Posts Tagged David Shearer

3 News Reid Research Poll July 2013

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error) of whom 831 have a voting preference

Undecideds: 14.2%

Dates: 09 to 17 July 2013

Client: 3 News

Report3NewsPoll July 2013

Party Support

  • National 49.5% (+2.4%)
  • Labour 31.0% (-2.1%)
  • Green 12.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.2% (nc)
  • Maori 1.6%  (-0.6%)
  • United Future 0.2% (-0.2%)
  • Mana 0.2% (-0.3%)
  • NZ First 3.9% (+1.7%)
  • Conservative 1.1% (-0.4%)

Projected Seats

  • National 63
  • Labour 40
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 63 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 65/124 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 40 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 56/124 – seven fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/123

On this poll, there would be a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

  • Key 42.0% (+1.3%)
  • Shearer 12.1% (+1.6%)
  • Peters 7.0% (+0.9%)
  • Norman 1.7% (-1.9%)

Leadership Performance Ratings

  • John Key – 52.0% (-3.0%) well and 32.2% (+1.9%) poor = +19% net well (-4.9%)
  • David Shearer – 26.1% (-10.1%) well and 43.3% (+7.0%) poor = -17.2% net well (-17.1%)

Kim Dotcom

  • 52% believe Kim Dotcom’s claims John Key knew of him before the raids
  • 34% believe Key’s denials

David Shearer

  • 42% say Shearer should step down as Labour leader
  • 45% say Shearer should remain
  • 39% of Labour voters say Shearer should step down, 51% say stay

Alternate Labour Leaders

  • David Cunliffe 26%
  • Grant Robertson 16%
  • Andrew Little 9%
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Te Karere DigiPoll January 2013

Te Karere Digipoll have done a poll of 1,000 Maori votes between 7 and 30 January 2013

The changes are from the last poll in January 2012, or for electorate vote from the November 2011 election.

Party Vote – All Maori voters

  • Labour 33.5% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 27.5% (+2.5%)
  • National 9.1% (+0.7%)
  • Greens 7.8% (-0.2%)
  • NZ First 6.2% (-0.4%)
  • Mana 5.7% (-4.3%)
  • Don’t Know 9.9% (+2.7%)

Party Vote – Maori voters on Maori roll

  • Labour 34.1% (+3.5%)
  • Maori 33.0% (+2.7%)
  • National 4.8% (-1.7%)
  • Greens 7.4% (-0.5%)
  • NZ First 5.8% (-0.5%)
  • Mana 7.6% (-5.3%)
  • Don’t Know 7.0% (+0.6%)

Party Vote – Maori voters on General Roll

  • Labour 32.4% (-13.1%)
  • Maori 15.4% (+7.7%)
  • National 18.2% (+3.7%)
  • Greens 8.5% (+0.3%)
  • NZ First 6.9% (-4.0%)
  • Mana 1.6% (+0.2%)
  • Don’t Know 16.0% (+8.8%)

Electorate Vote – Maori voters on Maori Roll

  • Maori 36.3% (+4.8%)
  • Labour 31.8% (-8.9%)
  • Mana 8.9% (-12.2%)
  • National 5.0% (+5.0%)
  • NZ First 3.9% (+3.9%)
  • Green 3.8% (-1.1%)

Labour Leader Name Awareness amongst those voting Labour

  • David Shearer 34.7%
  • Others 2.4%
  • Don’t Know 62.9%

Agreement that David Shearer provides good leadership on Maori issues amongst those voting Labour and know he is leader.

  • Agree 28.0%
  • Disagree 40.7%
  • Don’t Know 31.4%

Government Direction

  • Right 16%
  • Wrong 73%

Agreement that John Key provides good leadership on Maori issues

  • Agree 9%
  • Disagree 85%

Maori Party voters on do you support or oppose the Maori Party working in a formal relationship with the National Party?

  • Support 56%
  • Opoose 37%

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