Roy Morgan poll late May 2014

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 849 of whom 802 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.5%

Dates: 19 May to 01 June 2014

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

  • National 52.5% (+7.0%)
  • Labour 29.0% (-1.5%)
  • Green 9.0% (-4.5%)
  • NZ First 4.5% (-1.5%)
  • Maori 1.5% (+0.5%)
  • United Future 0.0% (nc)
  • ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
  • Mana/Internet 1.0% (-0.5%)
  • Conservative 1.0% (nc)

Projected Seats

  • National 67
  • Labour 37
  • Green 12
  • ACT 1
  • Maori 3
  • United Future 1
  • Mana/Internet 1
  • NZ First 0
  • Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

  • CR – National 67 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 69/122 – seven more than the minimum needed to govern
  • CL – Labour 37 + Greens 12 + Mana 1 = 50/122 – 12 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
  • C – NZ First 0 + Maori 3 = 3/122

On this poll National would form a Government.

Country Direction

  • Right 64.5% (+4.5%)
  • Wrong 24.0% (-4.0%)
  • Can’t Say 11.5% (-0.5%)
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