Fairfax Ipsos poll August 2014

Polling Company: Ipsos

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1007 respondents of whom 854 have a party preference

Undecideds: 15.4%

Dates:Client: Fairfax

Report: Stuff

Party Support

  • National 55.1% (+0.3%)
  • Labour 22.5% (-2.4%)
  • Green 11.3% (-1.1%)
  • NZ First 3.4% (+0.8%)
  • Maori 1.0% (+0.1%)
  • United Future 0.0% (-0.2%)
  • ACT 0.2% (+0.1%)
  • Mana 2.1% (+0.9%)
  • Conservative 3.4% (+2.1%)

Projected Seats

  • National 72
  • Labour 29
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana 3
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 124

This is based on no change in electorate seats. Coalition Options

  • CR – National 72 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 74/124 – 11 more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 29 + Greens 15 + Mana 3 = 47/124 – 16 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/124

On this poll a centre-right government would be formed.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 59.5% (+1.3%)
  • David Cunliffe 14.1% (-0.1%)

Country Direction

  • Right 65.4% (+1.3%)
  • Wrong 33.5% (-0.6%)

Foreign Ownership

  • 74% say should be harder for foreign investors to buy large farmland
  • 24% disagree
  • 53% say too much farmland has been sold
  • 41% disagree
  • 64% say NZ benefits from more foreign investment
  • 31% disagree

Political Donations

  • Reveal identity of all donors to political parties 68% agree
  • 31% disagree

Government Approval

  • 6.0/10 (no change

Time for change of Government

  • Yes 40% (-1%)
  • No 50% (-1%)
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1 Comment »

  1. […] The latest Fairfax Ipsos poll has Labour down to 22.5%. I’e blogged the summary at Curiablog. […]

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