NZ Herald DigiPoll mid August 2014

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Undecideds: 12.5%

Poll Size: 750 respondents, of whom 656 had a party preference

Dates: 14 to 20 August 2014

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

  • National 50.0% (-4.9%)
  • Labour 25.2% (-1.3%)
  • Green 13.7% (+3.8%)
  • NZ First 4.7% (+0.1%)
  • Maori 0.7% (+0.2%)
  • United Future 0.4% (+0.4%)
  • ACT 0.6% (+0.6%)
  • Mana/Internet 2.1% (-0.1%)
  • Conservative 2.6% (+1.4%)

Projected Seats

  • National 64
  • Labour 32
  • Green 18
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • ACT 1
  • Mana/Internet 3
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 64 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 66/122 – three more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 32 + Greens 18 + Mana/Internet 3 = 53/124 – nine fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/122

On this poll, National would form the Government.

Preferred PM

  • Key 64.8% (-8.5%)
  • Cunliffe 14.6% (+4.1%)
  • Peters 5.1% (-0.4%)
  • Norman 3.5% (+1.5%)

Leader Approval

  • John Key – 59.6% approve and 16.6% disapprove = +43.0% net approval
  • David Cunliffe – 19.2% approve and 31.9% disapprove = -12.7% net approval

Hager Book

  • 11% say it will cause a lot of damage
  • 43% little damage
  • 25% no damage

Farm Sales to Foreigners

  • 13% no restrictions
  • 33% ban
  • 50%+ approve if it brings advantages such as jobs

Referenda

  • 66% say referenda should be binding on the Government
  • 22% disagree
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