Posts Tagged Christchurch

Christchurch Mayoralty poll

The Press reports:

Mayoral candidate Lianne Dalziel is dominating the latest Press poll, but rival Paul Lonsdale is vowing to fight on.

The Press/Research First poll found 78 per cent of those polled supported Dalziel to Lonsdale’s 19 per cent.

Another  1 per cent did not know who their preferred candidate was, while Tubby Hansen and Brad Maxwell both received  1 per cent support, and another  1 per cent did not know who their preferred candidate was. …

The polling company questioned 763 Christchurch people from September 17 to 25.

The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 per cent. However, for the question about which candidate they preferred 541 were canvassed with a margin for error of 3.5 per cent, as it excluded those who would definitely not be able to choose.

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Christchurch Mayoralty poll

The Press reports:

A Press Research First poll has revealed that nearly a third of Christchurch voters are undecided and another third of the electorate could also be up for grabs.

The poll was taken before Christchurch Mayor Bob Parker announced he was not going to stand for another term.

It found that Parker was attracting only 20 per cent of the vote, Labour MP Lianne Dalziel was winning 48 per cent, while 32 per cent of people were undecided.

The poll also shows that 40 per cent of people who said they would vote for Dalziel were doing so because they wanted a change or were unhappy with Parker.

About 41 per cent of the mayoral choices were tactical in some way, meaning they were voting against the other candidate rather than for their choice.

Of those that had chosen a candidate, 70 per cent favoured Dalziel and 30 per cent supported Parker.

Another story states:

Christchurch people have given their city councillors the worst rating ever seen by a polling company, but do not want the Government to take over, a new survey says.

The Press Research First poll has found widespread disillusionment with councillors and the mayor over their leadership since 2010. The main complaint was dysfunction and lack of unity.

The poll asked Christchurch residents to rate the performance of council leadership on a scale from zero to 10, with zero being very poor. About 60 per cent of people gave council leadership a score lower than five. …

The poll also found that Christchurch people do not want the Government to take over council leadership as it did with Environment Canterbury in 2010.

About 51 per cent of those polled said they disagreed with Government intervention. Twenty-eight per cent agreed with a Government takeover.

And a further story on CERA:

People were asked to rate Cera on a scale of zero to 10, with zero being very poor. About 20 per cent of respondents gave Cera a five out of 10; 26 per cent said Cera were doing a good job, 13 per cent complained of a lack of progress; and 9 per cent said they could be doing a better job.

Lack of progress was the main reason for a poor rating.

Research First also calculated a ratings score based on the ratio of low ratings to high. The score ranges from +100 to -100. Cera scored -51 on the scale, compared to -79 for councillors and the mayor, which was the worst ever seen by the polling company.


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Christchurch Schools

UMR have done a poll Christchurch schools:

  • 15% of New Zealanders said that the closures were inevitable and that the Government handled the situation well.
  • 63% felt that the closures were inevitable but that the Government could have handled the situation better
  • 22% believe that the schools should not be closed or merged at all.


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One News Colmar Brunton Poll February 2013

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,026 respondents of whom 875 have a voting preference

Undecideds: 10%

Dates: 9 to 13 February 2013

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 49.0% (+5.0%)
  • Labour 33.0% (-2.0%)
  • Green 11.0% (-1.0%)
  • ACT 0.1% (-0.5%)
  • Maori 1.0% (+0.3%)
  • United Future 0.2% (-0.3%)
  • Mana 0.5% (+0.2%)
  • NZ First 3.9% (+0.3%)
  • Conservative 0.9% (-0.4%)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 42
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/124 – 1 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 42 + Greens 14 + Mana 1= 57/121 -6 fewer than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 44% (+5.0%)
  • David Shearer 15% (nc)
  • Winston Peters 5% (-1%)
Decision to keep Hekia Parata as Minister of Education
  •  21% right decision
  • 59% wrong decision
  • 20% unsure

Economic Outlook

  • Better 48% (+7%)
  • Same 22% (-2%)
  • Worse 30% (-4%)

Partial Asset Sales

  • Support 30% (+6%)
  • Oppose 64% (-5%)
  • Unsure 6% (-1%)

Four Year Term

  • Support 56%
  • Oppose 40%
  • Unsure 5%

Make unemployed apply for jobs in Christchurch

  • Yes 39%
  • No 53%
  • Unsure 7%

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Christchurch Cathedral poll

ResearchNZ polled 92 Cantabrians:

  • 48% supported the plan to demolish the cathedral to 2-3 metres and then rebuild it from there
  • 26% supported no further demolition and reconstruction
  • 15% supported neither option
  • 11% had no opinion

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Christchurch Mayoralty Poll

UMR did an online poll of 350 Christchurch residents from 27 May to 7 June 2010.

  • 46% prefer Anderton as Mayor, 21% Bob Parker and 22% undecided
  • In a head to head, Anderton 61%, Parker 30%
  • Bob Parker has a net approval rating of -14% and Jim Anderton is +42%
  • 64% say Christchurch is heading in the right direction and 28% wrong direction

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