One News Colmar Brunton poll June 2014

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,002 respondents, of whom 813 had a voting preference

Undecideds: 15%

Dates: 21 to 25 June 2014

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

  • National 50.0% (-1.0%)
  • Labour 29.0% (-1.0%)
  • Green 12.0% (+1.0%)
  • ACT 0.7% (-0.1%)
  • Maori 1.2% (+0.4%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • Mana/Internet 2.3% (+1.2%)
  • NZ First 3.8% (-1.0%)
  • Conservative 1.0% (-0.3%)

Projected Seats

  • National 64
  • Labour 36
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana/Internet 3
  • NZ First 0
  • Conservative 0
  • Internet 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 64 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 66/123 – four more than minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 15 + Mana/Internet 3 = 54/123 – eight fewer than minimum needed to govern
  • C – Maori 3 + NZ First 0 = 3/123

On this poll National could form a centre-right Government.

Preferred PM

  • John Key 47% (+4.0%)
  • David Cunliffe 10% (nc)
  • Winston Peters 2% (-4.0%)

Coalitions

  • 75% say parties should declare before election day who they would work with
  • 19% disagree

Team NZ

  • 62% say Team NZ should rely on private sponsorship from now on
  • 30% say the Government should give Team NZ more money
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