Roy Morgan poll early August 2014

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 809 of whom 756 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.5%

Dates: 4 August to 17 August 2014

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 48.0% (+2.0%)
  • Labour 27.5% (-2.5%)
  • Green 11.5% (-0.5%)
  • NZ First 6.5% (+1.5%)
  • Maori 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.5% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (nc)
  • Mana/Internet 2.5% (nc)
  • Conservative 1.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 58
  • Labour 34
  • Green 14
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana/Internet 3
  • NZ First 8
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/122 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 34 + Greens 14 + Mana/Internet 3 = 51/122 – eleven fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 8 + Maori 3 = 11/121

On this poll National (plus ACT/UFNZ) could govern with either the Maori Party or NZ First while Labour (plus Greens/Mana) could only govern if both NZ First and the Maori Party supported them.

Country Direction

  • Right 63.5% (+3.5%)
  • Wrong 24.5% (-0.5%)
  • Can’t Say 12.0% (-3.0%)

 

Advertisements

1 Comment »

  1. […] From Curiablog: […]

RSS feed for comments on this post · TrackBack URI

Leave a Reply

Please log in using one of these methods to post your comment:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: