Roy Morgan poll late June 2014

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 817 of whom 772 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.5%

Dates: 16 June to 29 June 2014

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 48.0% (-1.5%)
  • Labour 28.0% (nc)
  • Green 12.0% (nc)
  • NZ First 5.5% (+1.5%)
  • Maori 1.5% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Mana/Internet 2.5% (nc)
  • Conservative 1.0% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

  • National 58
  • Labour 34
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana/Internet 3
  • NZ First 7
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 58 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 60/122 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 34 + Greens 15 + Mana/Internet 3 = 52/122 – ten fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 7 + Maori 3 = 10/122

On this poll National (plus ACT/UFNZ) could form a Government with either the Maori Party or NZ First OR Labour could form a Government with both the Maori Party and NZ First (and Greens and NZ First).

Country Direction

  • Right 65.0% (+1.5%)
  • Wrong 23.5% (-0.5)
  • Can’t Say 11.5% (-1.0%)
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