Posts Tagged 3 News

3 News Reid Research poll July 2014

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Dates: June 2014

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Dates: 8 to 16 July 2014

Client: 3 News

Report3 News

Party Support

  • National 49.4% (-0.3%)
  • Labour 26.7% (-0.6%)
  • Green 12.4% (-0.3%)
  • ACT 0.1% (-0.3%)
  • Maori 1.1%  (-0.4%)
  • United Future 0.2% (+0.2%)
  • Mana/Internet 2.3% (+0.5%)
  • NZ First 4.3% (+0.7%)
  • Conservative 2.7% (-0.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 65
  • Labour 35
  • Green 16
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana/Internet 3
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 65 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 67/124 – four more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 35 + Greens 16 + Mana/Internet 2 = 54/124 – nine fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 0/124

On this poll, there would be a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

  • Key 43.8% (-2.9%)
  • Cunliffe 9.5% (-0.1%)

Mana/Internet

  • 59% oppose Labour working with Internet Mana to form a Government
  • 29% support

Leave a Comment

3 News Reid Research poll June 2014

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Dates: June 2014

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 49.7% (-0.6%)
  • Labour 27.2% (-2.2%)
  • Green 12.7% (+2.5%)
  • ACT 0.4% (-0.2%)
  • Maori 1.5%  (+0.9%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • Mana/Internet 1.8% (+1.0%)
  • NZ First 3.6% (-2.0%)
  • Conservative 2.8% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 64
  • Labour 35
  • Green 16
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 2
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 64 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 66/122 – four more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 16 + Mana/Internet 2 = 54/122 – eight fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 0/124

On this poll, there would be a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

  • Key 46.7% (+0.4%)
  • Cunliffe 9.6% (-0.2%)

Comments (2)

3 News Reid Research poll May 2014

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Dates: approx 17 to 22 May 2014

Client: 3 News

Report: 3 News

Party Support

  • National 50.3% (+4.4%)
  • Labour 29.5% (-1.7%)
  • Green 10.2% (-1.0%)
  • ACT 0.5% (-0.6%)
  • Maori 0.6%  (-0.9%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.1%)
  • Mana 0.2% (-0.9%)
  • NZ First 5.6% (+0.7%)
  • Conservative 2.3% (+0.4%)
  • Internet 0.6% (+0.6%)

Projected Seats

  • National 62
  • Labour 36
  • Green 13
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/124 – one more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 13 + Mana 1 + Internet 0 = 50/124 – thirteen fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 7 + Maori 3 = 10/124

On this poll, there would be a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

  • Key 46.3% (+3.7%)
  • Cunliffe 9.8% (+0.8%)
  • Peters
  • Norman

2014 Budget

  • 73% like Budget 24% dislike
  • 67% of Labour voters like it

Immigration

  • 62% support tighter restrictions on immigration
  • 35% oppose

Leave a Comment

3 News Reid Research Poll March 2014

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Dates: approx 18 to 26 March 2014

Client: 3 News

Report3 News

Party Support

  • National 45.9% (+1.4%)
  • Labour 31.2% (-2.3%)
  • Green 11.2% (-1.2%)
  • ACT 1.1% (+1.1%)
  • Maori 1.5%  (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.1% (+0.1%)
  • Mana 1.1% (+0.8%)
  • NZ First 4.9% (-0.8%)
  • Conservative 1.9% (-0.2%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 41
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/122 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 41 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 57/122 – five fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/122

On this poll, there would be a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

  • Key 42.6% (+3.6%)
  • Cunliffe 9.0% (-1.8%)
  • Peters
  • Norman

David Cunliffe

  • were his actions with his secret trust worthy of a PM – No 65%, yes 28%

Leader Ratings

  • John Key – 65% (+7%) say performing well, 26% (-3%) poorly = +39% (+10%) net approval
  • David Cunliffe – 30% (-9%) say performing well, 46% (+16%) poorly = -10% (+25%) net approval

Leave a Comment

3 News Reid Research Poll January 2014

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.1% maximum margin of error)

Undecideds:

Dates: approx 21 to 28 January 2014

Client: 3 News

Report3 News

Party Support

  • National 44.5% (-3.2%)
  • Labour 33.5% (+1.2%)
  • Green 12.4% (-1.6%)
  • ACT 0.0% (+0.6%)
  • Maori 1.0%  (-0.4%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.2%)
  • Mana 0.3% (+1.1%)
  • NZ First 5.7% (+0.3%)
  • Conservative 2.1% (+1.7%)

Projected Seats

  • National 55
  • Labour 42
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 1
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 125

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 55 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 57/125 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 42 + Greens 15 + Mana 1 = 58/125 – five fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 7 + Maori 3 = 10/125

On this poll, NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

  • Key 39.0% (-1.9%)
  • Cunliffe 10.8% (nc)
  • Peters 5.8% (-1.7%)
  • Norman

NZ First

  • 54% say John Key should work with Winston Peters, 36% say he should rule him out
  • 61% of National supporters say John Key should work with Winston Peters, 32% say he should rule him out

Internet Party

  • 21% said they would consider voting for Kim Dotcom’s Internet Party
  • 75% would not

Leave a Comment

3 News Reid Research Poll November 2013

Polling Company: Reid Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 respondents (3.2% maximum margin of error) of whom approx 857 have a voting preference

Undecideds: 14.3%

Dates: approx 03 to 07 November 2013

Client: 3 News

Report3NewsPoll november 2013

Party Support

  • National 46.3% (-3.2%)
  • Labour 32.2% (+1.2%)
  • Green 10.4% (-1.6%)
  • ACT 0.8% (+0.6%)
  • Maori 1.2%  (-0.4%)
  • United Future 0.1% (-0.2%)
  • Mana 1.3% (+1.1%)
  • NZ First 4.2% (+0.3%)
  • Conservative 2.8% (+1.7%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 42
  • Green 14
  • ACT 0
  • Maori 2
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 2
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 121

This is based on ACT losing Epsom and the Maori Party losing one seat.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 0 + United Future 1 = 61/121 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 42 + Greens 14 + Mana 2 = 58/121 – three fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0 + Maori 2 = 2/122

On this poll, there would be a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

  • Key 40.9% (-1.1%)
  • Cunliffe 10.8% (-1.3% from Shearer)
  • Peters 7.5% (+0.5%)
  • Norman 2.2% (+0.5%)

Leader Ratings

  • John Key – 58% well (+6%) and 28% poor (-4%) = 30% net positive (+10%)
  • David Cunliffe – 42% well (+16% from Shearer) and 25% poor (-19%) = 18% net positive (+35%)

KiwiAssure

  • 42% support a state insurer
  • 49% oppose it

Comments (1)

3 News Labour Leadership poll

3 News reports on the preferred candidates for Labour Leader:

  • David Cunliffe 39.6%
  • Shane Jones 31.6%
  • Grant Robertson 28.8%

Among Labour voters:

  • David Cunliffe 45.6%
  • Shane Jones 28.1%
  • Grant Robertson 26.4%

Will Robertson’s sexuality affect his chances of becomiing PM

  • Yes 58.5%
  • No 41.5%

Is Shane Jones fully rehabilitated

  • Yes 39.5%
  • No 60.5%

Leave a Comment

« Newer Posts · Older Posts »