Working for Families Tax Credits

  • 51% support extending to parents on welfare
  • 41% opposed

Housing developments

  • 43% back Govt having power to override councils’ planning and consent processes
  • 51% opposed

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NZ Herald DigiPoll March 2013

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: Unknown

Poll Size: 750 respondents

Dates: 11 to 17 March 2013

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 48.5% (+0.6%)
  • Labour 36.3% (+4.4%)
  • Green 9.0% (-1.7%)
  • NZ First 2.5% (-3.0%)
  • Maori 1.1% (-0.4%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.3%)
  • ACT 0.1% (-0.1%)
  • Mana 0.5% (+0.2%)
  • Conservative 1.3% (-0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 61
  • Labour 46
  • Green 11
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 61 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 63/124 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 46 + Greens 11 + NZ First 0 + Mana 1 = 58/124 -5 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 63.0% (-2.6%)
  • Shearer 18.5% (+5.6%)
  • Peters 4.0%

Country Direction

  • Right 49.0% (+0.9%)
  • Wrong 43.0% (+0.3%)
Asset Sales
  • 52% opposed to sale of MRP, 32% in favour
  • 30% plan to buy shares in MRP

Term of Parliament

  • 51% 3 years
  • 48% 4 years

Marriage

  • Should remain between a man and a woman 48% (+8%)
  • Allow same-sex couples to marry 52% (-4%)

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Same Sex Marriage

A Herald Digipoll found:

  • 59% support a change to allow same sex couples to marry
  • 38% say it should remain between a man and a woman
  • 69% of under 50s support same sex marriage
  • 59% of 0 to 64 year olds support same sex marriage
  • 37% of over 65s support same sex marriage

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Herald DigiPoll September 2012

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: Unknown

Poll Size: presume 750 respondents

Dates: Unknown, early September

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 47.9% (+0.4%)
  • Labour 32.0% (-2.0%)
  • Green 10.7% (+1.6%)
  • NZ First 5.5% (+1.1%)
  • Maori 1.5% (+0.2%)
  • United Future 0.3% (-0.2%)
  • ACT 0.2% (-0.3%)
  • Mana 0.3% (-1.4%)
  • Conservative 1.4% (+0.9%)

Projected Seats

  • National 59
  • Labour 39
  • Green 13
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except National winning Epsom (on basis of TVNZ poll).

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 59 + ACT 0 + United Future 1 = 60/123 – 2 less than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 13 + NZ First 7 + Mana 1 = 60/126 -2 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 65.6% (+2.1%)
  • Shearer 12.9% (-1.3%)

Country Direction

  • Right 48.1% (-1.6%)
  • Wrong 42.7% (-1.4%)

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Mining poll

The Herald reports:

The poll, conducted late last month, showed 27 per cent of those questioned supported the Government’s aim to increase oil gas and mineral exploration and almost a further 40 per cent cautiously supported it.

Thirty per cent of the 750 respondents were strongly opposed or leaned towards opposing increased exploration.

 

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Alcohol polls

The Herald reports:

A Herald DigiPoll found that 56.5 percent of New Zealanders opposed a minimum price for alcohol, while 40.6 percent supported it.

Also the Herald reports:

Asked which purchase age they preferred in Parliament’s review of liquor laws, 54.4 per cent of respondents said 20 years old, and 25 per cent said 20 for off-licensed stores.

Just 19.4 per cent wanted the age kept at 18 for both on-licences (bars and restaurants) and off-licences (supermarkets and bottle stores).

 

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NZ Herald Digipoll June 2012

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 8.4%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 687 had a party vote preference

Dates: 18 to 25 June 2012

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 47.5% (-0.6%)
  • Labour 34.0% (-0.8%)
  • Green 9.1% (-0.1%)
  • NZ First 4.4% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 1.3% (-0.4%)
  • United Future 0.5% (-0.2%)
  • ACT 0.5% (+0.5%)
  • Mana 1.7% (+1.6%)
  • Conservative 0.5% (+0.4%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 43
  • Green 11
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 2
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/123 – 1 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 43 + Greens 11 + Mana 2 = 56/126 -5 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 63.5% (-0.4%)
  • Shearer 14.2% (+1.1%)
  • Peters 7.3% (+0.9%)
Country Direction

  • Right 49.7% (+0.5%)

Comments (1)

League Tables poll

The Herald reports:

Almost 59 per cent of DigiPoll respondents approve of publishing of the material, either by the Ministry of Education or the media or both. But 36.4 per cent believe comparisons between schools are unfair.

The poll of 750 people was conducted between June 18 and 28 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 per cent.

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