Roy Morgan poll mid June 2014

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 845 of whom 803 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.0%

Dates: 02 June to 15 June 2014

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 49.5% (+7.0%)
  • Labour 28.0% (-1.5%)
  • Green 12.0% (-4.5%)
  • NZ First 4.0% (-1.5%)
  • Maori 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 0.5% (+0.5%)
  • Mana/Internet 2.5% (-0.5%)
  • Conservative 1.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 64
  • Labour 36
  • Green 15
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana/Internet 3
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 123

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 64 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 66/123 – four more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 36 + Greens 15 + Mana 3 = 54/123 – eight fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/123

On this poll National would form a Government.

Country Direction

  • Right 63.5% (-1.0%)
  • Wrong 24.0% (nc)
  • Can’t Say 12.5% (+1.0%)
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