Posts Tagged Budget

3 News Reid Research poll May 2014

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Dates: approx 17 to 22 May 2014

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 50.3% (+4.4%)
  • Labour 29.5% (-1.7%)
  • Green 10.2% (-1.0%)
  • ACT 0.5% (-0.6%)
  • Maori 0.6%  (-0.9%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.1%)
  • Mana 0.2% (-0.9%)
  • NZ First 5.6% (+0.7%)
  • Conservative 2.3% (+0.4%)
  • Internet 0.6% (+0.6%)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 36
  • Green 13
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/124 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 13 + Mana 1 + Internet 0 = 50/124 – thirteen fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 7 + Maori 3 = 10/124

On this poll, there would be a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

  • Key 46.3% (+3.7%)
  • Cunliffe 9.8% (+0.8%)
  • Peters
  • Norman

2014 Budget

  • 73% like Budget 24% dislike
  • 67% of Labour voters like it

Immigration

  • 62% support tighter restrictions on immigration
  • 35% oppose

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One News Colmar Brunton poll May 2014

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents, of whom 755 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 17%

Dates: 17 to 21 May 2014

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 51.0% (+4.0%)
  • Labour 30.0% (-1.0%)
  • Green 11.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.8% (+0.5%)
  • Maori 0.8% (+0.1%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.1%)
  • Mana 0.4% (+0.4%)
  • NZ First 4.8% (-2.2%)
  • Conservative 1.3% (-1.0%)
  • Internet 0.7% (+0.7%)

Projected Seats

  • National 65
  • Labour 38
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Internet 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 65 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 67/123 – five more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 38 + Greens 14 + Mana 1 + Internet 0 = 53/123 – nine fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/123

On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 43% (+1.0%)
  • David Cunliffe 10% (+2.0%)
  • Winston Peters 6% (+2.0%)

House Prices

  • 68% support register of foreign ownership of property, 22% against
  • 57% support more immigration controls to reduce house prices, 33% against

Economic Outlook

  • Better 59% (-3%)
  • Same 24% (+6%)
  • Worse 17% (-3%)

Budget

  • Better off 9% (+3%)
  • Same 66% (-4%)
  • Worse off 10% (-3%)

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One News Colmar Brunton Poll May 2013

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,011 respondents of whom 849 had a party vote preference

UndecidedsDates: 18 to 22 May 2013

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 49.0% (+6.0%)
  • Labour 33.0% (-3.0%)
  • Green 9.0% (-4.0%)
  • ACT 0.3% (+0.2%)
  • Maori 1.3% (nc)
  • United Future 0.7% (-0.3%)
  • Mana 1.2% (+1.1%)
  • NZ First 3.6% (+0.6%)
  • Conservative 1.7% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 42
  • Green 11
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 2
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/122 – two more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 42 + Greens 11 + Mana 2= 55/122 – seven fewer than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 42% (+3.0%)
  • David Shearer 12% (-3.0%)
  • Winston Peters 4% (+1%)

Economic Outlook

  • Better 55% (+5%)
  • Same 19% (nc)
  • Worse 26% (-5%)

Food in Schools

  • 70% support the Government providing food to children at low decile schools
  • 26% against

Budget 2013

  • Personally better off 6% (+3% from 2012)
  • About the same 70% (+2%)
  • Worse off 13% (-9%)

Affordable Housing

  • 30% say Govt doing enough to keep housing affordable
  • 62% say not enough

Electricity

  • 57% support Labour/Green policy
  • 37% oppose

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One News Colmar Brunton Poll May 2011

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: Around 1,000

Dates: to 21 to 25 May 2011

Client: One News

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • National 52.0% (+1.0%)
  • Labour 33.0% (+1.0%)
  • Green 6.0% (-2.0%)
  • ACT 2.5% (+1.2%)
  • Maori 1.4% (-0.9%)
  • United Future ?
  • Mana 0.9%
  • NZ First 1.6% (-2.0%)

Projected Seats

  • National 65
  • Labour 42
  • Green 7
  • ACT 3
  • Maori 4
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 65 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 69/123 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 42 + Greens 7 + Mana 1= 50/123 -12 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 53% (-2%)
  • Phil Goff 8% (-3%)

Economic Outlook

  • Better 48% (+10%)
  • Worse 33% (-12%)
Budget
  • 4% feel better off, 62% the same and 29% worse off
  • 42% support KiwiSaver changes, 50% opposed
  • 31% say Budget will improve economy, 41% no change and 20% will be negative for economy
Racism
  • 21% say NZ has a great deal of racism
  • 55% say some racism
  • 20% say only a little racism
  • 3% say no racism
Maori Rights
  • 45% say Maori have more rights than other New Zealanders
  • 48% say the same rights
  • 6% say less rights

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One News Colmar Brunton Poll May 2010

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,009 adults, 843 of whom had a party vote preference

Dates: 22 to 26 May 2010

Client: One News

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

  • National 49.0% (-5.0%)
  • Labour 33.0% (nc)
  • Green 7.0% (+2.3%)
  • ACT 2.2% (-1.0%)
  • Maori 3.6% (+1.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (+0.3%)
    Progressive 0.5% (+0.3%)
  • NZ First 1.3% (-0.4%)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 41
  • Green 9
  • ACT 3
  • Maori 5
  • United Future 1
  • Progressive 0
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT, United Future one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 66/121 – 5 more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 9 = 50/121 -11 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Economic Outlook

  • 56% economy over next 12 months will be better (-9.0%)
  • 18% same (+2.0%)
  • 26% worse (+7.0%)
Preferred PM
  • John Key 46% (-2.0%)
  • Phil Goff 6% (-2%)
  • Helen Clark not yet known
2010 Budget
  • 37% say makes them better off, 53% say it does not
  • 61% say budget good for economy, 25% disagree
  • 50% say it was fair, and 41% disagree
Drinking Age
  • 74% want 20 and 24% 18

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