Posts Tagged Ipsos

Fairfax Ipsos poll August 2013

Polling Company: Ipsos

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,011 of whom xxx have a party preference

Undecideds: 17.2%

Dates: 10 August 2013 to 15 August 2013

Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

  • National 48.3% (-1.1%)
  • Labour 31.6% (-0.3%)
  • Green 12.3% (+1.1%)
  • NZ First 2.8% (-0.4%)
  • Maori 1.0% (-0.6%)
  • United Future 0.1% (-0.2%)
  • ACT 0.2% (+0.1%)
  • Mana 0.5% (+0.4%)
  • Conservative 1.4% (-0.2%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 39
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 120

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT1 + United Future 1 = 62/120 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 39 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 55/120 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/120

On this poll a centre-right government would be formed.

Country Direction

  • Right 58.0% (-1.2%)
  • Wrong 42.0% (+1.6%)

GCSB

  • 75% at least partly worried about GCSB law
  • 30% very concerned
  • 54% trust Government to protect their privacy while maintaining national security
  • $0% do not
 100% pure
  • 21% say we are 80% to 100% pure
  • Average pure rating is 65%

House Affordability

  • 21% can afford an $88,000 deposit (20% of average house), 31% with family help, 48% can not
  • 81% say having Govt offer low deposit loans to first time home buyers will be effective in tackling rising house prices
  • 73% say having Govt build more affordable homes will be effective
  • 68% say releasing more land for housing will be effective
  • 49% say stopping non residents purchasing will be effective
  • 37% say introducing a CGT will be effective
  • 29% say forcing buyers to have bigger loan deposits will be effective

Leader Trust

  • Fully believe John Key 24% yes and 59% no
  • Fully believe David Shearer 33% yes and 43% no

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Fairfax Ipsos Poll May 2013

Polling Company: Ipsos

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 of whom 828 have a party preference

Undecideds: 17.2%

Dates: 20 May 2013 to 24 May 2013

Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

  • National 49.4% (+4.5%)
  • Labour 31.9% (-4.4%)
  • Green 11.2% (+0.5%)
  • NZ First 3.2% (+0.4%)
  • Maori 1.6% (+0.3%)
  • United Future 0.3% (+0.2%)
  • ACT 0.1% (-0.3%)
  • Mana0.1% (-1.3%)
  • Conservative 1.6% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 63
  • Labour 46
  • Green 11
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 63 + ACT1 + United Future 1 = 65/124 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 46 + Greens 11 + Mana 1 = 58/124 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 59.2% (+7.0%)
  • Wrong 40.4% (-7.4%)

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Fairfax Ipsos poll February 2013

Polling Company: Ipsos

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 of whom 828 have a party preference

Undecideds: 17.2%

Dates: 10 February 2013 to 14 February 2013

Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

  • National 44.9% (-1.3%)
  • Labour 36.3% (+1.9%)
  • Green 10.7% (+0.2%)
  • NZ First 2.8% (-1.0%)
  • Maori 1.3% (-0.1%)
  • United Future 0.1% (-0.1%)
  • ACT 0.4% (+0.4%)
  • Mana 1.4% (+0.8%)
  • Conservative 1.6% (+0.2%)

Projected Seats

  • National 57
  • Labour 46
  • Green 13
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 2
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 57 + United Future 1 = 58/122 – four fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 46 + Greens 13 + Mana 2 = 61/122 – one fewerthan the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Should Hekia Parata be removed from Education

  • Yes 60%
  • No 22%
  • Don’t Know 18%

Was David Bain wrongfully imprisoned?

  • Yes 40%
  • No 28%
  • Unsure 32%

Should David Bain get compensation?

  • Yes 60%
Overall on Bain
  • wrongfully jailed and deserves compensation 36%
  • not wrongfully imprisoned and deserves nothing 22%
  • mixed views about imprisonment and compensation 10%
  • unsure 33%

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Fairfax Ipsos poll December 2012

Polling Company: Ipsos

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,062 of whom 955 have a party preference

Undecideds: 9.0%

Dates: 28 November 2012 to 03 December 2012

Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

  • National 46.2% (+1.3%)
  • Labour 34.4% (+1.8%)
  • Green 10.5% (-1.4%)
  • NZ First 3.8% (+0.2%)
  • Maori 1.4% (-1.3%)
  • United Future 0.2% (+0.1%)
  • ACT 0.0% (-0.6%)
  • Mana 0.6% (-0.6%)
  • Conservative 1.4% (+0.7%)

Projected Seats

  • National 59
  • Labour 44
  • Green 14
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats, except for National winning Epsom.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 59 + United Future 1 = 60/122 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 44 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 = 59/122 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

  • Right 48.9% (-0.9%)
  • Wrong 51.1% (+0.9%)

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