Posts Tagged Marae

Marae Digipoll September 2011

Marae Digipoll have done a poll of 1,000 Maori votes. 655 were from the Maori roll and 345 from the general roll.

The margin of errors are 3.2%, 3.9% and 5.4% respectively. The average no of respondents per Maori electorate is 94 which has a margin of error of 10.4%.

Party Vote – All Maori voters

  • Labour 38.4%
  • Maori 22.2%
  • National 16.4%
  • Mana 8.5%
  • Green 6.5%
  • NZ First 5.1%
  • ACT 1.0%

Party Vote – General roll Maori voters

  • Labour 43.5%
  • Maori 11.7%
  • National 22.4%
  • Mana 1.6%
  • Green 8.1%
  • NZ First 7.1%
  • ACT 2.9%

Party Vote – Maori roll Maori voters (2008 result in brackets)

  • Labour 35.7% (50.1%)
  • Maori 27.7% (28.9%)
  • National 13.2% (7.4%)
  • Mana 12.0%
  • Green 5.6% (3.9%)
  • NZ First 4.1% (6.1%)
  • ACT 0.0% (0.5%)

Electorate Vote (all 7 electorates)

  • Maori 37.5%
  • Labour 35.1%
  • Mana 13.8%
  • National 5.6%
  • Green 2.5%
  • NZ First 2.5%

Te Tai Tokerau

  • Labour 30.2%
  • Mana 28.6%
  • Maori 22.2%

Tamaki Makaurau

  • Maori 46.1%
  • Labour 30.4%
  • Mana 15.7%

Waiariki

  • Maori 59.3%
  • Mana 18.7%
  • Labour 8.8%

Te Tai Tonga

  • Labour 41.4%%
  • Maori 34.5%
  • Mana 3.4%

Tainui

  • Labour 58.8%%
  • Maori 12.9%
  • Mana 17.6%

Te Tai Hauauru

  • Labour 40.3%%
  • Maori 48.6%%
  • Mana 1.4%

Ikaroa Rawhiti

  • Labour 40.5%%
  • Maori 31.6%
  • NZ First 10.1%
  • Mana 8.9%

With the high margin of error, one can work out the probability that a candidate in the seat is actually in the lead. They are:

  • Te Tai Tokerau – Labour ahead with 58% probability
  • Tamaki Makaurau – Maori Party ahead with 96% probability
  • Waiariki – Maori Party ahead with 100% probability
  • Te Tai Tonga – Labour ahead with 78% probability
  • Tainui – Labour ahead with 1005 probability
  • Te Tai Hauauru – Maori Party ahead with 80% probability
  • Ikaroa Rawhiti – Labour ahead with 85% probability

Has Maori Party represented Maori well?

  • Yes 56%
  • No 34%

Support Maori Party decision to vote for Marine and Coastal Area Bill?

  • Yes 54%
  • No 28%

Accept Maori Party position that compromise worthwhile to ensure seat at Cabinet table?

  • Yes 69%
  • No 21%

Agree with Harawira that Maori Party lacks energy and candidates too old?

  • Yes 35%
  • No 54%

Should Shane Jones take over from Phil Goff as Labour Leader?

  • Yes 47%
  • No 31%

Has traditional voter support for Labour dropped?

  • Yes 77%
  • No 9%

Can Hone Harawira effectively lead Mana Party?

  • Yes 55%
  • No 35%

Which Maori MP best represents views of Maori?

  • Pita Sharples 22%
  • Tariana Turia 20%
  • Hone Harawira 11%
  • Winston Peters 3.8%
  • Shane Jones 3.6%

Preferred PM

  • John Key 33%
  • Pita Sharples 7%
  • Tariana Turia 4.8%
  • Phil Goff 4.4%
  • Hone Harawira 3.9%
  • Winston Peters 3.7%
  • Shane Jones 2.8%
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Marae Digipoll November 2009

Marae has published the results of a poll done by Digipoll between 18 October and 3 November 2009. It is of 1,002 voters of Maori descent – 700 on the Maori Roll, and 302 on the General Roll.

