NZ Herald DigiPoll 17 September 2014

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 5.6%

Poll Size: 775 respondents, of whom 732 had a party preference

Dates: 11 September to 17 September 2014

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 48.2% (-0.4%)
  • Labour 25.9% (+1.3%)
  • Green 11.0% (-0.5%)
  • NZ First 8.4% (+0.3%)
  • Maori 1.1% (+0.4%)
  • United Future 0.2% (+0.2%)
  • ACT 0.5% (+0.2%)
  • Mana/Internet 1.0% (-1.3%)
  • Conservative 3.3% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 60
  • Labour 32
  • Green 14
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana/Internet 1
  • NZ First 11
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/123 – the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 32 + Greens 14 + Mana/Internet 1 = 47/123 – 15 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 11 + Maori 3 = 14/123

On this poll, National would form the Government.

Preferred PM

  • Key 64.3% (+2.7%)
  • Cunliffe 16.2% (-1.7%)
  • Peters 9.1% (+1.3%)
  • Norman 3.4% (+0.1%)

 

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