Posts Tagged Labour

NZ Herald Digipoll December 2013

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 12.6%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 656 had a party preference

Dates: 09 to 17 December 2013

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 46.8% (+3.1%)
  • Labour 35.4% (-2.3%)
  • Green 10.8% (-0.5%)
  • NZ First 3.9% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 1.3% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.0% (-0.1%)
  • Mana 0.9% (+0.2%)
  • Conservative 0.7% (-0.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 59
  • Labour 44
  • Green 14
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 59 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 61/123 – one fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 44 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 59/123 -three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/123

On this poll, the Maori Party would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • Key 61.9% (+6.1%)
  • Cunliffe 16.5% (-0.3%)
  • Peters 7.3% (+1.1%)
  • Norman 3.4% (-0.3%)

Pike River

  • Shareholders should pay compensation 64.4%
  • Government should pay compensation 19.8%

GST

  • Should be charged on all overseas purchases 40%
  • Current exemption level of $400 should remain 53%

Berms

  • Mowing berms responsibility of householder 60%
  • Mowing berms responsibility of council 34%

Sex Education

  • 75% say should teach more than the physical and medical aspects of sex

Fireworks

  • 39% want sale of fireworks banned
  • 60% happy with current rules

Speed limit

  • 67% support reducing tolerance to 4 km/hr
  • 29% against

Hauraki Gulf

  • Ban commercial fishing in Hauraki Gulf 53%
  • Support status quo 29%

Mining

  • 58% support oil, gas and mineral exploration
  • 38% against

Land sales

  • 55% support bill limiting land sales to foreigners

Drink Driving

  • 28% support that a BAC between 0.05 and 0.08 should be a criminal offence, with most supporting it being an infringement only.

Conservatives

  • 33% think Colin Craig’s views are too extreme
  • 24% say he is a welcome addition to political debates
  • 43% don’t know

Gender Quotas

  • 54% (52% of women) say Labour’s gender quota too restrictive
  • 38% (42% of women) say a good idea
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3 News Labour Leadership poll

3 News reports on the preferred candidates for Labour Leader:

  • David Cunliffe 39.6%
  • Shane Jones 31.6%
  • Grant Robertson 28.8%

Among Labour voters:

  • David Cunliffe 45.6%
  • Shane Jones 28.1%
  • Grant Robertson 26.4%

Will Robertson’s sexuality affect his chances of becomiing PM

  • Yes 58.5%
  • No 41.5%

Is Shane Jones fully rehabilitated

  • Yes 39.5%
  • No 60.5%

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Fairfax Research International Poll August 2011

Polling Company: Research International

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000, of whom xxx had a party preference

Dates: 25 to 29 August 2011

Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

  • National 57.1% (+1.1%)
  • Labour 25.7% (-3.3%)
  • Green 11.0% (+4.6%)
  • ACT 1.1% (-1.1%)
  • Maori 1.6% (+0.4%)
  • United Future 0.1% (-0.1%)
  • Mana 0.6% (+0.4%)
  • NZ First 2.2% (+0.2%)

Projected Seats

  • National 70
  • Labour 32
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 70 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 72/123 – 10 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 32 + Greens 14 + Mana 1= 47/123 -15 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 54.6% (+1.6%)
  • Phil Goff 8.5% (+2.3%)
  • Winston Peters 2.8% (+0.3%)

Labour Leadership

  • 20% say they are more likely to vote Labour if they change leader
  • 11% say less likely
  • 65% say no difference

Rugby World Cup

  • 68% think NZ will win
  • 11% Australia
  • 7% South Africa
  • 2% England

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One News Colmar Brunton Poll February 2009

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,007 total voters, 877  likely voters (3.4% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 14 February to 19 February 2009

Client: One News

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • National 56.0% (+9.0%)
  • Labour 28.0% (-7.0%)
  • Green 6.0% (-3.0%)
  • ACT 3.1% (+0.6%)
  • Maori 3.4% (+2.1%)
  • United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
  • Progressive 0.4% (+0.4%)
  • NZ First 1.4% (-1.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 70
  • Labour 35
  • Green 7
  • ACT 4
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

  • National 70 = 70/122 – majority possible
  • Labour 35 + Progressive 1 + Greens 7 + Maori 5 = 48/122 = no majority possible

The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 62 is shown. It is assumed ACT would only go with National and Progressive, Greens and NZ First only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive and NZ First in order of ease are Greens, Maori Party.

Economic Outlook

  • 37% economy over next 12 months will be better (-4.0%)
  • 21% same (+2.0%)
  • 42% worse (+2.0)
Jobs
  • 22% worried they could close their job
  • 66% not worried
  • 8% do not have a job
  • 2% have lost their jobs
  • 2% don’t know
Labour Leadership
  • 53% could name Phil Goff as Labour Leader
  • 13% could name Annette King as Deputy Leader of Labour

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