Party Vote

Maori Party 48%
Labour 26%
National 20%

Electorate Vote (Maori roll only)

Maori Party 57%
Labour 33%
National 7%

Preferred PM

John Key 30%
Helen Clark 11%
Pita Sharples 9%
Tariana Turia 6%
Phil Goff 4%
Winston Peters 4%

PM Approval

Approve 55%
Disapprove 36%

Most Favoured Maori MP

Pita Sharples   31.9%
Tariana Turia   16.7%
Hone Harawira  8.2%
Te Ururoa Flavell  3.3%
Parekura Horomia  3.2%

Most Effective Maori MP

Pita Sharples   31.9%
Tariana Turia   16.7%
Hone Harawira  8.2%
Te Ururoa Flavell  3.3%
Parekura Horomia  3.2%

Government Approval

Approve 45%
Disapprove 45%

Direction

Right 40%
Wrong 44%

Maori Party Supporters

68% support decision to join the Government and think they made right decision
Only 33% support the arrangement where Maori Party Ministers sit outside Cabinet

Top Issues

Jobs / Unemployment 22.5%
Health   12.6%
Education   10.5%
Family / Whanau  8.9%
Cost of Living  8.7%
Economy   5.6%
Housing   4.1%
Child Care  3.9%
Law and Order  3.7%
Environmental Issues 1.8%
Treaty Claims  1.2%

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Ikaroa-Rawhiti Marae Digipoll October 2008

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone of Ikaroa-Rawhiti voters

Poll Size: 400 voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 15 October to 28 October 2008

Client: Marae

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • Labour 45.5%
  • Maori Party 39.2%
  • NZ First 4.9%
  • National 3.1%
  • Green 3.9%

Candidate Support

  • Parekura Horomia, Labour 49.8%
  • Derek Fox, Maori Party 44.4%
Preferred PM
  • Helen Clark 50.8%
  • Winston Peters 6.0%
  • Pita Sharples 9.1%
  • John Key 4.6%
  • Tariana Turia 4.1%
Country Direction
  • Right 64.0%
  • No 23.7%
  • Don’t Know 12.3%
Parekura Horomia Performance
  • Very Satisfied 19.4%
  • Satisfied 53.9%
  • Not Satisfied 18.5%
  • Don’t Know 8.3%
Most effective Maori MP
  • Parekura Horomia 30.1%
  • Pita Sharples 20.4%
  • Hone Harawira 3.7%
  • Tariana Turia 11.1%
  • Winston Peters 7.1%
Most important issue
  • Maori/Treaty 15.6%
  • Education 19.0%
  • Law & Order 8.3%
  • Health 12.9%
  • Family Issues 6.5%
Coalitions
  • Maori Party coalition with Labour – 83.4% support, 12.1% do not
  • Maori Party coalition with National – 20.8% support, 73.1% do not
Identity
  • New Zealander First 15.4%
  • Maori first 67.0%
  • Both 17.4%

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Hauraki-Waikato Marae Digipoll October 2008

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone of Hauraki-Waikato voters

Poll Size: 400 voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 8 October to 21 October 2008

Client: Marae

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • Labour 41.3%
  • Maori Party 41.0%
  • NZ First 4.9%
  • National 6.4%
  • Green 4.5%

Candidate Support

  • Nanaia Mahuta, Labour 50.3%
  • Angeline Greensill, Maori Party 49.7%
Preferred PM
  • Helen Clark 47.2%
  • Winston Peters 7.8%
  • Pita Sharples 8.6%
  • John Key 5.7%
  • Tariana Turia 4.9%
Country Direction
  • Right 52.0%
  • No 32.6%
  • Don’t Know 15.4%
Nanaia Mahuta Performance
  • Very Satisfied 16.3%
  • Satisfied 57.3%
  • Not Satisfied 17.0%
  • Don’t Know 9.5%
Most effective Maori MP
  • Nanaia Mahuta 21.0%
  • Pita Sharples 26.9%
  • Hone Harawira 6.9%
  • Tariana Turia 4.7%
  • Winston Peters 10.2%
Most important issue
  • Maori/Treaty 13.2%
  • Education 12.1%
  • Law & Order 11.9%
  • Health 10.8%
  • Family Issues 9.0%
Coalitions
  • Maori Party coalition with Labour – 77.6% support, 14.0% do not
  • Maori Party coalition with National – 24.3% support, 64.0% do not
Identity
  • New Zealander First 13.4%
  • Maori first 77.5%
  • Both 16.2%

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Te Tai Tonga Marae Digipoll October 2008

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone of Waiariki voters

Poll Size: 400 voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 8 October to 21 October 2008

