Posts Tagged Leader Ratings

3 News Reid Research Poll April 2013

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: Approx 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Dates: 13 to 18 April 2013

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 49.4% (-2.0%)
  • Labour 30.2% (-2.4%)
  • Green 11.5% (+0.7%)
  • ACT 0.5% (+0.4%)
  • Maori 1.0%  (+0.6%)
  • United Future
  • Mana 1.0% (+1.0%)
  • NZ First 3.8% (+0.4%)
  • Conservative 2.0% (+1.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 63
  • Labour 39
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 63 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 65/123 – three more than minimum 63 needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 55/123 – seven fewer than minimum 63 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 37.6% (-3.4%)
  • Shearer 10.0% (nc)
  • Peters
  • Norman

Leadership Performance Ratings

  • John Key – 55.3% (-1.5%) well and 32.2% (+6.4%) poor = +23.1% net well (-7.9%)
  • David Shearer – 32.4% (-2.5%) well and 35.8% (-3.8%) poor = -3.4% net well (-6.3%)

GCSB

  • 50% trusted
  • 40% not trusted
  • 11% unsure

Kim Dotcom

  • 48% should be allowed to stay
  • 42% sent to US
  • 10% unsure

 

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3 News Reid Research Poll February 2013

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error) of whom 807 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 16.2%

Dates: 12 to 21 February 2013

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 51.4% (+4.4%)
  • Labour 32.6% (-2.0%)
  • Green 10.8% (-2.2%)
  • ACT 0.1% (-0.1%)
  • Maori 0.4%  (-0.8%)
  • United Future 0.3% (+0.2%)
  • Mana 0.0% (-0.1%)
  • NZ First 3.4% (+1.4%)
  • Conservative 0.9% (+0.2%)

Projected Seats

  • National 64
  • Labour 41
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 125

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 64 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 66/125 – three more than minimum 63 needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 56/125 – seven fewer than minimum 63 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 41.0% (+3.6%)
  • Shearer 10.0% (-2.6%)
  • Peters 4.7% (-1.1%)
  • Norman 1.8% (-0.4%)

Leadership Performance Ratings

  • John Key – 56.8% (+4.9%) well and 25.8% (-3.6%) poor = +31.0% net well (+8.5%)
  • David Shearer – 34.9% (+3.3%) well and 32.0% (-2.4%) poor = 2.9% net well (+5.7%)

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3 News Reid Research Poll November 2012

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 24 to 30 November 2012

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 47.0% (-1.8%)
  • Labour 34.6% (+1.6%)
  • Green 12.9% (+2.3%)
  • ACT 0.2% (+0.1%)
  • Maori 1.0%  (-0.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • Mana 0.1% (-0.9%)
  • NZ First 2.0% (-1.2%)
  • Conservative 1.0% (-1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 59
  • Labour 43
  • Green 16
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/124 – two fewer than minimum 63 needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 43 + Greens 16 + Mana 1 = 60/122 – three fewer than minimum 63 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 37.4% (-3.6%)
  • Shearer 12.6% (+4.1%)
  • Peters 5.0% (nc)
  • Norman 2.2% (-0.2%)

Leadership Performance Ratings

  • John Key – 51.9% (-3.1%) well and 29.4% (-1.0%) poor = +22.5% net well (-2.1%)
  • David Shearer – 31.6% (-1.9%) well and 34.4% (+2.9%) poor = -2.8% net well (-4.1%)

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3 News Reid Research poll July 2012

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)

Dates: assumed 28 July to 1 August 2012

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 50.6% (+4.8%)
  • Labour 30.8% (-2.4%)
  • Green 11.2% (-3.2%)
  • ACT 0.1% (-0.4%)
  • Maori 1.6%  (+0.2%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • Mana 0.2% (-0.1%)
  • NZ First 3.0% (+0.2%)
  • Conservative 1.7% (+0.6%)

Projected Seats

  • National 65
  • Labour 39
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 65 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 67/124 – four more than minimum 62 needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 54/122 – nine fewer than minimum 62 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 43.2% (+2.7%)
  • Shearer 8.9% (-3.4%)
  • Peters 6.2% (+1.4%)
  • Norman 2.0% (-2.0%)

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3 News Reid Research Poll 24 Nov 2011

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds: 12%

Dates: assumed 19 November to 23 November 2011

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 50.8% (+0.6%)
  • Labour 26.0% (-1.4%)
  • Green 13.4% (+0.4%)
  • ACT 1.0% (+0.3%)
  • Maori 1.5%  (+0.2%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • Mana 1.1% (+0.1%)
  • NZ First 3.1% (-0.4%)
  • Conservative 1.8% (+0.7%)

Projected Seats

  • National 65
  • Labour 34
  • Green 17
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, Mana, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 65 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 67/123 – 5 more than minimum 62 needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 34 + Greens 17 + Mana 1 = 52/123 -10 less than minimum 62 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 49.0% (nc)
  • Goff 12.0% (+2.0%)
  • Peters 4.0% (nc)

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3 News Reid Research Poll 13 November 2011

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)

Dates: assumed 3 November to 10 November 2011

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 53.3% (+1.0%)
  • Labour 29.9% (-0.3%)
  • Green 10.2% (+0.8%)
  • ACT 0.7% (-0.8%)
  • Maori 1.4%  (nc)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • Mana 1.0% (+0.1%)
  • NZ First 2.4% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 66
  • Labour 37
  • Green 13
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, Mana, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 66 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 68/122 – 6 more than minimum 62 needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 13 + Mana 1 = 51/122 -11 less than minimum 62 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 50.0% (-2.7%)
  • Goff 12.4% (+2.6%)

Leadership Approval

  • Key – 68.9% (-2.2%) doing well vs 17.2% (-0.7%) doing poorly – net positive is 51.7% (-1.5%)
  • Goff  – 34.6% (+6.2%) doing well vs 44.8% (-9.4%) doing poorly – net positive is -10.2% (+15.6%)

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3 News Reid Research Poll October 2011

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: assumed 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error)

Dates: assumed 20 October to 27 October 2011

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 52.3% (-5.1%)
  • Labour 30.2% (+3.6%)
  • Green 9.4% (-0.4%)
  • ACT 1.5% (+0.5%)
  • Maori 1.4%  (+0.6%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • Mana 0.9% (+0.2%)
  • NZ First 2.4% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 65
  • Labour 38
  • Green 12
  • ACT 2
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on Maori Party winning three electorate seats, Mana, ACT and United Future one each and Labour winning Wigram and Te Tai Tonga.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 65 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 68/124 – 6 more than minimum 62 needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Greens 12 + Mana 1 = 51/124 -11 less than minimum 63 needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • Key 52.7% (-1.8%)
  • Goff 9.8% (+3.6%)

Leadership Approval

  • Key – 71.1% (-5.1%) doing well vs 17.9% (+6.4%) doing poorly – net positive is 53.2% (-11.5%)
  • Goff  – 28.4% (+1.6%) doing well vs 54.2% (+5.1%) doing poorly – net positive is -25.8% (-3.5%)

Govt handling of Rena

  • 36% didn’t do well
  • 30% okay
  • 34% done well

Importance of Issues

  • Environment 8.2/10
  • food prices and the quality of our schools at 7.9.
  • Hospital care was third at 7.8.
  • The price of petrol was fourth at 7.7.
  • The number of people living in poverty was fifth 7.5.

 

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