Client: Marae

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • Labour 44.0%
  • Maori Party 29.5%
  • NZ First 4.9%
  • National 10.9%
  • Green 8.5%

Candidate Support

  • Mahara Okeroa, Labour 40.4%
  • Rahui Reid Katene, Maori Party 46.1%
Preferred PM
  • Helen Clark 47.9%
  • Winston Peters 7.5%
  • Pita Sharples 6.9%
  • John Key 7.0%
  • Tariana Turia 1.1%
Country Direction
  • Right 56.1%
  • No 26.6%
  • Don’t Know 17.3%
Mahara Okeroa Performance
  • Very Satisfied 8.4%
  • Satisfied 47.9%
  • Not Satisfied 19.7%
  • Don’t Know 24.0%
Most effective Maori MP
  • Pita Sharples 23.7%
  • Hone Harawira 5.9%
  • Tariana Turia 10.5%
  • Winston Peters 10.3%
Most important issue
  • Maori/Treaty 11.7%
  • Education 15.4%
  • Law & Order 5.8%
  • Health 11.3%
  • Family Issues 5.0%
Coalitions
  • Maori Party coalition with Labour – 79.8% support, 16.5% do not
  • Maori Party coalition with National – 29.8% support, 65.3% do not
Identity
  • New Zealander First 21.4%
  • Maori first 63.0%
  • Both 14.8%

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Waiariki Marae-Digipoll October 2008

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone of Waiariki voters

Poll Size: 400 voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 24 September to 14 October 2008

Client: Marae

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • Labour 33.8%
  • Maori Party 48.9%
  • NZ First 6.3%
  • National 6.3%
  • Green 1.4%

Candidate Support

  • Mita Ririnui, Labour 22.2%
  • Te Ururoa Flavell, Maori Party 72.8%
Preferred PM
  • Helen Clark 48.2%
  • Winston Peters 5.2%
  • Pita Sharples 3.5%
  • John Key 6.1%
  • Tariana Turia 7.6%
Country Direction
  • Right 46.9%
  • No 35.3%
  • Don’t Know 17.8%
Te Ururoa Flavell Performance
  • Very Satisfied 28.3%
  • Satisfied 56.3%
  • Not Satisfied 5.4%
  • Don’t Know 9.8%
Most effective Maori MP
  • Te Ururoa Flavell 27.9%
  • Pita Sharples 20.1%
  • Hone Harawira 5.6%
  • Tariana Turia 6.8%
  • Winston Peters 7.3%
Most important issue
  • Maori/Treaty 21.7%
  • Education 14.7%
  • Law & Order 7.2%
  • Health 10.4%
  • Family Issues 6.8%
Coalitions
  • Maori Party coalition with Labour – 74.3% support, 19.4% do not
  • Maori Party coalition with National – 24.2% support, 65.8% do not
Identity
  • New Zealander First 10.5%
  • Maori first 73.0%
  • Both 16.2%

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Te Tai Hauauru Marae-Digipoll October 2008

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone of Te Tai Hauauru voters

Poll Size: 400 voters (4.9% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 24 September to 14 October 2008

Client: Marae

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • Labour 42.5%
  • Maori Party 44.0%
  • NZ First 1.9%
  • National 7.7%
  • Green 2.1%

Candidate Support

  • Errol Mason, Labour 15.1%
  • Tariana Turia, Maori Party 77.7%
Preferred PM
  • Helen Clark 46.8%
  • Tariana Turia 10.5%
  • Pita Sharples 8.5%
  • John Key 6.1%
  • Winston Peters 3.7%
Country Direction
  • Right 50.9%
  • No 32.8%
  • Don’t Know 16.2%
Tariana Turia Performance
  • Very Satisfied 29.7%
  • Satisfied 50.8%
  • Not Satisfied 8.1%
  • Don’t Know 11.3%
Most effective Maori MP
  • Tariana Turia 26.8%
  • Pita Sharples 23.2%
  • Hone Harawira 6.8%
  • Winston Peters 5.7%
Most important issue
  • Maori/Treaty 16.9%
  • Health 13.0%
  • Family Issues 11.2%
  • Education 9.5%
  • Law & Order 6.6%
  • Unemployment 5.8%
Coalitions
  • Maori Party coalition with Labour – 77.4% support, 15.0% do not
  • Maori Party coalition with National – 28.7% support, 60.4% do not
Identity
  • New Zealander First 9.0%
  • Maori first 72.8%
  • Both 17.7%

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